
JustinRP37
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Everything posted by JustinRP37
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Cuba looks like a crooked nose in between two crazy eyes. Too bad it couldn't be some dumb twin names like Hurricane Bert and Ernie.
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I hear you there. I don't think politics will solve it. It is a humanity issue. I don't care for politics one way or the other. I just want to live my life, study infectious disease and climate change, and keep my family happy. I would like to think that left, right, center, would all agree that we need to change but nobody will ever agree in the solution. Just like I mentioned bioheat must be a major part for our area. As for the weather, we are in the doldrums right now of boring weather. Wake up, smoke, go to bed, smoke, comfortable temperatures but this has been a tough week of weather. Hoping we push this $hit out of here.
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I was referring to the whole world. I don’t see anyone not wanting to deplete. 2) and 3) The USA is still responsible for 13-15% of global emissions, and per capita definitely does matter. It shows how efficient a society is or not. The USA alone is responsible for about 25% of global emissions since the start of the Industrial Revolution. It shows that we have made great strides in this area. 4) Yes, I’m aware, but China also manufactures the vast majority of products around the world. Move that elsewhere, and those coal plants are as badly needed. 5) I don’t care much for politics or politicians. They are mostly the scum of the earth. Presidents typically don’t have much power, but Congress tends to set environmental policy and funding. 6 and 7 absolutely agree. That’s why I said we could consider what we are doing geoengineering. 8) I think we will get close. When I was born, we were under 350 ppm. Today, we are at 425. My background is in sustainability, and it is also my favorite course to teach at the university level. I have honestly never faced the level of hostility in my career as we are facing now in higher education. We can hope for a better future, but with cancer rates rising, forever chemicals everywhere, and microplastics linked to infertility and cancer, it is bleak.
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We do have plenty of options that WILL work. But the problem is the stakeholders that make massive amounts of money off fossil fuels don't want to change until the reserves they have purchased are fully depleted. 90% of the issues is NOT from outside the USA. The USA is still the second-biggest producer of greenhouse gasses with a relatively small population. Our per capita emission is around 14.2 tonnes per person, whereas China is 8.9, and India 1.9. Despite the fact that China is basically the manufacturer for the world (which does need to change). Yes, China has added more coal in the past decade, but it is also producing more and more renewables each year. (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jun/26/china-breaks-more-records-with-massive-build-up-of-wind-and-solar-power). China is likely at its peak gasoline consumption now as it has massively electrified its vehicle fleet (https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/chinas-fuel-demand-may-have-passed-its-peak-iea-says-2025-02-13/). Unfortunately for us, we have a president that does not want to build any wind power or any renewables. (https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c15l3knp4xyo) (https://ctmirror.org/2025/08/04/trump-administration-cancels-plans-to-develop-new-offshore-wind-projects/). And is also actively trying to destroy any research on greenhouse gasses (https://www.npr.org/2025/08/04/nx-s1-5453731/nasa-carbon-dioxide-satellite-mission-threatened). The technology exists for us to decarbonize rapidly, and it will not all be from one area. Many say to ban all oil-fired boilers in homes, but the fastest way to decarbonize heat in the Northeast is not getting rid of oil burners but switching them to primarily biofuels. We have the technology, but just like people were wary of electricity back when it was being brought into the house, we are facing a highly anti-science environment right now. Sadly, our present-day life is really reminding me of Idiocracy. People will put profits above all else. Only economists know that growth is infinite on a finite planet. Geoengineering is also highly risky. A miscalculation could be an extinction-level event, although the same can be said for the pathway we are on now. Once global CO2 levels hit 800 ppm, we are likely looking at a dead ocean. We could hit this by 2100 on our current track. The other thing I always tell my students is to look around... All this human development is in the last 200 years for the most part. Our lives have drastically improved, but now it is time to make sure we still have a future. Literally go back just two human generations, and most families in the USA did not have a car for every driving-age person. They may have had 1 for the whole family. We are incredibly lucky to be alive today when, all things being equal, life has never been easier to live (obviously, there are still struggles, but we aren't hunting every day, building fires, salting our meat to keep it longer, etc.). We have refrigerators, HVAC, cars, trains, etc. Now we just need to encourage engineers and scientists to help us build a better, more sustainable future.
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I don’t see any of this “cool”. Even today was supposed to be below average by a few degrees, yet most of the area is at or above average by a few degrees for a high. The whole week was supposed to be average to below average and moderated warmer as it got closer. I do remember you calling for a cooler summer too back in April/May, and so far this has been an impressively hot/humid summer most of the summer. Sure, we had a slow start, but it hasn’t been a cool summer. @BxEngineenjoy the cruise. If you are in the Getaway we will be on it next week. Now I expect a major hurricane to send us to Canada because that’s my luck!
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
JustinRP37 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The problem with the heat and humidity here in the NYC Metro is we still don't "slow down" as much as places in the tropics. People in the tropics, even in Florida, tend to work on "island time". I still chuckle though with the people that are either forced to wear suits in this heat or they love to feel like a wet dog. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
JustinRP37 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
So much smoke today. Got worse heading back home after the game. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
JustinRP37 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
First Yankees game in 6 years for me. Good Lord, this team is garbage. And the stadium is 50/50 Yankees/Phillies fans. What has happened to this once-legendary team? Oh, wait, Hal isn’t George. How is Boone still managing this team? It is hot in the sun, though. Thankfully, the humidity isn’t too crazy. There was a lot of smoke up in Patterson this morning. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
JustinRP37 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Cool mornings, these past few. Low was 57 outside my back door this morning. Felt like September. Looking hot at the end of the week. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
JustinRP37 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Anything this time of year that projects slightly below average should almost always be bumped to ‘average’ unless the air mass is considerably below average and dry. The reason being is that overnight lows in the summer now are almost always above average because of humidity. It is very hard to get a below-average low lately, even if the daytime temps are right around or just slightly below average. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
JustinRP37 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I feel like everything about Twitter has gotten worse since it became X. Hell the Twitter Mets were always terrible, but now the X Mets are just full of dreams and garbage. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
JustinRP37 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I am thoroughly impressed with the humidity this summer. At least the condensate lines won’t have as much trouble since they are flowing like a faucet! No chance for the water to stagnate! But our lab is still reporting very high tick activity. We should be getting out of peak nymph season before the larvae come out in August. The good thing about larvae is that they typically don’t carry disease since they haven’t fed on anything yet. I used to consider winter and summer as tied for my favorite season, but I am starting to enjoy winter the most. I went outside to watch the fireflies last night for 5 minutes and received over 5 mosquito bites. Summer is great though when you don’t have to work and are in the water. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
JustinRP37 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's almost all outdoors from what I hear with minimal shade too (not that that will be an issue today). Think it is still worth it or wait for a better day? Might keep the lines down today... -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
JustinRP37 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Was going to take my son to Legoland NY today. I am guessing that would be a poor decision looking at the models. Grr. -
I think this will end up being our hottest stretch of the summer. The extended looks warm to borderline hot, but does not look exceptional. I’m fine with that, but honestly I will take anything if it means the back door gunk is done for awhile.
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This week’s weather does not look as hot or prolonged as we originally thought. Looking like upper 70s low 80s for me by Thursday. Mid 90s Monday and Tuesday. That is if the models that didn’t get today right are right. Also looks like a quite cloudy week ahead. It does look humid though all week.
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No you are confusing latest sunset and longest day. The longest day is always on the solstice. We peak tomorrow in Manhattan at 15h5m38s, we lose a second by the 21st. By the 26th we have lost a full minute. Same as winter: https://sunrise-sunset.org/a/why-the-shortest-day-is-not-the-day-with-the-earliest-sunset-or-latest-sunrise.
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It really has been feeling like Groundhog Day. Everyday is the same gloomy morning. This morning though it feels like soup outside.
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I mean it is going to be quite the head fake from constant gloom and 60s to even the 90s...