Holston_River_Rambler
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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler
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I like it when the orange colors start to show up.
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It is the dreaded Gator head SLP presentation: Never good for TN.
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Here is a comparison. The further south one is 0z:
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0z NAM is a little south of 18z.
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I've never seen one of these Miller B transfer types in my location, so will be interesting here. The more amped it is, the more it really wants to run an 850 circulation up the eastern valley.
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18z Euro.
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That might be the system Carvers was talking about earlier, but not sure.
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RGEM looked better with the vort and 850 low:
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Biggest change for me through hour 42 is how the vort looks. The more circular one is the 18z, the other is 12z:
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Nam out to hour 27 could be better confluence, and the vort is moving a hair faster. But there could also have just been a high flying Sandhill crane fart in the wrong direction.
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EPS mean through hour 90
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Snow map:
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Here is the precip map:
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I think so too but was afraid to say it, so we'll go down together, lol.
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Through 66 the vort is a little faster, stronger and a south of 6z.
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Euro is rolling. A touch more confluence over NE at hour 42, than 6z.
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We only like the UKMET when it affirms what we want to believe. Otherwise we toss.
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I'm curious as to how it is showing an ice storm for central and N. east TN with that track. Is it downsloping the midlevels, but locking low level cold air in? I hate ice, but meteorologically that would be something to see.
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He can't get in board until go time. He said it himself a storm or two ago. The jinx would come into play.
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Beautiful: It shows some mixing issues, but the soundings are mighty close to being all snow: Here's one over the Pellissippi area:
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It's making the turn and looks like it will rake E TN. A solid NAMing!
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1002 mb low over Pensacola at hour 72. That would be a straight up Miller A. woot woot!
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yeah, what a south jump:
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Looks like it is trying to pop a 1008 mb low around Mobile at hour 60.
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Some of the subtle differences are starting to pay dividends at hour 57. Base of the vort is probably 150 miles south of 6z.
