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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    Rain/snow line racing toward TRI:
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    About to be an epic Christmas eve for a few hours for some folks in NE TN and SW VA!!!
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    Has anyone checked on Dandridge? Is it still there?
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    2 inches and I'm in the same boat as McMinn and Shawn
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Indeed it is.
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    The gifs just weren't doing it justice:
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    For y'all up the valley, toward SW VA and TRI, I can't wait until you get these bands. 100% worth the wait!
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Crazy drive back from Kingsport. 50 or to start, and some nice prefrontal clouds heading down 81: around MM 34: around MM 18, on the hill on 81 just north of Morristown: The temp dropped from 52 on my car thermometer, to 42, between Strawberry Plains and Downtown Knoxville Once I hit Oak Ridge, it was down to 36. A winter wonderland up her on the plateau!!!: Pretty unreal up here with the snow and the wind.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Wet bluebirds are fattening up here in Kingsport:
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    Right over top of my house. Wish I was there! I’m in Kingsport now, about to head back that way.
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    12z HRRR: 15z:
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    How will the Holston and Bays mountain look in 24 hours? Drippy right now
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    I may have missed it, but did anyone see this from MRX overnight? "With the strong signal for CSI, banding is expected and would not be surprised to even see a lightning strike with stronger bands across far NE TN and SW VA."
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    You can start to see the energy at the bottom of the trough doing it's thaaaang: The first image is the SPC's mesoscale analysis of 500 mb potential vorticity. The next image is the upper level WV from GOES 16. On that one, in real time, you can see: the red line is the energy at the bottom, the backing of the flow in response to the energy digging and tilting (arrows and the back line), and finally, what we want to look for, moisture being lifted back up, over N. MS (circle). Sorry it is so fast. We are waiting on a second piece of energy to sorta, schmaybe phase, with the bottom one, to back the flow a bit more, and get some more lift, before the deep moisture runs away: RGEM (because, why not, I'm riding it into the sunset today, might as well go for my best case scenario), says that should start to happen around 2PM Eastern, 1PM Central today. So just in time for a Bonanza Christmas episode on MeTv today. Obligatory RGEM image:
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    C'mon blocking, help us out: That's the spirit!
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    It’s a stout line. Will be interesting to see how long thunder stays with it!
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    The dynamics of this system are, in some ways, already out performing the models. NAMs, WRF-ARW2, HRRR, and RGEM for 9 PM tonight, vs reality:
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    I think so. There is a Mountain Wave forecast for this system. So far, at least in my area, its dynamics are stout.
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    0z day of. Time to walk the line:
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    It's 8:50 PM, do you know where your SREF trends are ?????
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    Working now. Not sure what happened for a bit. Probably that well-shaped dollop again.
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    Something weird going on with the gifs, I'm having a hard time uploading them
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    My 18z Euro is still only out to hr 21 with winter panels, but here is the 3 hr precip from hour 24, when it looks like mostly changed over:
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Always like it when the airmass is so cold, you can see it in IR satellite during the day: Grays that look like clouds sliding through SE OK, but there are no clouds, just cold: Front is popping some convection now too, over central AR: and speaking of lapse rate snow showers, they look pretty healthy in the upper left of that gif, over KS
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    Def a fan of the RGEM for my area. Everything else is too little too late for most of MoCo: Really interested to see if something like those convective bands verify under the lapse rates of the upper low.
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