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Albedoman

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  1. Albedoman
    this is what I thought would hit us- but eh drought continues. Yes, the first measurable precip will fall as rain changing to snow after Nov 15
  2. Albedoman
    3 feet of snow for the smokies on the 0Z run tonight for election day. What is the GFS smoking? And we mange only some drizzle of course LMAO
  3. Albedoman
    here is my proof on local conditions by LCA. By the way LCA supplies the entire water supply for just not Lehigh County and Allentown bu the entire NE part of the country. Samual Adams, Niagra, Deer Park, Peierre, Ocean Spray, Desanti, Coke , Dr . Pepper/Keurig etc all use LCA wells to provide you bottled water products and your beverages. Bet you guys did not know this. And the Little Lehigh in my backyard supplies the entire city of Allentown and it suburbs and is the cleanest trout fed limestone stream for a major metro area in the entire country. https://www.lehighcountyauthority.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/LCA-WeeklyReport-DroughtMonitoring-Dashboard-101624.pdf https://www.lehighvalley.org/news/data/lehigh-valley-a-state-leader-in-beverage-manufacturing-companies/
  4. Albedoman
    after looking at the last two GFS runs, these ignoramuses at PADEP better issue a drought warning and soon. There is no precip for at least two more weeks as the election day rains as well as the pre-halloween fantasy snow storm have all but dissapperered from the LR GFS models. I am telling you all that drought is becoming real serious situation now. Any dry cold front that comes through will also trigger wildfires bigtime in the poconos as well as the Pine Barrens too. Wells are drying up quickly. The well drillers in our area have got to be balls to the wall busy right now. I expect limestone springfed streams to start going dry in our area. The Litttle Lehigh in my backyard will be going dry real soon and that is a huge problem for the 300,000 people in the LV. People are still watering their vegetation as well lawns. The plants and shrubs have not gone into winter dormacy. Landscapers are attemting to reseed and plant new vegetation and trees but without irrigation it is fruitless. By the time the rains come, the soil temps will be too cold for the seed to germinate and the new plantings root balls will shrivel to nothing, thus with no firm root system established. We basically have until Nov 15 to plant grass seed, yet we have no rain all the way to Nov 6. One week of precip is not going to do it folks. Here at my house , I have two nights already below 30 degrees and with at freezing temps for 4 days now, its not looking good. The soil temps are dropping quickly with no available moisture in the soil profile. Its a real desert right now as the dinural temps are swinging from 70 degrees to around freezing with humidities at 35% or less. Little frost and no dew because of the little low humidities are making the germination process even a worse situation.
  5. Albedoman
    At this point, I will take anything that brings precip LMAO. White rain as temps will be in the 70's days before
  6. Albedoman
    This getting real serious yet no drought warning issued- what is wrong with PADEP? https://www.wfmz.com/news/area/berks/reading-area/mandatory-water-conservation-notice-issued-for-reading-area-customers/article_29a0c5e2-8cc9-11ef-aec9-3752714160ee.html#tncms-source=More-from-newsroom-(right-column)
  7. Albedoman
    down to 29 here in Macungie last night. Heavy frost and a killer freeze. Still no rain in sight. The drought moniort says we are in a moderate drought today. BS I say. The stream levels are down bigtime and wells are going dry. Severe IMHO. Biggest take away, zero chance of the burned up lawn now recovering from this wicked dry spell until next spring. Landscapers will be busy next spring reseeding lawns from the damage done by this years high and dry fall weather.
  8. Albedoman
    this guy below in the link does a fairly decent job of agreeing with me for a better explanation of how I think this winter will pan out
  9. Albedoman
    miller b's forming at the tail end of the clippers as they stall out coming toward us and form a transfer low off the MId Atlantic coast. Lots of ice and wet snow events.
  10. Albedoman
    When the township replaced the 24 inch stormwater pipe about two weeks, the soil profile was literally dust as it was so dry. In all my years, I have never seen the soil profile that dry 4 to 6 foot down. I am reiterating PADEP has their head up their a** for not declaring a drought warning. Keep on watering people, as more wells go dry and the base flows disappear in the limestone geology streams. The shale stream beds are already dry.
  11. Albedoman
    the tide will change- mark my words. I have it seen happen several times in the last 30-40 years. La Nina is fading quickly. Evidence is with the GOM moisture becoming an issue in the last few weeks and the jet stream that fed and steered the living hell out of the last two hurricanes over the SE USA that was way too far south for this time of the year. Once the neutrality pattern sets in, the Arctic clippers will return with a vengeance and so will the cold temps.
  12. Albedoman
    by the way, I am crossing my fingers that the front at least brings enough precip to wash the dust off the cars from todays winds. Not a drought buster for sure but enough to wet the ground as the radar looks promising for at least a 2-5 minute downpour tonight
  13. Albedoman
    drought guy here- saying that this drought will be broken by Thanksgiving with a heavy rain storm followed by a light snowfall event for the LV area. After an initial few weeks of cold/rainy and maybe even snowy weather into late November, the typical rain to snow precip pattern will return by the second week in December with decent cold snaps and maybe even some polar air reaching us by Christmas. Then the flood gates will be opened for some major snow events the rest of the winter with constant refreshed clippers - similar to the winter of 2003 after a blistering drought in 2002. Take away for the next few months- the La Nina will slowly die off and we will have a ENSO neutral winter in full effect by early January. This typical weather pattern brings real nice cold snaps, days of snow covered ground and a good chance of frequent arctic clipper MIller B snow events usually starting in the first to second week of December and lasting till March. The usual January thaw maybe tempered this year folks in this pattern. Until then, I see absolutely no significant rain until around Halloween to Election Day time period. I would not be surprised to see election Day to be a washout as our first significant rain event
  14. Albedoman
    Absolute horse shite. 70% of rain to zilch 3 events in a row over the last 3 weeks. Mt Holly just stop predicting rain until every model indicates more than .25 of rain in a 24 hour period. If padep does not issue a drought warning, they can kiss m0y as%.
  15. Albedoman
    the drought guy is now saying that a drought watch will be issued now. The Green Lane reservoir in Montgomery county is the lowest I have ever seen in the last 30+ years . Philly relies on this water. Allentown's Little Lehigh water source will be next. The sinkholes have continued to open up and will only get worse. If we do get heavy rain, the sinkholes will really open up. Personally, I see red flag warnings coming in the next few weeks as the dry cold fronts will make the Pine Barrens and forest floors a tinder box with the falling leaves. Very little color as the leaves are just turning brown and falling off- even the maple and poplar trees. These Florida hurricanes are literally sucking the living shit out of available mositure to be transported to the NE with normal frontal passages. The GOM and Atlantic has been turned off and with the Alleghenies/Appalachian mountains in PA, all the rain is being dumped in Ohio and western PA is being rung out and we are left in a desert. Last night's 80% rain and thunderstorms that was in the forecast on Friday dwindled to shit in 24 hours. Need I say more? This pattern is really bad. Landscapers cannot reseed because its to dry, new trees must be watered sucking down the creeks and other water sources and no significant rains in the next 2-4 weeks PADEP better wake up
  16. Albedoman
    one inch of rain while good for the grass and stop the browning process, is not recharging the ground water tables or stream flows. They continue to drop and rapidly. How do I know this for a fact? Another serious sinkhole opened up last night in Catasaqua just like I called over three weeks ago. The sinkhole formation will get much worse over the course of the next several months as the groundwater tables fall. Watch what happens if get 5 inches of rain, then they will open up even more as the sinkhole cavities erode quickly from closed depressions and voids filling up with water again. https://www.wfmz.com/news/area/lehighvalley/lehigh-county/northern-lehigh-county/large-sinkhole-in-catasauqua-nearly-swallows-van/article_7654eda4-7da2-11ef-957b-7b91b426a602.html#tncms-source=More-from-newsroom-(right-column)
  17. Albedoman
    Flood warning here in Macungie. The street is damp and the pavement still dry where the trees overhang the street. LOL
  18. Albedoman
    0.0 in the LV what a joke. Anything north of turnpike basically received nothing. a wall of suppression thats for sure. The Sahara conditions live on
  19. Albedoman
    0.0 Places from Harrisburg to York got some precip. The entire complex for the umpteenth time hit the Blue Mts and completely died That was 40% chance . It will take an 80% chance of rain to actually cause measurable precip for our area. Precip chance for the rest of the week have already fallen from 70% to 50%. Not looking good thats for sure. By the way back to back hurricanes for the GOM area in the next two weeks and the LR show none of it hitting here. Thats just plain crazy.
  20. Albedoman
    well, it made channel 69 news tonight https://www.wfmz.com/news/area/southeastern-pa/officials-watching-reservoir-levels-in-mont-co-urge-residents-to-conserve-water/article_b9f19726-7797-11ef-9b46-bb83d07735ae.html#tncms-source=More-from-newsroom-(right-column)
  21. Albedoman
    This afternoons GFS runs indicate back to back hurricanes at less than 930 mb (Katrina) in the GOM Time to take these storms seriously. Two strong Cat 4 + hurricanes will destroy many areas and I see massive evacuations taking place. However the first hurricane dies over the TN Valley and never hits us with little tropical remnants like Francine. The desert climate regime will be maintained. Had a back hoe near my property replacing a 24 in stormwater pipe. The ground 4-6 ft down in the trench was literally like powder. I have never seen the entire soil profile that dry. As I said a few days ago, the maple leaves are just now turning brown too and falling off now- scorched. Not much red in the leaf color this year.
  22. Albedoman
    Nailed this forecast
  23. Albedoman
    I love MT Holly weather discussions . Here it is at 3 in the morning Current conditions at Allentown Queen City Municipal Airport (KXLL) Lat: 40.57°NLon: 75.49°WElev: 400ft. Partly Cloudy 66°F 19°C Humidity83% Wind SpeedN 3 mph Barometer30.13 in Dewpoint61°F (16°C) Visibility10.00 mi Last update18 Sep 2:35 am EDT Yes guys , it is so COOL. Nobody can sleep when it is dam near 70 degrees with 80%+ humidity without the AC on. Please stop identifying 60 degrees as cool for overnight lows.
  24. Albedoman
    a no brainer- team drought city- by 5 touchdowns. Winner CMC .10 in north of Rt422 with .50 in closer to philly. If you really want to see irrefutable evidence of the seriousness of the current drought conditions that (MT Holly and other naysayers keep denying) that we are in, just drive over to Green Lane Reservoir near Green Lane on RT 29 in Montgomery County. The reservoir is down by at least ten feet and the past water line marks are clearly shown on the bridge piers while crossing the reservoir. Furthermore, the banks are now extended at least 10 feet out into the lake. That is the lowest level I have seen in a real long time. This reservoir directly feeds the metro Philly area as their main water source when the the Schuylkill river levels are down. They have to reduce pumping out of the river because of the existing sewage treatment plants from Hamburg/Reading/Pottstown/Collegeville/ Phoenixville/ Oaks/Audubon and the Limerick Nuclear cooling tower plant discharges when the river flows are down big time. That why I really think the these govt officials are literately full of shit when it comes to drought talk. They are not hydrologists- I am.
  25. Albedoman
    who is MT Holly kidding? .25 of an inch, thats just enough to get the streets wet for several hours. That's it. A dust rinse for the top of the cars. Its not even enough to get the dead bugs off the windshield. The leaves are just going to turn to brown and yellow and fall off. The corn will be dry enough to harvest by next week and the soybean fields are bright yellow now. The weather discussion keeps screaming 2 in downpours south of Philly. Have not seen a 2 in downpour here in western Lehigh county that since late July. Meanwhile everyone north of the turnpike is burning up.
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