Albedoman

I can validate this big time. My severe short term drought is over after today. I live in the Ancient Oaks area. My rain gauge had 3.5 in of rain. I was at my sons house near Telford all day , - he received only .05 in. When I got home this evening, I was floored . Debris from the flooded street was in my driveway. Had a little water in the basement. That is hardest rain in four years here. I am just glad that we got rain. That was a million dollar plus rain for the farmers in western LV. Salisbury Township and areas near my house had quarter size hail and flooded streets. The pollen was knocked off the trees and I can breathe again.

Brush fire in eastern Berks County threatens homes Crews responded to a 3- to 4-acre brush fire in the area of Huffs Church Road and Cherry Drive in District Township Brush fire in eastern Berks County threatens homes By KEITH DMOCHOWSKI | [email protected] | Reading Eagle PUBLISHED: April 12, 2023 at 3:21 p.m. | UPDATED: April 12, 2023 at 4:44 p.m. Fire crews responded Wednesday afternoon to a two-alarm brush fire in the area of Cherry Drive and Huffs Church Road in District Township. Calls around 2:10 p.m. reported a 3- to 4-acre fire moving toward properties on Cherry Drive. Crews from multiple fire companies responded shortly after, and a second alarm was struck. An air drop was requested about 2:50 p.m. and numerous spot fires were reportedly breaking out. Firefighters were battling the flames with several hose lines as well as leaf blowers, and water was drawn from a large pond on Cherry Lane, according to emergency reports. Additional assistance was requested from Montgomery and Lehigh County fire departments. The flames were stopped by a creek on one side, and crews were containing the blaze and awaiting an imminent air drop at 3:40 p.m. The airdrops largely extinguished the active fire, and crews were moving back in for cleanup at 4:15 p.m. More information will be provided as it becomes available.

https://www.lehighvalleynews.com/environment-science/lehigh-valley-under-red-flag-warning-as-massive-fire-burns-in-new-jersey

One of the most prevalent varieties of pine trees in PA is “Pinus strobus,” commonly known as the Eastern White Pine. This pine tree is tall – growing quickly to a height of up to 100’ – with a full crown of dark needles and pinecones that drop every year. If you haven’t noticed the pinecones on the tree, you’ve certainly noticed them on the ground! Especially this year. Have you ever wondered “why are there so many pinecones this year?” It boils down to survival. Trees have different reactions based on the climate and weather around them. In years with a healthy amount of rain, the tree will focus more on growth and less on seed production. However, in years where there just isn’t enough rain (like this past winter/spring) the tree will compensate by producing an abnormal number of seeds (to encourage propagation). On a pine tree, these seeds are found in pinecones that will eventually drop to the ground.

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 924 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023 PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-130000- /O.UPG.KPHI.FW.A.0001.230412T1500Z-230413T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.FW.W.0002.230412T1500Z-230413T0000Z/ Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-Delaware-Philadelphia- Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery- Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- 924 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * AFFECTED AREA...Carbon, Monroe, Berks, Lehigh, Northampton, Delaware, Philadelphia, Western Chester, Eastern Chester, Western Montgomery, Eastern Montgomery, Upper Bucks and Lower Bucks. * TIMING...Wednesday. * WINDS...West 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 25 percent. * TEMPERATURES...Afternoon high temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s. * IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. There will be increased risk for rapid wildfire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly due to a combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels. Any fires that develop may quickly get out of control and become difficult to contain.

PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-121015- /O.NEW.KPHI.FW.A.0001.230412T1500Z-230413T0000Z/ Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-Delaware-Philadelphia- Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery- Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- 346 PM EDT Tue Apr 11 2023 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening. * AFFECTED AREA...Carbon, Monroe, Berks, Lehigh, Northampton, Delaware, Philadelphia, Western Chester, Eastern Chester, Western Montgomery, Eastern Montgomery, Upper Bucks and Lower Bucks. * TIMING...Wednesday. * WINDS...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 30 percent. * TEMPERATURES...In the lower 80s. * IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. There will be increased risk for rapid wildfire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur due to a combination of strong winds, low relative humidities, and dry fuels. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings.

yep, the drought weenie called it LOL 249 AM EDT Tue Apr 11 2023 ...ELEVATED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING... A combination of low relative humidity, gusty westerly winds, and dry fine fuels will lead to an elevated risk for fire spread with any potential fire starts this afternoon across New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania. Minimum relative humidity values this afternoon will range from 20 to 25 percent across the region. Winds will be sustained from 10 to 15 mph with gusts around 20 to 25 mph, highest around mid to late afternoon. Fine fuel moisture may be somewhat of a limiting factor, mainly across southern New Jersey, due to rainfall last Friday. Residents are urged to exercise caution if handling any potential ignition source, including machinery, cigarettes, and matches. Be sure to properly discard all smoking materials. Any dry grasses, dead leaves, and other tree litter that ignite will have the potential to spread fire quickly. For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions, and wildfire prevention and eduction, please visit your state`s forestry or environmental protection website.

Red Flag warnings a coming by next weekend. Underbrush fires appear to be a problem this week.

wow, a retrograding low at the end of the forecast period- pretty rare for this time of the year. Cloudy cool days with drizzle- how boring

believe me, after this week, this map will change big time. Much of this info is based on existing USGS streamflow, well yields data and evap rates. When the water resources are getting sucked out of the ground by our citizens through watering their gardens/lawns/golf courses, washing their vehicles to get the constant pollen and dust off their vehicles (yellow and green haze- which by the way will seem unusually thick this year) and basic spring cleaning chores along with drinking more water because it will be in the mid 80's next week, that map will be history. The models indicate one slim chance of rain on or near the 19th and thats it for the next 10-15 days. We really need a Noreaster right now with 2-3 in rains over several days. The farmers will be plowing dust in the air in the next few weeks. I will bet somewhere in our region, , the media will take pictures of the excessive pollen dust on the vehicles or the plows blowing up dust storms. Thats how they work-- sensationalism.

can you say sucking the living hell out of the soil moisture and lowering the groundwater tables in the next 4 weeks.

the infamous winter donut hole LMAO

too late, we are all getting stung. I see no appreciable rainfall in the next week or so. I believe drought watches will be hoisted by the end of next week as stream flow levels are in drought conditions already exist in our area. The wells levels will drop significantly as people begin to water their plants and gardens as the releafing process is ongoing this next week. Less than .25 inch of rain tonight is not cutting it- just dusting down the parched soils. I expect that we are in the beginning of a nasty drought coming at the end of the this La Nina year which is very typical and I have been stating this all winter in this thread.

Nice cloud to ground lightning, gusty winds but what the hell, hardly any rain. All day long, only received less than . 50 in the bucket. I have seen a much worse storm in the Lehigh Valley thats for sure. C'mon I need at least 1-2 inches of rain on Wednesday. The stiff NW winds today will parch everything pretty quickly. We really need a rain producer before the trees releaf.

way long time ago under the old forum. Do not remember the exact time before 2017. I believe somebody else had that name too. Thats why I changed it.

You guys better start thinking about drought instead of cold and warm. Not having more than .50 inch of rain in weeks here at my house is worrisome. Usually the ground is so wet, I cannot even drive the mower on it. Once the tree releaf begins and the temps hit near 70, its game on as the moisture will really get sucked out of the ground. Fortunately the soil temps are below normal now but that can quickly change with a few sunny 70 degree days. I am hoping Saturday we can get an inch of rain with some t- storms but I am not holding my breath as this stagnant light shower weather pattern refuses to budge. I am so tired of either the constant cloudy cold days or sunny blowing your ass around days. It has been this way for the entire month. 50 degree sunny days with 30 mph + northerly winds is not productive.

wow- t storms in the forecast the next few days. Well beats the hell out of this past winter. Bring it on and we really need the convective gully washers

ah don't worry, our drought is just starting. No significant rain events in the immediate future. 1-2 in of rain since January is not going to cut it it with no snow base. The fire watches/red flags are only the start of the drought problems in these past few weeks. If we get no significant rain events by leaf out, we will be in a drought folks. Well yields and stream flows will be down big time. This happens after every La Nina winter pattern like clockwork. What breaks the drought-- early season tropical storms

That model is on a snow high for sure. NO way.

NO way in hell does this work out for us. There is not enough cold air in the profile. Just toss this crap back into the hopper.

I finally found out what pattern we are now in

March snow squalls only the light version nothing more. Agree will be gone quickly. Batter up for next week though.

Game on. The models keep spitting out a deepening LP late next week. The precursor for a MAJOR pattern change IN THE MAKING signified by todays BS system becoming the eventual blocking mechanism for next weeks storm for us. Now you can say buckle up.

Thanks for checking Mike. Typo?