JustinRP37
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Everything posted by JustinRP37
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Tomorrow and Sunday are going to stink with the warmth. Tonight we won’t notice much snow as we continue to warm up and change to rain. Saturday looks like a mix now which would keep numbers down.
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Honestly, I'd give this winter a solid B-/B in the lower Hudson Valley and B/B+ to the north. Even if the snow has so far been below average, the skiing and cold have been great. It would be an A-/A if we haven't had rain on every holiday weekend so far. However, further to north like Jay Peak, this is easily an A winter. Jay Peak currently has depths rivaling out west. It has been an odd winter for sure. Hoping to still get at least one storm that reaches winter storm warning criteria and I think we will pull that off this month.
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Never thought it was easy as a climate scientist. Then again nobody believes science is worth funding these days so expect results to get worse...
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They just used to be much more conservative handing out winter storm warnings and more about the winter weather advisories. That is all I meant.
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What has happened to forecasting recently? This is the second “winter storm warning” we have had this year for 5-10 and we ended up with barely 3.5. The only over performer was back in December with a “dusting to inch” that resulted in 5.5.
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Belleayre was great yesterday! Took a much needed day to get out on the slopes. It was hard pack, but great coverage. Can't wait to get back out on the snow.
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This has been the two hardest weeks of my career in science. Sigh... The saying ignorance is bliss has never been more accurate.
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After a dry end to summer, dry fall, and now below average winter, the best way we bust the drought is for a few big snow storms and maintain cold. Then a slow melt in March. I am hoping this is the case. While it is a much more expensive heating winter than the past few, I am happy I pre-bought all my oil when it was cheaper. While it has been a relatively quiet winter thus far, it has been a cozy one with lots of cold around. Always love taking a deep breath of very cold air in the morning!
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Haha woke up with a couple of inches this morning, but I guess it wasn't accumulating snow? Maybe it is confectionary sugar? It is absolutely gorgeous outside this morning!
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Damn I was going to be there today but I have a cold and then meetings came up.
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As a skier I would rate this winter so far a C. The temperatures have been good for the most part but the warmer weather during Christmas week and then the rain on MLK weekend iced up a good deal. I would like to see at least Vermont and upstate get more snow but this is a bit concerning. Will be interesting this summer if the dry pattern continues. Hoping to figure out a move in the next two-three years. Maybe to MA or something. Don’t think my wife would ever be on board with Alaska haha. Haven’t really enjoy Putnam all that much.
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I get that. While I think people that like watching snow, but don't do anything with that snow are a bit strange, I get it. Snow is always awesome because it does tend to force us to a slower pace of life, and honestly I think that is why a lot of people like it. But honestly, I hate when we get a big snow storm followed by 50+ degrees is awful.
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True some areas are starting to have issues with low water in their snowmaking retention ponds. Many though are just small systems. Catamount, while they have pumped a ton into snowmaking, still have a small system. Places like Belleayre with massive snowmaking systems have been 100% open on snowmaking trails since before Christmas. Unfortunately, they have to invest more in snowmaking to continue to be viable in the future. Many of the small resorts won't be able to make it. Sad but we are already seeing stressors out there.
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I am glad we are sustained cold this year. Snow is great, but I'd much rather have sustained cold than snowy but warm (as a skier). Even though we are mainly on blown snow at ski mountains, they are in great shape this year and getting a lot of business which is great of the local economies. So given the choice between cold and dry and warmer but snowy, I will always choose cold and dry. Now what I would love is sustained cold AND snow, but lately we can't hope for too much. Last year we were already staring at a warm February where many of the ski areas limped into March and had an early closing.
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This was not a warning level event for me. Looks like we are going to finish around 3.5-4 inches.
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Getting excited for a period of extended snow cover! First one in my son’s six year life! I think the first year we had a brief period of snow cover but since then it has been very brutal for snow enthusiasts. Going to head out skiing tomorrow again.
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Hey cold and dry is great to make snow in! I am happy if the ski areas are able to make it!
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Wow. Woke up to just shy of 5 inches of snow! I’m supposed to be grading finals all day but just got in from shoveling! Starting to turn to really heavy slush but was nice and light when I first got up. For all the people complaining about winter this far we are doing quite well. Ski areas are all open earlier than planned, lots of cold night cold nights and even some mild snow. Fingers crossed we stay in a similar pattern but turn snowier.
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Man I gotta say since moving to Putnam county we haven’t had a great winter. Still go to Vermont and Catskills for most of my skiing. I’m ready to move back to southern Westchester. Miss it down there just so expensive.
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It is really bad. Amphibians and many fish species are struggling near roadways. I firmly believe the salt use when not needed is to justify not cutting the treating budget as we warm. It is insane to see all the salt and brine used. It runs off and increases salinity in all our freshwater systems. It is also stressing plant life along roadways and one thing you can see is the trees near roads with heavy salt in the winter typically drop leaves earlier in the fall because of stress. There is currently a lot of research being done in this area. Our modern society needs to be able to accept delays during inclement weather.
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Edit: Never doubt the warmth. If the models show average, add +1-+2, if they show warmth add +3-+5. If they show frigid, moderate towards just below normal. We have seen this time and time again. The patterns of sustaining cold are over on a planet with more and more thermal energy. As I tell my ecology classes, all you have to do is look around. Literally look around at all of our energy use. Hardly any of it was around 100 years ago, to think this wouldn’t have an effect is pure stupidity.
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Yeah they have been “open” but I mean could this be the year at least 75% of the terrain is open for the holidays! That hasn’t happened in a long time and they miss out on a good chunk of money. Fingers crossed! I’m sure we will torch right on Christmas though, but maybe they will have a decent base ready by then.
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So happy to see snow this morning! Next week looks great for snow making! Could this be the first winter in quite some time the ski areas are mostly open by Christmas? Time will tell but I know my son is beyond excited for skiing!
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Someone needs more followers so is attracting weenies... Guess time will tell, but I am not seeing a snowy winter unless we get a huge storm that melts within a few days.
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Oh man... I dated a Sara, someone is about to have their lives wrecked haha
