JustinRP37
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Everything posted by JustinRP37
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After a dry end to summer, dry fall, and now below average winter, the best way we bust the drought is for a few big snow storms and maintain cold. Then a slow melt in March. I am hoping this is the case. While it is a much more expensive heating winter than the past few, I am happy I pre-bought all my oil when it was cheaper. While it has been a relatively quiet winter thus far, it has been a cozy one with lots of cold around. Always love taking a deep breath of very cold air in the morning!
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Haha woke up with a couple of inches this morning, but I guess it wasn't accumulating snow? Maybe it is confectionary sugar? It is absolutely gorgeous outside this morning!
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Damn I was going to be there today but I have a cold and then meetings came up.
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As a skier I would rate this winter so far a C. The temperatures have been good for the most part but the warmer weather during Christmas week and then the rain on MLK weekend iced up a good deal. I would like to see at least Vermont and upstate get more snow but this is a bit concerning. Will be interesting this summer if the dry pattern continues. Hoping to figure out a move in the next two-three years. Maybe to MA or something. Don’t think my wife would ever be on board with Alaska haha. Haven’t really enjoy Putnam all that much.
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I get that. While I think people that like watching snow, but don't do anything with that snow are a bit strange, I get it. Snow is always awesome because it does tend to force us to a slower pace of life, and honestly I think that is why a lot of people like it. But honestly, I hate when we get a big snow storm followed by 50+ degrees is awful.
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True some areas are starting to have issues with low water in their snowmaking retention ponds. Many though are just small systems. Catamount, while they have pumped a ton into snowmaking, still have a small system. Places like Belleayre with massive snowmaking systems have been 100% open on snowmaking trails since before Christmas. Unfortunately, they have to invest more in snowmaking to continue to be viable in the future. Many of the small resorts won't be able to make it. Sad but we are already seeing stressors out there.
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I am glad we are sustained cold this year. Snow is great, but I'd much rather have sustained cold than snowy but warm (as a skier). Even though we are mainly on blown snow at ski mountains, they are in great shape this year and getting a lot of business which is great of the local economies. So given the choice between cold and dry and warmer but snowy, I will always choose cold and dry. Now what I would love is sustained cold AND snow, but lately we can't hope for too much. Last year we were already staring at a warm February where many of the ski areas limped into March and had an early closing.
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This was not a warning level event for me. Looks like we are going to finish around 3.5-4 inches.
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Getting excited for a period of extended snow cover! First one in my son’s six year life! I think the first year we had a brief period of snow cover but since then it has been very brutal for snow enthusiasts. Going to head out skiing tomorrow again.
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Hey cold and dry is great to make snow in! I am happy if the ski areas are able to make it!
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Wow. Woke up to just shy of 5 inches of snow! I’m supposed to be grading finals all day but just got in from shoveling! Starting to turn to really heavy slush but was nice and light when I first got up. For all the people complaining about winter this far we are doing quite well. Ski areas are all open earlier than planned, lots of cold night cold nights and even some mild snow. Fingers crossed we stay in a similar pattern but turn snowier.
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Man I gotta say since moving to Putnam county we haven’t had a great winter. Still go to Vermont and Catskills for most of my skiing. I’m ready to move back to southern Westchester. Miss it down there just so expensive.
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It is really bad. Amphibians and many fish species are struggling near roadways. I firmly believe the salt use when not needed is to justify not cutting the treating budget as we warm. It is insane to see all the salt and brine used. It runs off and increases salinity in all our freshwater systems. It is also stressing plant life along roadways and one thing you can see is the trees near roads with heavy salt in the winter typically drop leaves earlier in the fall because of stress. There is currently a lot of research being done in this area. Our modern society needs to be able to accept delays during inclement weather.
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Edit: Never doubt the warmth. If the models show average, add +1-+2, if they show warmth add +3-+5. If they show frigid, moderate towards just below normal. We have seen this time and time again. The patterns of sustaining cold are over on a planet with more and more thermal energy. As I tell my ecology classes, all you have to do is look around. Literally look around at all of our energy use. Hardly any of it was around 100 years ago, to think this wouldn’t have an effect is pure stupidity.
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Yeah they have been “open” but I mean could this be the year at least 75% of the terrain is open for the holidays! That hasn’t happened in a long time and they miss out on a good chunk of money. Fingers crossed! I’m sure we will torch right on Christmas though, but maybe they will have a decent base ready by then.
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So happy to see snow this morning! Next week looks great for snow making! Could this be the first winter in quite some time the ski areas are mostly open by Christmas? Time will tell but I know my son is beyond excited for skiing!
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Someone needs more followers so is attracting weenies... Guess time will tell, but I am not seeing a snowy winter unless we get a huge storm that melts within a few days.
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Oh man... I dated a Sara, someone is about to have their lives wrecked haha
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Hopefully it moves up in time. Average high for my area for today is 48. Lowest high temperature for the next 10 is 49 on Thursday. Above 50 everyday after. Even our “cold fronts” can’t get us a day below average anymore.
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None of these are truly peer reviewed. I honestly think it is incredibly naive to suggest that the ocean currents do little to climate distribution around the world. Study after study shows the massive amount of warmth the oceans have absorbed to “buffer” out what we have done. And I’m not saying we would cool off if the Gulf Stream slows or stops. Much the opposite in our side of the pond. But for awhile we would see more heat accumulate in the tropics with stronger storms able to develop. Of course we’d see corals bleaching and more horrible effects. Plus we’d still be warming. I don’t think anyone is thinking there will be an ice age. Thermal expansion of the oceans is one of drivers as well with sea level rise. Point I was trying to make is our current models are based on current atmospheric and oceanic inputs. We are human and even when we think we know all the variables we are often shown that we didn’t. But we continue to learn. So I for one am quite worried about a slow down and the ecological impacts that could have.
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For as much climate talk as there has been, remember many of the models assume the Gulf Stream continuing to pump warm waters up the coast and to Europe. With Greenland melting, the Gulf Stream is slowing. If it collapses, then we are going to see a massive change in heat energy distribution. Tons of reports out: https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/rivers-oceans/key-atlantic-current-could-collapse-soon-impacting-the-entire-world-for-centuries-to-come-leading-climate-scientists-warn. But you can also read the academic journals about it as well. It is fascinating, but terrifying.
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One has to wonder how this drought is affecting the Delaware Aqueduct project. The reservoirs were drawn way down in preparation for it. I am already noticing the Croton system is much lower than I have ever seen it. You can see some of the project information here: https://www.nj.gov/drbc/library/documents/RFAC/042924/shallcross_DelawareAqueductShutdownAnalysis.pdf. Interesting to see for sure. One does have to wonder if the drought continues to worsen and a big chunk of the system down are we in for additional conservation measures? From what I have read nobody did expect this fall to be so dry.
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Well at least when the Gulf Stream collapses it will cool off around here. Definitely the first Halloween of my life I’ve had the AC on.
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Dear God no! October snow brings no snow during winter. Don't want another 2011/2012 redo.
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I was just mentioning to my wife that we haven't even used the space heaters yet in the house. This is the latest we have gone now without at least a few mornings or evenings with the space heaters. In fact we are still regularly using the AC to dehumidify. I do open the windows too, but the house is averaging in the mid 70s when all sealed up. Basement still hanging in there at 72. Leaves have barely begun to change when normally we are approaching peak. We will see how long we can keep this west coast climate up this fall.
