midatlanticweather

Someone may do a Leroy Jenkins soon and just post one! I do laugh at "Science Minded" people that are all about evidence based truth.. then get all bent out of shape on a Jinx and curse of a storm thread! To quote a famous song! "God is great. Beer is good. But people are crazy!" Weather Weenies are crazier! My banter shall end here!

Let's hope the second Ice Storm in a week does not come true for Richmond area! Would be just awful!

Amazing

Was mixing Rain and sleet, but seems to be almost all sleet at the moment Purcellville. 28/23

Precip amounts

Still too early! Just tired of the tracking, model watching, and disappointment! Worse than usual! Kind of want a break! Wish it was earlier in winter though

The weather is broken! I am sick of the riding the fence crap and the DC area snow hole.. Bring on Spring at this rate.

About 0.5" from wave 1. But still great to take a walk as the ground remains white! And then this guy showed up!

So the snow that the GFS showed in northern Virginia yesterday appears to have gone north. @Ji I think we are cursed

The only thing I think could have helped was the +PNA - But I mean - I want Unicorns.. Agree that this year has been a tough one. We had most all the checklist covered except a few items.. but you should not have to get all right to get some good snows. This has been a suck winter in many ways. But, one storm could get many to Climo, but there are still many, especially easy of 95, totally starving from lack of snow. Crazy year! LA Nina and the ripping and shearing of systems was definitely an issue. And the set up now is not ideal.. but you would think we could get something to break the right way!

.5" of slop.. bummer

Seems this is the line.

Still sleet/rain mix here in Purcellville.

And just like that.. flakes have slowed to almost a stop. Surprised by this burst, but that did not last too long! See more building slowly to the west.

Snowing well out here in Purcellville. Slushing up the pavement and a coating already! Temp is down to 34. Big flakes, but not quite what we say last Sunday.

I say you pull a Leroy Jenkins and start the Obs.. if the Euro tries to throw us something, we can share it there.. but the writing is clear! And we will be seeing echoes soon!!

Even if not perfect, the output has been a harbinger of eventual outcome. I mean, the model is doing what it is supposed to do.. giving guidance that can be used to make educated forecasts. I am impressed. It is becoming clear that this year, the way things are set up, it is a model that needs respect for possibilities. No model is perfect, but they do let you know what to watch for... Much more respect. I feel @ers-wxman1 should chime in as he saw the merit to it in the first storm.

You are good man! I appreciate the input! BTW - @Ji and I are in the dead zone! LOL! Amazing! You do a good job of posting strategically. But who posts is like a Machine Learning algorithm on whether something looks good or bad! What a crazy time!

How do you know a storm is likely a dud? All the red taggers disappear! Bob goes back into hibernation. PSU may post when someone's reasoning is way off, but he becomes a lurker. Every weenie becomes a wishcaster and thinks they can will a storm in the right direction. And the mood is so low as the chase has died. Depressing

I was thinking the same thing

GFS is lost with all the waves of energy and the sprawling Highs.

Come on GFS to make us feel a bit better.. then the EURO for the real better feel. NEED THAT NORTH TREND.. on Wave 2

NAM almost has the nightmare scenario ! Too far south for wave 1 and too far north for wave 2!

I am no met, but I was mentioning yesterday that these waves, from what I remember, are 3 to 5 inch snows.. the difference here is there were two waves instead of one which was doing better! Jut my 2 cents... This wave still looks like an overperformer for those perfectly set up. Again, not a met.. just going from memory

Congrats @Ji east of the mountains! Lol.