JustinRP37

As for those saying June has been above normal so far, there are many locations in our subforum that are reporting below average. Danbury is one such location posting an average temp of 65.1 degrees against a normal to date of 66.2. For the year Danbury is at 42.1 degrees against an average of 43. Very rare in our current climate to be 'below' average. This May/June has been very odd in that some areas are holding on to cloud cover more than others, especially our more mountainous terrain. I do think the back half of summer will be much warmer than average and our fall will once again be warmer and drier than normal as that would be in line with our "stuck" weather patterns we get.

They are more brown than the blacklegged tick and were originally discovered in the US in NJ. See https://www.aphis.usda.gov/livestock-poultry-disease/cattle/ticks/asian-longhorned. The scary thing about them is their population has exploded because they can reproduce via parthenogenesis which is wild for a tick.

Well now you have to go knock on wood. NJ is interesting though as the Asian longhorned tick is really taking over.

This is certainly the case for many, but definitely not for me. I'm in the very northern part of the NYC Metro. What is doing it I think is the lack of sunshine for long stretches at a time. That is NOT normal for June across any part of our subforum. Also, seeing many days in the future like today which will be a -11 for my area. In today's climate and at this time of the year, that is pretty big to be doing routinely. There are 3 days on models that are at or above normal for my area over the next 14 days. That is a far cry from what many were forecasting this year.

Not saying it is jacket weather. Nor am I saying it isn't summer. But the big forecasts for summer were for +2 to +3 for many of the major outlets for our area. I'm not seeing that is all I am saying. It is looking like "normal". There are plenty on these boards that were saying HHH for days and days and that just isn't in the mix right now. But we do need to try and dry out some for the weekends for seasonal work. That said abundant moisture will keep our lab busy with above average ticks and mosquitoes. That is why I follow this stuff to forecast out what the season will look like. Right now it is well above average for ticks, but tick bites are below average. Likely having to do with weekend washouts keeping people away from hikes and what not.

I am still not seeing any signs of true summer on the models. Now looks more average to just below average moving through June. Forecast for ticks and mosquitoes looks to remain extra abundant!

Starting to look like those calls for much above normal temperatures this summer aren’t going to materialize on LR guidance. Looks like average to slightly above average. As for the ticks we are much above normal. It has been a brutal year for those but people haven’t been outside as much.

I hope so. We need to get a string of dry weeks in here. The tick numbers are crazy high right now. Luckily with the cold recently, the mosquitoes aren't as bad, but that will change too I'm sure.

I think we are going to average out closer to average than not over this time period. I see heat building, but still persistent storminess. It looks muggy some of the time. Here in northern Westchester/Putnam it looks like 3 days in the 80s this week peaking on Thursday but mid 70s for the weekend. Next week looks like 70s too for the first part of the week. Depends on the area. Tomorrow will be mid-70s for most of the forum. Weekend looks like 70s and humid. And maybe struggling to reach 70 next Wednesday. It isn't screaming hot or well above average like I am hearing.

Maybe I am blind, but I am not seeing a true heat signal yet. We have a few well above average days this week, but then it is right back to normal/below normal. Highs in the mid 70s this time of year are normal. Today will be another well below normal day. Thursday should be +10 to +12 then right back down to the mid 70s. Anyone who is proclaiming high heat can you point me as to where you are seeing this? Maybe in the southern part of our forum?

Amazing how so much of May was under low pressure. I really don’t do well mentally with days and days and days of this stuff. Honestly if I could spend April and May in Phoenix that would be my dream. Fingers crossed what we are seeing for June actually happens and we can get some sustained high pressure nearby.

These stuck weather patterns are the bane of my existence. It helps with sleeping though because #depression. I see NYC beaches open this weekend... Ready for the polar plunge?

It is amazing how “stuck” our weather patterns have become lately. On both ends: dry and wet.

You remembered! Yes, I work in vector disease ecology, and we monitor the downstate region for ticks, mosquitoes, and all the diseases they bring us. So far, it is too early to tell if this is a high year for ticks or not when speaking about numbers. It is off to an early start, though. However, if it stays dry with low humidity, that will absolutely stress the tick population. Based on the relatively cold and dry winter, though, we would forecast an average to below-average tick year. As for mosquitoes, too bad we can’t get a late low 20s freeze overnight this week to decrease their numbers. If it stays dry, though, they may have similar issues. I don’t think we will stay dry, though, unfortunately. I think the humidity and thus moisture will pick up by June.

True I'd always want to go to Burlington too. Sad that Jet Blue pulled out of there.

Yesterday was very impressive. Seeing people ski in snow in VT to us being in the 70s/80s. Simply amazing. I would have loved to fly from LGA to BOS and back to see that crazy gradient

It always amazes me that people forget the laws of physics when it comes to fossil fuels. Energy can neither be created nor destroyed (we must have forgotten that fossil fuels are exempt from this and once burned they disappear and have no effect on climate). Also, the “ it was warmer in the past” argument. Well, yes, it was, but let's also see how current-day plants and animals would survive in those climates millions of years ago. We aren't bacteria. And we wonder why measles is coming back when people believe scientists and doctors are full of $ hit. I swear we live in one weird timeline. Anyways, let's please talk about the weather and how after today we trend back down to below seasonal norms for temp before returning to right around seasonal norms next week? Maybe?

I'm merely pushing back on the people saying average temperatures don't matter. Sure a summer can have 30+ 90 degree days, but if it cools off to the 50s/60s each night with low humidity that isn't as bad as a summer that has overnight lows in the upper 70s with 70 dew points. People died back in the day from lack of air conditioning and infrastructure. We won't get heat waves anymore with dew points in the 50s because of our environment today, but it does matter. Merely looking at the number of 90+ degree days is not a good representation of 'climate' that is why we use averages. That is all I was pointing out.

With all do respect as an environmental scientist, this is not true. We have had days in the high 90s with 50-60 dew points, even last year we did. Most of our record highs are with lower dew points. The reason why moisture in the air causes the higher low temps is because of the thermal energy of water vapor. A temperature of 104 is hotter, but if dry, it is much 'easier' to cool off. That is also what fuels storms, heat + humidity. It is also why those lows remain much higher. Throwing out that data because you think it is bogus is not wise. Sure super high temperatures are interesting to see, but a summer with very high humidity and warm overnight lows is telling in and off itself.

This would be so incredibly terrible scientifically. Technically 89 degrees with a few point of 78 holds much more thermal energy than 98 and a few point of 48 thanks to the high specific heat of water.

I honestly can't remember a winter with as many wind holds on ski lifts as this year.

I'm not miserable and judging by how skiing and snowboarding is growing rapidly I think there are more and more winter lovers. Plenty of climates to enjoy in the country. I always ask people why live where you are miserable? Plenty of places to live without seasons. Phoenix being a popular destination without humidity and clouds! Also still close to epic skiing.

How do people on here not enjoy nice cold mornings? You feel invigorated when you take that deep breath in. Very weird how once we get to February some are just like naw let's torch. Spring is our most miserable season here from super hot to cold to many many days of cloudy and gloom with mist and 40 degrees. I'm an extreme guy give me winter and summer. I'm glad Killington's snowiest month is March and they are already ahead of Park City for snowfall this year. I think I need to move further north.

I'm not so sure this jump to spring many are claiming to see is going to be happen as quickly as claimed. It is looking like the first half of March could be average (still above freezing across much of the forum area) to just below average. I mean sure 40s are warmer than we have had, but 40s in the city are still 30s and lower in the Catskills and points north. We'll see, but models seem to be backing off "early spring". I think March will finish right about averages for temperatures and average or below for precipitation.

Very true. I don’t mind the cold, but heard that even with Belleayre, the express chair slipped off a tower today. Hopefully they can get it back up and running soon as I’m going to be there a few time this week. Gore for the seasons so far has just 95 inches of natural snow, well behind their average. For cold, this winter has been a B+/A-, but unfortunately not for snow (yet). I honestly think the northern mountains will have a great spring, Killington especially as March is usually their snowiest month.