To be honest, although I'm only a " weather enthusiast " lol...... I've been following weather since I was kid. So it's been a while ( I'm 50 now ). With that said, I've seen many a forecasts from very good meteorologists that did not come to fruition.
Weather is a very tough thing to forecast in the future. Look at a couple years ago when we were sure we were going to have a more than decent winter during the fall time, and it just didn't pan out ( things didn't fall into place or something happened with one of the weather patterns that wasn't expected ). I have learned to love the weather and accept the surprises it would bring us throughout the months. That way there's no disappointment ( well.. at least it is a smaller blow to the gut ).
I think a lot of people follow these forecasts like their gold, and get so disappointed and so upset with these meteorologists and call them idiots...... well I kind of laugh at that, because here we are, not professionals, and criticizing these people for just following the model guidance and their experience that they have. Are there some that tend to hype? Yes there are. But I'm pretty stoked to see what happens this winter. I know they'll be some surprises, and know they'll be some disappointments. Only time will tell. Justy feelings on forecasting itself.