JustinRP37
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Everything posted by JustinRP37
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Remember when it used to snow?? Pepperidge Farms remembers…
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This is the most surreal winter I have ever lived through. It is actually pretty scary if you pay attention to the ecological signs. We may see record early leaf out this year. Not to mention the continued spread of invasives north.
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Good lord this winter is by far the most ridiculous excuse for a season. Even people that hate winter are nervous now. It legit feels like we should all be going to Yankee Stadium and Citi Field. Why bother flying to Florida and Arizona for spring training.
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At this point we can still get a good storm, but it is starting to look like even if the cards align it would be a snow and right back to 50s and 60s. This just wasn’t the winter for any of us. Best part though is seeing the home heating oil futures bank on a frigid winter with no supply. Faster we switch to heat pumps (geothermal or air source) the better for budgeting. So I guess that was the silver lining this winter. But for us snow lovers and skiers this ranks firmly at the bottom. Sure the man made snow has been decent, but it just isn’t the same looking at bare ground all around on a strip of white.
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This winter is cooked. Now let's see how many local ski areas remain open by 3/15.
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There are plenty of meteorologists with PhDs. Don’t confuse a media meteorologist with credentials. There are some TV meteorologists without and formal met training. There are also many with great credentials too.
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In a thirty year period the climate should be stable. If you look at the history of the planet yes climate changes over thousands to hundreds of thousands of years. Not within 30 years. Rapid climate change has only be seen a handful of times and that is still in a period of hundreds of years which tended to lead to mass extinction events. What we are seeing right now with the shifts is rapid. Meteorology is NOT a pseudoscience. It is a peer reviewed science. All science is inexact. We are actually very good a predicting climate in the long term. We are not great at predicting weather out more than 5 days in the future. That does not make it a pseudoscience. What does tend to happen is Twitter comes along and certain people who talk about cold and snow gain more followers and thus more prominence. Unfortunately many still cling to whatever met or model shows the most snow or cold then get mad when that doesn’t happen. I’m very nervous that people aren’t paying more attention to the subtle queues we are being given. Even in years where we had plentiful snowfall recently in most of them the days of snow cover was still below average. Last I looked at the data it was something like 2 out of the last 15 winters met the average number of days with snow cover over an inch. It isn’t always about the amount of snow but what about duration? I’m 37 years old and can tell you winter is our most changing season.
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Got down to -7 here in Patterson. Very impressive and invigorating.
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Down to 4 now here in Patterson! Going down to about -6 forecast.
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I am so excited to be in Putnam County. Thunder Ridge has been blasting snow. Should be able to get to 100% open this weekend. But alas, all good things come to a quick end. Now the story will switch to how long will the pack last. I do hope we at least get some more cold nights by the end of the month.
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All day the main news stories have bee “historic paralyzing cold” or my favorite from CNN “Once in a lifetime cold coming”. And yet people actually tune in daily to the “media”
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There are quite a few states that derive quite a bit of economic activity from winter: Colorado, Utah, Montana, Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, to name a few. Poor winters do hurt many areas, especially seasonal areas.
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Our local network Mets have become so over the top. “February feel” for today, well it is February. And “bitter blast” umm no how about routine winter weather. Followed by “rapid recovery” umm no that is not a recovery that is above normal temperatures. I do think the media does a big part of vilifying winter weather across the nation. How about we look at the loss of jobs that also come with years like this? Or how about minimal work for the landscapers who also plow? Or plow truck drivers not getting any overtime to help with the energy bill? Or small ski areas struggling to survive? The media always uses terms to scare people from winter. It’s why I honestly don’t even watch local weather anymore. It is just hype hype hype for the ads machine.
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Oh I hear you. Especially on a Friday afternoon heading west out of the city. Great thing about here is if the highways are packed just jump on a state route like 22.
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Thunder Ridge. Not huge but visible from Patterson Station.
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Don’t you have a Poconos place? But yes this is a far easier drive plus you aren’t far from the Catskills and you could also still daytrip to Vermont or the Daks.
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Much easier than anything on the island. Driving is completely different on the island. Not to mention LIRR is a much harder commute than Harlem line in Metro North. Plus when I get off the train at the end of the day I can see a ski area! Just a different vibe here. It is like being in Vermont but still NY.
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Go Putnam or Dutchess! No bridge to cross and Metro North to the city or multiple highways in!
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Titus is 60% open, Whiteface 78%, and Gore is just 55% open. While yes they look great right now and have had some recent snow, this is still a struggle bus of season. Things are better in the Green Mountains in Vermont finally. Let’s hope this week pushes all of these areas closer to the elusive 100% open.
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Yeah I heard that. It actually snowed a bit at Belleayre yesterday and never got above 36.
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I was looking at webcams of ski areas throughout the northeast and some are still really struggling. Even further north nobody is approaching 100% open and we are about 6-8 weeks from when the northern mountains start losing trails. For the southern mountains that usually starts within 4-6 weeks. Was at Belleayre though yesterday and it was great overall.
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Skiing at Thunder Ridge today was pretty good. Schools closed for some reason so I took the day to get him in skis. Loved it. Just a tough season though. edit> and snow came down heavy for a bit. Probably a half inch.
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I don't know if they will have enough cold then, but then watch April be a string of 30s for highs and low 20s for lows with drizzle during the day just because.
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Looking ahead, I don't see even many nights conducive to snow making. I think this will be a short ski season for most wrapping up in early March in southern New England and early April for most of New England. This won't be a season where we see skiing on Superstar at Killington through May.
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I do wonder how much base climatology goes into models at 240+ hours out. Like how much of it is driven by actual atmospheric modeling versus trying to bring about climate norms. Because this is not unique to just this year. Bottom line this winter is historically bad thus far and even if that changes, it doesn't fix the fact that 2/3rds of met winter have been garbage.
