Snowcrazed71

Well I guess they're being safe as they just posted the winter storm watches for Hartford and Litchfield County now as well no, but I'm sure you already saw that LOL

I agree. Hartford County in Connecticut here, and I was waiting to see what happened with the Euro this afternoon. I'm thinking around 4 ish is when will see the watches go up at the next update

Just like the Wvit weather map

Anyones thoughts on why and if they think the GFS will adjust west through today? It's the only model still further out?

I'm hoping they extend that watch over to hartford county. Hopefully today the trends keep moving west some more.

So the icon shifted West ( yes.. I know, it not the most reliable ). Also .. The RGEM also looks amazing ( is that a viable option to use and trust? )

Have you ever seen the models be at such odds like this ( and the back and forth ) 3 days before a storm?

Can anyone tell me why the Kuchera is used and if it's ever actually verified?

My brother, who lives near the Bronx, just texted me.. " Bomb Blizzard ". I texted him back and said it's not happening or not having a blizzard or feet of snow especially where he is. He said the weather guy on his weather station in New York City just said 70% chance of blizzard conditions and heavy heavy snow for Saturday... But, that they'll have a better handle on it tomorrow. Lololol

Although I have given up on this storm, I will be the first one to jump back on the bandwagon and I will eat crow LOL

Haha. Thats what I get for voice texting. Fixed

This one's a goner guys. I don't want to say that because I really wanted this storm. I'm a full-out weather geek, weather weenie oh, whatever you want to call me I am. Even my spouse and my eight year old laugh at how much I love the snow. But I'm giving up on this one. It's not coming back. I don't think anything's ever come back after where is gone to now.

What are your thoughts on the Euro still keeping this storm closer in? Do you feel it will track further east like the GFS. Such a big spread between the models

I'm sure someone will post them, but what did the accumulation Maps look like

I'm just not sure what to think. The Euro has been so steady and not budging. The Nam followed suit ( and I will give it some attention as we're only 3 days put now ). Now.. On the other end of the spectrum are all the other models including the GFS. My question is this, have we had a circumstance where you would have the euro and it can't be all by itself or have something like the name alongside of it, and be correct where the other models follow and it's footsteps a few days before the actual event? Does anyone have any thoughts or know of any past storms that have had this happen? I just need to keep my hope alive LOL. It's been so long since we've had a very large snow storm and this just seemed like it was going to be the one. Still hoping it is

Please..don't get sucked into Torch Tigers sarcasm. He is looking to screw with anyone who will take his bait. I feel bad for that guy, he must have been locked in a basement for years. Who knows. ;-)

What else seems good is we should have better ratios that 10:1 with the cold air in place. So even with an 1" of precip ( all hypothetical of course ) at 15:1 or 20:1 that would equal 15-20" amounts. Liking how it seems to be converging somewhat with the Euro, at least at this point.

Wouldn't that be something. Well... The good news is, that's not happening. What a beautiful storm Torch. I'm glad you are as stoked as the rest of us!!

Here's something to throw out at you guys. Looking back on other major blizzards are snowstorms, being 45 days out, doesn't anyone recall the same exact things we're seeing now with the models doing the windshield wiper effect. I almost think it's pretty rare to be 5 days out and have the models exactly where they are from 5 days out until the day of the storm. I'm curious what it was like during Nemo or Juno ( or any other big storm ). I think this may help settle down some people's anxiety if we talked about have storms and what we had seen at the same point in time

Guys and gals.. This still looks beautiful.

I think the OTS option is a bit more probable than an inland crusher .. but we have a week to track this baby

Pull your big boy pants up Spencer. Of course anything could happen, but a Rainer... Not the likely scenario. Just sit back and enjoy the ride

Not thinking that is probable ( slightly possible yes ) but probable, not at this time.

Although I do agree with the West trends with the models, I don't see this one doing what the storm a few weeks back did.... Where is cuts way inland. Just nit the same set up as that. We have a High pressure to the north/ northwest and the troughing in the West is set up better for this storm to stay offshore. With that said, xould it track over the cape, now that is possible, but the more likely trend would be very close to the BM or just a touch inside or outside the BM. Just my thoughts on what we're seeing with last nights trends

Lolol... I just came on and saw then just 2 hours just went from 18 pages to 23. I got excited figuring something good must have happened, only they see it was all about football LOL ( not a football fan at all ). Anyway, glad that everyone's getting back on Focus haha