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Albedoman

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Everything posted by Albedoman

  1. lets hope we get a million dollar downpour on Thursday night into Friday for the corn and other crops , otherwise it looks pretty damn dry for the rest of June. Withoot the rain in the next few days, the lawns will turn yellow brown quite easily, especially with mid 90's being predicted. The lawns are really thick but barely wet enough to stay green. The stream flows are average , so I am not concerned with the stream levels so far. Not a drought conditions but another 20 days of below avg rainfall will start to get us there. July is the wettest month but it is not uniform precip coverage for our area. Soem will be crying for rain while other flood. My next thoughts is that way too much precip is falling in middle and southern Fla right now. The dying cold fronts and or low pressure troughs from the mid west hitting Florida have a great environment for tropiocal wave formation and to ride up the east coast right now. If I was a betting man, early July looks to be active with the tropical production in the Gulf of Mxico/Florida coast area.
  2. Lehigh Valley received only spotty showers. Still have not seen a decent thunderstorm this year in Macungie. .64 in of rain overnight. Enough precip to keep things green. This upcoming pattern of somewhat dry but cooler weather is not good for June. The gulf of Mexico has been shutoff for the past month for moisture and the creation of convectivity for daily t-storms. IT appears the daily stratus clouds/showers are in the picture again after this weekend. Boring
  3. what a joke today. The two minute downpours on the half hour gave me an anemic .45 in of a piss poor pollen rinse. Where the hell is all of the convective energy? Stratus cloud cover destroyed any potential today for the upteenth time this year. All I want is a a good 30 minute ear busting thunderstorm but that seems like asking for a noreaster right now. Here it almost June and I have heard thunder less than five times in the last two months. Well on to Wednesday- maybe another chance. Its so dam hard to believe that these line of t storms cannot make it across the state before dying out reaching eastern pa in the past month. Alot of parade organizers that cnaceled their parades are upset as most municiplaities got in their memorial parades before it showered after lunch. 90% chance of severe weather quickly dwindled to 30% after lunch. New forecast model should be no sunshine=no t storms.
  4. wow, I am getting real sick of the media blowing up 3-5 day forecasts with their BS scare tactics. The ignorant public is walking on egg shells. The media takes a 3-5 day forecast and sentionailzes the event in their newspapers. Easton and Phillipsburg publically announced they were canceling their memeorial day parades 3 days in advance. If this was a winter storm maybe yes that might be the case. But a round of afternoon t- storms- give me a break. The media made this sound like it was hurricane hitting this area with torrential downpours ALL DAY. MT Holly needs to make the media post disclaimers that their 3-5 day forecasts are just that-- a forecast- not gospel. I do not fault the NWS but I fault these idiots at the media for blowing this entire forecast out of the water and making the NWS look like idiots at the same time. My thoughts- the NWS should not comment anymore to the press about their forecasts until 48 hours preceeding the event and without a disclaimer. There are too many gullible politicians and ignorant people about weather forecasting and its science and a media who loves to sensationlize anything to sell ads with abolutley no risk. Right now. Great morning for a parade with no t-storms until late this afternoon. The is pretty unstable right now. With the excessive pollen in the air, the setup for severe weather is increasing by the hour. Tornado/severere t-storm watches by 2 pm would be a good bet. That is what the media should be concentrated on.
  5. these storms have died out every evening. Just a light rain shower. Have not had a decent t-storm in weeks. Allentown and points north have seen some rains this past week but Berks, Montgomery and southern part of Lehigh County---- zilch. Just like last year. Hoping Monday pays off.
  6. dumped windows 10. had enough of the constant window update problems, virus crap, and bogging down with new software updates. Hate paying for windows software like word powerpoint etc. Went to linux mint back in 2015 and never looked back. My 12 year old computer with 16 gigs of memory hums like kitten. No viruses, runs quick as hell and use linux mint libre software for free. Updates on its own with nothing running in the background loading up to and and the updates are downloaded on my time, not windows. Major updates are free and best of all no virus checkers. Linux is king.
  7. the media can stick this forecasted inferno summer where the sun doesn't shine ----- oops thats right here. Rinse repeat with drizzle again this weekend. This is just an incredible weather pattern we are stuck in. No storms can fire up east of Columbus Ohio. stratus rain clouds that hang on forever. The amount of mold spores has to be off the charts in our area. I wish for a normal convective squall line to appear with a cold front but I do see that happening until June. What really dislike is the gusty winds that have accompanied these stratus clouds like yesterday with 30 mph gusts and temps in the low 60's Its like fall weather
  8. In my continuing review of after the fact NCEI temperature adjustments for Chester County PA I have reviewed the detailed monthly NCEI average temperatures for all 1,548 months since January 1895. For the first 1,271 months from January 1895 through November 2000. NCEI applied a post hoc chilling adjustment to the reported average temperatures for every single month for each and every year. So for all of those months the average reported temperatures as reported by the NWS Cooperative stations were chilled to an adjusted lower temperature. Since NCEI stopped these non-stop chilling adjustments starting in December 2000... they have now reversed gears and are now applying warming adjustments in 208 of the last 277 months or 75.1% of all months between December 2000 and December 2023. Also of note is that in every single summer month between June and September since way back in June 2006 and continuing through last September 2023....for each of those last 72 consecutive summertime months they have warmed each and every month. Cooling the past and warming the more recent and current years....that will get us to the answer. This averaging only goes to someones agenda for pushing global warming. Time to throw a monkey wrench into this averaging crap-- Urban spawl and imperviousenss with the urban heat island effect. Urban sprawl has a much more significant effect on the urban weather environment. Until these great global warming idiots realize this temp averaging adjustments to prove their point means nada they must consider how the albedo effect too. I can only imagine all of these solar panels installed in the past ten years will do from these huge solar farms and residential homes. The avg temps will start to cool in the upcoming years. When man effects the solar radiation averaging now- basically the NCEI placed an algorithmn to get the results they wish for which is not averaging- it is now considered playing with the numbers.
  9. Seattle weather returns with a vengence for the next two weeks. The only sunny day in the next seven days is Friday and that is not even all sunny. I say screw the monthly average temps discusssion in this forum as its not worth even a discussion because it does not paint the entire picture of this May's weather. With a few days with near 90 highs really does make up for the weeks of 50 degree highs and lower 40's lows. One pathetic t-storm is a joke too. Days on end of cloudy stratus clouds with drizzle/light rain is a landscapers dream for mowing lawns. All I can say if this nasty weather pattern keeps up, we may not see a high in the 90's for all of June. All I want are 2-3 days of sunny days and temps in the low to mid 80's so I can spray my bug killer and clean the green algae off the deck. I guess that is asking for a miracle right now.
  10. well, 45 degrees with moderate rain to srart the day.n What else is new. My heater is on as the house temp cannot even stay at 70 degrees with these cloudy below 50 degree high miserable days. I really hope tomorrow turns out to be sunny but I would expect nothing less than a sunny morning turning into a stratus cloud deck in the afternoon. All I want are 3-5 days of SW winds and chances of t -storms. Guess I wil not see that chance until Memorial day at this juncture. Dying el nino patterns are a real let down.
  11. the high tomorrow barely reaching the 50's. That has to be the coldest high temp I've seen this late in May in a decade or more. Have to turn on the heat maybe. The extensive virga today was a no laughing matter. We finally have some rain now. I can breathe again. Where in the hell are my t-storms? A mid spring without t- storms is like having ten snow virga events in a row. Fustrating
  12. all I can say it is way too cold. Cloudy with 45 degree temps for mid April during the day- BS. Give my heater a rest. No worry with pollen, the drizzle and cold temps keeping the windows shut for now. I see no 75+ degree days until mid May and chance of killing frost or freeze next week. Not a Spring to remember for sure
  13. I tried copying the camera shot from phone the first time. I deleted it and reloaded it. One hell of a graupel thundershower. Ground was white and the cars.. Whole house shook. This was about an hour and half ago in Macungie PA
  14. It is pouring agan here in Lehigh county. I should 4 inches easily in the next few hours
  15. the drought guy here is drowning LMAO. 3.24 in of rain in the last 24-36 hours. Little Lehigh is flooding , Roads closed and farms fields underwater. Farmers say it will at least 2 weeks before they can get in the fields to plant. Its time for a good long warm dry spell. Since December, we have had nearly a years worth of precip (snow and rain) in Lehigh County already My thoughts-- eerily similar setup in this current weather pattern for continuing this wet spring and for an early tropical storm formation like Agnes in 72. A wet spring followed by an early tropical storm would be devastating for our area. https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/06/19/hurricane-agnes-susquehanna-50years-storm/
  16. no way in hell will I have a fit. It will take three months of below 1 inch of rain before the groundwater level and stream levels would even approach drought warning conditions. The local springs are up big time and the base flow of the Little Lehigh Creek in my backyard is still at bank-full. I expect flood warnings to be issued for the Trexlertown area at 1.5 inches of rain as the ground is still saturated tomorrow. I am more worried about more dead ash trees falling from the gusty winds as the soils are supersaturated. I expect Spring Creek rd to be closed by tomorrow afternoon too from the flooding. If a drought were to occur, drought warnings would not be issued until late August at the earliest. July is usually are heaviest precip month too. Weather world is in another world
  17. another sunny day that has become cloudy. Please make this stop. Its been doing this since last June and the smoke fires.
  18. you could have saved a bunch a money and visited macungie two weeks ago to see those rates LOL
  19. what a dud- brief squall line of 45 mph winds. No t storms and heavy rain ended in three minutes. Too much hype. The rolling thunder this morning in the showers was the highlight of this event.
  20. woopee, first t -storm of the new year- in February to say the least. It was nice to wake up hearing rolling thunder with the windows open. I miss the humidity. This is the first time in the past 30+ years I can remember a t storm in Feb but I may be wrong. More to come this afternoon.
  21. yes I agree with El nino pattern statement should be expected rains and warmth but not to that extreme that we all experienced. December had the most rain ever recorded in the LV which rivaled good hurricane season rains and flooding was unbelievable. I am also sure it was the cloudiest periods ever for the winter season. Somebody needs to find this out. We went in 5-6 day mostly cloudy stretches for at least two months with no 2-3 day consecutive sunny days That should have been a good tell how this winter was going too.
  22. well for macungie, I still rate it a C- even with the nice snowfall event on Saturday and the previous week. The temps have been cold this week and for one week in January but what strikes me about this winter was the amount of warm temps and rainfall from late November into January of nearly 15 inches. Furthermore the excessive cloudy days throughout the entire winter season did a number on my utility bill trying to keep the house warm. This winter sucked except for the last week. A couple of weeks of winter simply does make up for the flooding rains and cloudy days, especially at Christmas time.
  23. nice report card synopsis I would change the grade for No 6 however from F- to withdrawn or incomplete. We must grade properly now. By the way, maybe some of the courses were audited so a satisfactory or unsatisfactory maybe more appropriate. I would say no. 6 falls in the category too. LMAO
  24. thanks for your confidence in me. Last night single digits back up the snow pack too. I just wish everyone would have received the same amount. Its not fair as I feel as I am the one that got served surf and turf while everyone else got mac and cheese. I warning many of those who think winter is dead based on the upcoming weather patterns. A dying el nino pattern usually brings a significant snowfall by mid to late March for our area. My 30+ years, I have observed this phenomenon. The problem is that it will all melt right way because of the sun angle but I still think about it. The 60+ degrees in early March will be replaced by cold rainy April too.
  25. down to 9 degrees in the LV this morning. Snow pack has helped. Yesterday, I got down to 8 degrees
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