Snowcrazed71

Aren't they always the most cautious. They are the same with their temp outlooks too.

So we're not looking at a Nam coup

No you. I thought Kev was talking about you.

I think he's worried because he's still closer to the water. Where you and I am are, we have a better shot of staying Frozen

Yeah, I would toss that... Maybe I'd take the Nam more seriously tomorrow night

I think WxRisks map is a bit bold.

I remember maybe about 15 years ago when I lived up in East longmeadow Mass, there was like a 3 to 4 nights where we had snow on and off. I loved every minute of it!

Especially at this juncture. It's still early for our Hood. So an advisory event now is perfectly okay with me. Looks like we have another shot of something next Saturday as well

Yeah..... I know he loves it as much as we do though. I'm thinking an advisory level is probably the likely outcome for us 84 And north.

Come on man. Yesterday you were saying it was Rains to Maines. I still don't think it'll be that far out to see ( or that this is the final solution ). I think it'll be a light to moderate event for most of Southern New England and to Central New England.

Told ya what? It's looking more like the Euro now. It definitely shifted more south.

So... I'm still not in the GFS camp... But, I have noticed it settling back over the last few runs. In the end.. I think the middle ground will have us ( everyone 84 on north ) more wintry than rain. The question remains.... Will it stay predominantly snow or be more of a mix. TBH.. I'd be happy even if it is a mix over rain.

We do? Enlighten us...

It looks to me like the 6z GFS came south a bit?

?

At this point, I won't be disappointed if we don't get snow Tuesday, although it would be nice. I'm more intrigued on which camp is going to be correct, GFS or Euro and its crew.

What's the snow map look like with this latest run?

Or does it?

If this turns out to be right, then I guess the GFS could be crowned King for the first winter storm of the season for us. It seems like the other three models, Euro, Canadian, an icon all seem to be in a similar place. I'm thinking by tomorrow or Sunday we'll have a very clear picture, maybe .....

You could be right on this one. But I wouldn't be surprised if it backs off a little bit on the strength and how far north it's going. But as I prefaced earlier, it's not super common to see big snows here in Connecticut in the first week of December.

I know that that one model seems to be more warm biased and the other colder. Just forgetting which is which.

So I'll give you this, where you're located, you are much closer to the ocean and it's influence at this point of the year and it still makes things much harder to get the cold air filtered down unless the storm was very strong and created its own cold air down to the surface. With that said, I still think there's a good shot that anyone I-84 and north and west has a good shot of at least staying wintry with the precipitation. Lord knows which model is right, but they're starting to come together in the sense of where the precipitation will be liquid and where it will be frozen. I just don't believe that the GFS is correct as I think it's too far north. By tomorrow afternoon or evening I think we'll have a clearer picture. As we all know, nothing's ever written in stone until a few days out. This is the way it's been over the last several years.

Lolol.. You are so passive aggressive. It's too funny. I think we'll have a lot of chances throughout December. If this doesn't pan out, okay then we move to the next one. Come at least for Southern New England. But are we out of it, absolutely not

True.... But, there's something in pipeline for next Saturday as well, but that's real far out.

Yes, if you count from today to Tuesday that's 5 days. The storm starts on Tuesday. So it's 5 days before it starts not 4