JustinRP37
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Everything posted by JustinRP37
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Not always! I was very optimistic this past winter! Older I get the more I appreciated the cold cold weather with lots of snow. I do like the hot weather too but only when I am near water. This past week has been incredible with warm days and cool to cold nights. On the flip side I do usually talk about tick-borne and mosquito-borne diseases a lot this time of year.
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I was referring to the 5-11 90+ degree days. Might have the 5 by the end of next week.
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This isn’t going to age very well looking at the long term.
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I'm definitely taking the under on this. El Niño to La Niña are typically very hot summers and even with a "cool" pattern we are still solidly above average (many of our highs as well have been just above normal). Back door fronts also tend to disappear by the time we get to late June. I think once the humidity kicks on, it is wall to wall 80s-90s all summer. Models are already hinting at this.
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Lots of lightning here on the Patterson, Pawling border. Not much rain yet.
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Oh goodie I was just wondering when we would receive our next round of urban flooding. Our parkways haven't been underwater in a few months. /s
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The models for warming have actually been consistently under estimating the amount of warming. Even this month is roughly average (with the elevated averages). We are just feeling it more because our daytime departures have been normal or below, while overnight lows drive the departure. Most climatologists did predict that the northeast would see more spring blocking with a warming climate. But note that even with overall planet warming, the AMOC slowing is going to change the temperature in the northern hemisphere in a big way. Right now it moves a TON of warmth into the northern hemisphere. If that continues to slow and break down (thanks to the melting off Greenland), then we will see a big change to cold, especially in Europe. Many papers in the scientific literature about it in the past few years, but here is one from Popular Mechanics: https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/environment/a46989602/amoc-collapse/.
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It’s all part of the water cycle. We aren’t getting rid of the issue. I’m well aware of sea level rise as I’m and environmental scientist. As for pollination there is no “excess” in pollination. Wind pollinated plants don’t have the option to pinpoint where their pollen goes. Until wind pollinators grow penises they must make an abundance of pollen to even have a shot at successfully mating. Then we have a whole issue with insect pollinating plants losing their pollinators because of the non-target effects of pesticides. It really isn’t an easy solution to any of our problems. But blasting water to space is not a wise idea as it is a larger energy reserve than even all the fossil fuels on the planet. It stores so much heat. Lose that and we have huge issues.
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You do realize people have different allergies right? Are we supposed to eliminate all the trees? Fruit trees cause allergies, pine trees cause allergies, cat dander cause allergies, mold spores, grass, etc. also the big increase in allergies is more so a product of us using non-native trees and plants. This is huge in cities where we bring in “urban specialist” trees that can survive in the harsher environments. Siphoning off water to space wouldn’t decrease precipitation. The issue is heat not the amount of water. The oceans have far more heat content in them than in the recent past which increases global humidity and this precipitation. Siphoning off water won’t change that.
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That would still kill off our aquatic life here as it is outside their tolerance levels. Our fish are not tropical. Besides don't you like winter? Regardless yes, it will happen, but hopefully not in my lifetime. Once atmospheric CO2 levels reach 750ppm acidification will prevent corals from building reefs and shellfish won't be able to make shells (so dead).
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So we can kill of aquatic life faster???
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Weird how in winter the models always correct warmer as we get closer to a date and in April they always correct cooler and wetter for the past many years now. I’ll die on the hill that April is our worst weather month.
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Tuesday honestly could be a sneaky just barely 80 if we get enough sun. We always seem to over perform this time of year if the winds are low and the sun is out longer before any clouds roll in.
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It’s interesting how lately it is almost like clockwork that our Aprils are below average for temps and wetter than average.
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That’s my point. Was an okay year with lots of downturns. Their good years they usually get to the first of June. But usually you gotta really be dedicated and okay with mud. I’m just shocked Catamount was blowing snow for the weekend even though Saturday looks like a wash out even there.
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Heading up to Belleayre tomorrow to play on the 4-5 inches they received yesterday and last night. Was going to go today but the potential for wind holds kept us away. Like our last time out this year. Overall it wasn’t a horrible season but definitely not the best. Had some big ups and some major downs but hopefully next season will be less torrential rains throughout the season at random intervals. Looks like Killington will be able to make it to mid May or later this year at least.
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People give me looks when I say this, but spring blow. Between mosquitoes, bipolar weather, and mud, I’ll wait for summer. Two favorites are winter and summer followed closely by fall. Spring can go F itself.
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Maybe it is my ignorance, but what is ACE?
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Well that is terrifying for March 4/5. But on the flip side the snow out west must have looked nice for the first part of the flight.
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I've always thought we should be on Atlantic time and call it a day. No changing our clocks twice a year. Poor eastern Maine being so far east makes it even worse to be on eastern time. The Eastern time zone is so large because everyone wanted to be on NYC hours for the financial markets etc. But even looking at articles like this, it shows you maybe we aren't right: https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/news/should-new-england-change-time-zones/.
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Interesting I always saw 57 on Apple weather and TWC app for today under mostly cloudy skies. Here in The Bronx it is exactly that. But small localized differences are always the case this time of year, especially with water temps through the area.
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I'm not for either way. I just think the practice is dumb. Likewise I hate when people say "we get an extra hour of daylight", no we just shift it. When I teach this students ask why we don't just keep the extra hour of daylight. We don't! Hell China doesn't even do timezones.
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Where is everyone that is saying big bust on the temps today? It is 56 out and forecast I saw was for 57. This is starting to get like the people that say their 1 inch is 5 inches and the storm over performed.
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The whole system needs an overhaul. But even in Ohio people support not changing the clocks. But even so I don’t get why people are so worried about morning daylight. The evening commute is just as important and statistically more people are out for the evening commute. People always talk about students going to school in the dark, well they already do all winter here. High school busses start picking up before 6AM where I am. Those students already go to school in the dark basically the whole school year. We didn’t even have a Federal standard for it until 1967 and we have moved it multiple times. I would okay with going back to the old way the first Sunday in April to the last Sunday in October. But we’ll see what happens in the future as the “Sunshine Protection Act” was passed by the Senate but not the House. I honestly don’t see it changing anytime soon, but it is worth thinking about permanent DST or EST.
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But where are you seeing this? The models over the next 10 days are 40s to low 50s with lots of foggy nights and rainy days. The following 10 days look like one to three days of 60 but damp and chilly days interspersed. Not exactly ideal. Just early April weather in early March.
