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gallopinggertie

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Everything posted by gallopinggertie

  1. gallopinggertie
    This winter has been profoundly boring in Portland, Oregon. Coldest temperature of 27, zero snow or ice, hardly any wind or heavy rainstorms. Lame even by our standards.
  2. gallopinggertie
    There are reports that Chido caused extreme damage in Mayotte, with hundreds or possibly over a thousand people killed. Mayotte’s population has surged with many Comorians moving there in recent years for economic reasons, often living in shantytowns.
  3. gallopinggertie
    JRWC is forecasting it to make landfall on the N coast of Mozambique, still as a strong cyclone. Chido is slang for “cool” in Mexican Spanish.
  4. gallopinggertie
    https://apnews.com/article/pakistan-lahore-record-pollution-3bada25447094a3b1bd62d3be38b5984 Horrible air pollution is striking the city of Lahore. They opened their first Metro line in 2020, but they will have to build many more to mitigate pollution. The city already has 13 million people in the metro area and is rapidly growing.
  5. gallopinggertie
    Sounds like Rafael bit Havana pretty bad. Cuba did not need a major hurricane strike with the way that country is in full scale collapse.
  6. gallopinggertie
    Has there ever been a hurricane that strengthened to Cat 2 in the Gulf of Mexico and then weakened to a tropical depression or dissipated upon reaching the gulf coast? That seems to be what NHC is forecasting.
  7. gallopinggertie
    The wiki page on this typhoon claims that “Kong-rey was the first typhoon in Taiwan's history to make landfall after mid-October and the largest storm to strike since Typhoon Herb in 1996.” At one point, cloud cover extended all the way from the northern tip of Borneo to the very south of South Korea!
  8. gallopinggertie
    Hopefully Oscar’s tiny size prevents it from causing too many problems in Cuba. God knows they have enough going on at the moment as it is.
  9. gallopinggertie
    Does seem like it would be passing over or just to the south of Grand Turk now. Oscar’s track reminds me of Joaquin in 2015.
  10. gallopinggertie
    That’s one I’ve thought about, especially if it stalled over Miami like it did over the Bahamas. Another bad scenario would be if Andrew had made landfall 10 or 20 miles north of where it did.
  11. gallopinggertie
    I’ve seen a list on wiki of normalized costs for hurricanes, I.e. how much damage a hurricane would cause if it hit today. I’m not sure how complete it is though. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:Costliest_U.S._Atlantic_hurricanes_by_wealth_normalization
  12. gallopinggertie
    Oh sorry, I took it the opposite of how you meant it - my bad.
  13. gallopinggertie
    I post on a certain other regional weather forum, and some of the people there don’t even believe climate change is real. One of them said these conspiracy theories are the fault of climate scientists. Absolutely unhinged
  14. gallopinggertie
    Idiocracy.
  15. gallopinggertie
    There is definitely a lot of loss. I think we will see a final damage tally of tens of billions of dollars from this one (the first preliminary estimate I saw was 30-50 billion, though it seems too early to pin down an exact number). Whereas the worst-case scenario I’m sure would have been well north of $100 billion. It’s wild how these last-minute wobbles and timing issues have such outsize effects on people’s lives and livelihoods.
  16. gallopinggertie
    I’d suggest having more nuance, Milton wasn’t the worst case scenario but plenty of communities in florida aren’t “just fine” right now either.
  17. gallopinggertie
    The roof is made of fiberglass coated with Teflon, so I’m not sure if it’s accurate to call it fabric. Also, I’d be concerned about water damage to components of the structure as rain falls on it.
  18. gallopinggertie
    Milton is about to cross over Florida’s tallest mountain range, the mighty Lake Wales Ridge.
  19. gallopinggertie
    Wow, is this the first extreme wind warning ever issued for a major city?
  20. gallopinggertie
    Yeah, it looks to be 3 or 4 hours from making landfall judging by its current speed and heading.
  21. gallopinggertie
    The difference that occurs to me is Milton is a good bit smaller than Katrina. Though NHC has mentioned several times they expect it to grow in size before making landfall. They’ve also mentioned Milton might already be beginning to make extratropical transition by the time it makes landfall, which is pretty wild.
  22. gallopinggertie
    I had the same thought, was also surprised by people saying that IKE would be really high for that reason.
  23. gallopinggertie
    Pardon my ignorance, but how common is a rainfall event like this in western Florida? I thought they were used to torrential rains from summer thunderstorms, but that does sound exceptional.
  24. gallopinggertie
    Seasonal ACE in the Atlantic is now higher than in the W Pacific!
  25. gallopinggertie
    Wouldn’t it be closer to Ian ($113 billion)? The Sarasota metro area has about the same population as the Ft. Myers area. Or are you thinking higher because Tampa will still get bad flooding even with the forecast track to the south of the bay?
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