Snowcrazed71

So many Debbie downers .. but it looks amazing on radar and also on the satellite imagery.

I'll tell you, one thing I like about this guy is he sticks to his guns unless he knows he's wrong. With that said, the low is already west of where the GFS and Nam run from 12z were showing. Things look like they're on track.

Did someone already 06z NAM?!

Is the one Friday still looking Wintry? I believe the model run yesterday was more rain?

I was looking back on Nemo from 2013 right before the storm got going. The GFS was showing the storm well SE of where it actually was on radar. Point is, when we're getting this close, accuracy on the major models isn't really as important. If I do remember correctly, I was watching Joe fury the night before talking about some the NAM output for snowfall accumulations, and Joe was saying he's not sure he believes what it was projecting. We all know where we ended up in Connecticut. So the Nam snowfall projections wound up coming true.

Since we're within 24 hours of the start of the storm, doesn't it make more sense at this point anyway to use short-range models, not the long-range models like the Euro at GFS? I know the Nam is considered one of the short range models, is this also one of them?

Just got the alert on my phone that we're upgraded to a winter storm warning for Northern Connecticut. I wouldn't be surprised if we're upgraded to a blizzard warning even here by tomorrow. This has happened many times before where once the storm gets going, blizzard warnings get extended. Why do I feel like a little right before bed on Christmas Eve..lol

Did he post that now for NBC?

Most of my family and some of my friends are already done with this. They're all calling me already blaming me for this storm coming. All I could do is laugh. Hysterical. Wouldn't it be ironic if we got another one next weekend...lol

Phew! I think at this point we may see fluctuations now with the models but pretty much looks like we're in line for a Whopper. I'm still thinking you could could trend just bit more West.

Yeah.. the NWS has us ( you ) with the WSW and is calling for 8-13 inches. There being conservative to say the least. Btw... I saw some of the nerves come out last night with some posts with the 00z runs. Of course everything's looking fine this morning. I'm truly feeling it for this.

Which is zero here

Well, just like us knowing last night with some of the models showing the storm getting much closer, but most of the media outlets, meteorologist, etc were being very conservative and very careful. They're also being very careful with accumulation amounts for the storm here in Connecticut. I'm just waiting for the NWS in Boston to hoist winter storm watches for the rest of Connecticut and most of Massachusetts. Maybe they're thinking that things will change again and they don't want to put up the watches yet? Or maybe because we're too far from the event ( I would think by tomorrow morning they'll be hoisted )

Give it time.... Things already took many steps in the right direction. Remember, just yesterday this was a " Non-Storm ".

Your a dork...lol

Wow... The winter storm watches are exploding across the Northeast. Now they have them all the way down into Maryland, Delaware, all of Southeastern, Pennsylvania Southeastern, New York all of Southern Connecticut Rhode Island Southern Mass the islands. I'm feeling pretty confident they'll expand those through Connecticut into the rest of Massachusetts ( maybe not the Berkshires as of ). Maybe by the 4:00 update more of us will be in the watch. Fingers crossed

That's a pretty damn good clustering leaning West. If we can keep it on the west side, I feel like more winter storm watches will go up for the rest of Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Jersey Long Island.

I get it goes. It blows! Lol

Sorry to ask, but it's this model a good one to follow?

Man what's wrong with you. Can't you be a bit more positive or excited. A day and a half ago this wasn't even happening. Be happy with what you're going to get.

16 minutes

That looks to even bring some goods to CT as well

My eyes..... MY EYES!!!! ( If you know you know ) Kev must not have watched Friends

And I just heard it from your lips. Maybe a glancing blow. Can't buy a storm around here though.

I'm not congratulating or getting excited about anything. I can't get excited with one model on board