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cptcatz

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Everything posted by cptcatz

  1. cptcatz
    Well that's interesting
  2. cptcatz
    GFS-Euro-CMC all showing signs of our first CV storm developing next weekend with the GFS being most bullish tracking it all the way to the Caribbean...
  3. cptcatz
    Seriously. Last summer a severe thunderstorm, typical of a South Florida summer thunderstorm was packing winds of 65+ mph, it knocked over my basketball hoop in the driveway which fell on my car denting the car and cracked the backboard. That was the worst weather damage I've had to deal with living in south Florida for the past 4 years. I'll always remember that nameless storm.
  4. cptcatz
    You can clearly see a tight lower level spin on the visible sat at 27.5N, 91.5W. I'd be surprised if NHC doesn't name it at 2pm.
  5. cptcatz
    I don't know but the outflow of it provided a full day of much needed rain for us in south Florida.
  6. cptcatz
    If we're having fun with the random 14 day out models, the 18z GEFS shows a signal for another western Caribbean storm possibly heading towards your area...
  7. cptcatz
    Interesting GFS run this morning
  8. cptcatz
    17/9/4
  9. cptcatz
    Weird, because that seems to contradict this map
  10. cptcatz
    GFS has been pretty consistent with this homegrown system developing around June 10. This run also adds in a twin out in the Atlantic
  11. cptcatz
    GFS dropped it. Looks like King Euro reigns supreme.
  12. cptcatz
    10 majors? Bold.
  13. cptcatz
    Test on whether the Euro will continue the trend of doing a terrible job at cyclogenesis: The GFS has been on this system for a while, shows a 939 mb storm south of Okinawa 240 hours out while Euro has squat. Who will win?
  14. cptcatz
    I was also looking for the Sally thread a while back and couldn't find it either, only the banter thread.
  15. cptcatz
    The first GFS fantasyland tropical system of the 2021 Atlantic season!
  16. cptcatz
    Katrina would like a word with you, sir.
  17. cptcatz
    I'd love to know where you're getting your data from being that the models are not showing that... https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1384171583023968259
  18. cptcatz
    Interesting graphs being tweeted. This one shows the average ENSO for peak season is heading to a weak Nina: While this one shows a weak Nina producing the highest ACE:
  19. cptcatz
    TSR and CSU should be coming out with forecasts any day now. Anyone know when we can expect them?
  20. cptcatz
    Lots of models now showing potential for something to spin up off the SE coast early next week...
  21. cptcatz
    Still looks like a strong La Nina though. Any news on if they think that will change?
  22. cptcatz
    Andrew was a cat 5 but I can't think of any other A-named cat 5's meaning that's the only season that opened with a cat 5. Has any other season other than 2020 ended with a cat 5?
  23. cptcatz
    With nothing showing on any global models now, it looks like the season may be a wrap. Quite a crazy season. I think the most impressive stat is out of the 13 hurricanes, 10 made landfall at or near maximum intensity.
  24. cptcatz
    Iota: "thanks, I'll take my beer back now"
  25. cptcatz
    Iota: "Hold my beer"
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