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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    Normally you would think this was a good look, lol:
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    I just always wanted to post that, lol.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    This is the biggest Euro run of the millennium....
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    Same for me, but since 1996. Just bad luck in the places I've lived in E TN. I can't complain too much though, since I've occasionally lucked out in some of these marginal setups. UKMET looks like it should be interesting once it finishes running. Pivotal ends the 12z run with this 6 hour total snowfall image at hr 144: My version goes out to hr168.
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Never tried the "anticipate the NAM" trick with SREF for an icing situation and even for snow, it only works like 75% of the time, at least it seems that way to me.
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    NAM may be coming in icier. Last 5 SREF runs of probs of ZR greater than 0.05 in 3hrs:
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    If the Euro is off by several degrees, looks rough for even the plateau: 18z Euro:
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Annnddddd at our hour of dire need, the GFS v16 has returned: a gif of all three systems we've been talking about, since it has been so long since we've had access to its data.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yet another one of the options on the table for next week's system:
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    EPS member 42 FTW this afternoon:
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    You can almost see the arctic front on visible satellite: Watch for the clouds that seem to be unmoving, that's almost exactly where the front is according to temps on wunderground.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    I'll add to John's post, for the TN people: Look how close the ice gets to the edge of the plateau, but not quite there to the south. Will be interesting to see if it actually pushes just a bit farther and hits the plateau.
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    12z Euro for ice event one. I don't have access to a total ZR panel, so I tried to make the gif go slow enough that a person could add it up for their location:
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    RGEM for interested parties:
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    6z Euro for interested parties: probably good to keep in mind, as was posted yesterday, Euro has been underestimating the surface cold push with the front
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    @Stovepipe, NE getting in on some Dandrigde Dollop GFS action\.
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like icepocalypse (ok maybe an exaggeration) over middle and east TN, with snow west. Energy goes negative too early that run. But if it is playing games in the southwest, that could evolve better over time.
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    You can also see how far south the boundary has made it into the Gulf on that run. That would seem to encourage a low to form pretty far south.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    There almost a wall of snow from Canada to the Rio Grande on one frame of this: wow
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    I just hope it doesn't lift north as the vort kicks out. But it looks like the Pac jet is blasting at the Pac NW and that, along with the departing TPV as a 50/50, could help keep it from gaining latitude. I bet we end up with a massive Miller B, (this run) but we will see.
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    A lot of energy in the SW and a big old HP, the drama, the drama of it all:
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Gonna be fun to watch what happens with the pieces of energy over CA and the Baja:
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Hits KY pretty hard with ZR:
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    Euro has ticked south again with the cold: 850 temps last 3 runs:
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