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purduewx80

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Everything posted by purduewx80

  1. purduewx80
    Despite whatever the lower-res NAM is showing, most guidance indicates the trough currently over the Midwest phases w/ the offshore system, allowing the rain shield to expand over the area late tomorrow. Ensemble guidance shows that precip amounts could reach 0.25-0.5" for the city by Tuesday AM.
  2. purduewx80
    guess it's time to block you again. all the precip is behind the front, which is literally the very definition of anafrontal.
  3. purduewx80
    Right rear quad of the ~150KT jet max doin’ it’s thang.
  4. purduewx80
    climo was definitely a big part of the bust, imo. hard to go all in on a historic early-season storm like that. the other interesting forecast aspect is that 1000-500 thicknesses were fairly high/mild due to the short-wave ridging in place. 850-700, 1000-850 and 1000-700 thicknesses were much better tools in determining snow vs mix/rain.
  5. purduewx80
    thanks for reminding me about #lockitin
  6. purduewx80
    The new GFS actually wasn't half bad, thanks to its cold bias. Various runs of the ECMWF also did well.
  7. purduewx80
    100% false. This was posted on the last page, but that jet structure is highly favorable for anafrontal banded precip. As usual it comes down to the timing of the colder and drier air.
  8. purduewx80
    TEB reporting flurries now, anyone else seeing them?
  9. purduewx80
    it's not much colder, there are just members indicating a possible turn to snow for the city. overall it's much more amped than it's been, just like the 12z op run. next week is the one to watch here.
  10. purduewx80
    Lows in the UHI: NYC: 41, LGA: 42, JFK: 34, EWR: 35.
  11. purduewx80
    if we don't take care of the overpopulation problem, the planet sure will.
  12. purduewx80
    slower dorian + deeper lakes s/w. definitely worth watching next few runs.
  13. purduewx80
    legit threat seeing what's out west and knowing that a lot of folks will be bbq'ing or at the beach today.
  14. purduewx80
    Deep layered southerly flow out of the tropics should easily produce mid-60s+ dew points, similar to Sunday PM. The ECMWF shows a peak of 69F at DCA Friday afternoon.
  15. purduewx80
    Curious to see what the fake BOS final will be; the FAA reported just over a foot on the field on calls this morning.
  16. purduewx80
    Double digits for SE MA.
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