OrdIowPitMsp

24+ hours of dense fog. Freezing fog at night. Last day above freezing for awhile today. Cold and dry. Frost depths are going to be impressive if we don’t get some insulating snowcover.

Rain this morning is eating away at the snowpack. We’ll have brown ground by tomorrow. 0.50” of precipitation expected. All liquid…

73 and sunny in the Coachella Valley. Minneapolis reported a 3” snow-depth this morning. Gloomy and grey there for the remainder of 2024.

Off on our annual snowbird sojourn to the Coachella Valley to visit my parents. Mom isn’t doing so well, (Dementia) so trying to give her as much grandkids time as we can while we can. Picked a good week to go this year, lots of zzzzz weather in the upper Midwest. Coming back the 28th, hopefully right before a pattern shakeup.

Low of 0 this morning in Minneapolis. Was hopeful for our 4th below zero low of the season, but this is still colder then guidance had us.

I was in Manhattan for the January 22-24th 2016 HECS. 27.5” in Central Park and 30.5” at JFK. It was absolutely bonkers but of course started melting immediately.

1995/1996 is an all timer winter in Minnesota. Crazy to see how shafted Detroit was that year, had no idea.

MSP ended up with 5.5” of snowfall yesterday on 0.23” of liquid. I believe that’s a ratio of 20-1

@michsnowfreakI pulled some text from forecast discussions late last week. The Canadian really nailed this storm. Friday 12/13/24 1:35pm Looking ahead, unless we see the boom scenario for snow tomorrow, it is looking more like a brown Christmas this year as additional opportunities for snow look grim. Then there is this nugget from Saturday 12/14/2024 The most likely scenario right now is that we see a clipper go to our north, with the heaviest snow up along the international border. For us, it`s looking like we get into a clipper warm sector, which may allow for a quick warmup and even thaw for Thursday before we see another modified arctic airmass and below normal temperatures for next weekend.

Models had this as a northern Minnesota event 5-7 days ago. Forecast discussions last week were doom and gloom about white Christmas chances. Now it’s pretty much a lock MSP has 1” on the ground at 6am on 12/25

Heaviest totals are going to end up 50-75 miles south of where it was modeled. Snow is just about done in the metro but it’s rocking in southern Minnesota.

MSP reporting 5” at the noon update. Should tack on another 1-2” this afternoon.

6” reports starting to flow in south of the metro. That area is in line for more moderate snow in the coming hours. Might be a zone of 8-10” when all is said and done.

Fairbault to Rochester up to the southern suburbs might be the jackpot zone. I’m eyeballing around 4”, there’s a 5.2” report in Richfield. Expecting a lull late morning until the wrap around bands come through this afternoon.

Yeah the WSW was expanded south, seems to be the trend this winter. Airport reported 1.6” at 6am.

19F, 1/2mi visibility and moderate to heavy snow. Looking really good out there this morning. MPX bumped the metro up to 5-7”

Do the Michigan WFOs play a game of chicken to see who will issue a WWA first?

Pretty odd. Not sure I’ve ever seen us go from nothing to a winter storm warning before, but I’ll certainly take it. I’d feel a bit better being by you in the north metro. Anoka county should be in a prime spot. I haven’t had a ton of time to look at the high res models today but the city should be good for at least 4”+

We got dusted in south Minneapolis. Probably 0.1-0.2, wasn’t expecting it tbh.

Lock it in. If you want snow, head north my friends.

Tomorrow looks like a nice cosmic coating, but Thursday has my attention. I’m selfishly worried about the metro being a county or two south of the main action but we could easily score 3-6” out of that one. Since 2000, Minneapolis has 69% odds of a white Christmas. That drops to 60% the last 10 years. Thursdays system will probably determine it this year.

Manager only 0.05” of precipitation yesterday. Mostly sleet with some freezing rain. Freezing fog has everything extra slick this morning.

We’ve stayed mostly frozen hydrometers in the city. Just a touch of freezing rain to glaze things. Not even sure if we’ll see 0.10” of precipitation. This really fizzled out imby.

Drying trend on the hi-res models today, but at this point radar trends are all that matter. Maybe an inch of snow/sleet tomorrow. When it’s been cold and dry keep expecting the same I guess.

Temps held steady at 0 all night but we managed to sneak below zero for an official low of -1F. 3rd low below zero of the season. Tomorrow looks interesting. WWA for ice, but we could see the warm wedge aloft have a little less juice and end up with 2-3” of snow.