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midatlanticweather

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  1. midatlanticweather
    Roll that a day or two further and you see a transient cold! We have to see how it shakes out. Stuff in the long-range are always difficult
  2. midatlanticweather
    I can see clearly that there is nothing clear in the long range. I think we need to continue to focus on the upper patterns because that will dictate what we see at the surface. CALL ME CAPTAIN OBVIOUS! I just am stating, it will not be a clean transition so our daily rundown is likely to stir different outcomes.. but the -EPO seems pretty likely! That -NAO is key and I just want to see it hold.. If we get lucky like 2013, we will get small overrunners.. just hope we get the right side of the front and that it stays close enough to matter. As mentioned the WAR was SO important. But, I do think we had a few true storms that year, including a few larger systems. Not sure if it was due to a -NAO, phasing, or just transient 50/50.. The cold has to be available to tap though, no matter what, and I think we see that is possible... then the individual players will start to show. Somewhere in the thread Bob mentioned short leads to little events.. so I am just looking for the "ducks" to be on the pond and hope we end favorable.
  3. midatlanticweather
    hmmmmm.. 2013 - 2014 redux??? Hope so!
  4. midatlanticweather
    BWI: 34 DCA: 20 IAD: 37 RIC: 16 Tiebreaker (SBY or LYH): SBY: 7
  5. midatlanticweather
    About to share the same. I like it! Maybe a great early year!
  6. midatlanticweather
    And Cohen weighs in.. but not much new information
  7. midatlanticweather
    13 - 14 was the best tracking year of my life. One of my favorite quotes from @Bob Chillthat year was that the atmosphere could fart and it would end up being snow. It was such a unique winter. I like the big ones too, but they come and go too fast. Having snow every 3 to 5 days, or at least something to track, was fun. One time when post storm depression did not have long because something was always on the horizon. 2002 - 2003 and 2009 - 2010 will always have special memories for the big ones. 2013 - 2014 was a special almost the whole winter.
  8. midatlanticweather
    Grabbed this again. Would need to dive deeper to understand how they made the conclusions.
  9. midatlanticweather
    HM is thinking that even colder times ahead after the relax! Not much Meteorology added here, but he did predict early cold snaps, before Thanksgiving, and we got it!
  10. midatlanticweather
    Just another view of what has already been shared. Not much new here, except, I too am encouraged that things are not easily progressing to crazy ridges and warmth. @psuhoffman - that analysis you just shared on the mixed signals has been echoed by quite a few. I am very much in the camp of above normal snow, but really, it could be based on obvious items, and there are other things that are neither positive or negative. Just hopeful we get some southern stream moisture and some real bombs to make it a great winter... and who knows this year.. reminds me of when someone tries to diagnose an issue with a car and comes up with 40 options of what may be the cause.. no matter what happens, they get it right... LOL! Leaning better than normal winter!
  11. midatlanticweather
    I put this is the Discobs thread - but I would guess this is digital snow/mix to some extent!
  12. midatlanticweather
    BWI: 10/27 DCA: 11/17 IAD: 10/22 RIC: 11/10
  13. midatlanticweather
    Storms around! Some "severe"
  14. midatlanticweather
  15. midatlanticweather
    Earlier Tweet from NWS Sterling! Half an inch of rain in 3 minutes!
  16. midatlanticweather
  17. midatlanticweather
    Lightning remains insane!
  18. midatlanticweather
    This thing is a crazy lightning producer! https://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#m=oss;t=3;s=0;o=0;b=;ts=0;z=12;y=39.0308;x=-77.588;d=2;dl=2;dc=0;
  19. midatlanticweather
    It definitely got its act together
  20. midatlanticweather
    This little rotating storm out here looks interesting! Looks to be rotating. Not great structure.. but maybe it will get its act together or fall apart.
  21. midatlanticweather
    Ef-0 sounds right to me
  22. midatlanticweather
    Queue @yoda
  23. midatlanticweather
    Hit or miss interesting. This one has less a look in our back yards, but slight adjustments in many differing factors could have a larger impact. We will have to see how it evolves.
  24. midatlanticweather
    About time..
  25. midatlanticweather
    And we switched.. Sleet and rain.. 33 degrees. Lame
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