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gallopinggertie

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Everything posted by gallopinggertie

  1. gallopinggertie
    Should be a bad hit for the town of Marquelia (population just 14,000) which it looks like John will travel directly over. Hopefully damage is somewhat mitigated by the fact that the town is a couple miles inland.
  2. gallopinggertie
    Is John’s windfield actually as small as it’s shown by the NHC? I can barely make out the hurricane-force winds here. I guess the system’s inner core does look somewhat small on satellite.
  3. gallopinggertie
    Meanwhile, Bebinca was apparently the strongest typhoon to make landfall over Shanghai (though still just a Cat-1 equivalent) since 1949.
  4. gallopinggertie
    I should clarify that the RSMCs in the Pacific did stop issuing advisories on Yagi when the remnants crossed into Myanmar. Though the surface low never dissipated. So technically, the TC did lose TC classification. But the low reorganized into a deep depression over the NIO and Ganges River delta region. I wonder if that was due to the brown ocean effect…this is near the end of the monsoon season in Bangladesh so the land is probably quite waterlogged by now.
  5. gallopinggertie
    I really hope this is one of those situations where the number of missing people gets revised downward by a lot. That is a crazy graphic. Yagi still looks like a tropical storm to my untrained eye.
  6. gallopinggertie
    Yagi ended up causing horrible flooding in Myanmar. Hundreds of deaths were reported there, as well as in Vietnam. So far it’s the sixth-costliest typhoon on record, with $14 billion in damages, mostly in China.
  7. gallopinggertie
    Bebinca just made landfall in Shanghai as a marginal 65-kt typhoon.
  8. gallopinggertie
    Bebinca just made landfall in Shanghai as a marginal 65-kt typhoon.
  9. gallopinggertie
    Yagi ended up causing horrible flooding in Myanmar. Hundreds of deaths were reported there, as well as in Vietnam. So far it’s the sixth-costliest typhoon on record, with $14 billion in damages, mostly in China.
  10. gallopinggertie
    Another strong typhoon is predicted to hit China in a few days, this time further north, near Shanghai.
  11. gallopinggertie
    I just saw that. So it’s odd that in the 8pm update, the NHC highlighted the obs from the Lakefront Airport that were just 37 mph with a gust of 49.
  12. gallopinggertie
    50 mph even though it’s still just a potential cyclone, wow.
  13. gallopinggertie
    Early estimates of damage are over $8 billion for Hainan alone.
  14. gallopinggertie
    Yagi could also do some damage in Haiphong and Ha Long (coastal cities in north Vietnam). It’s still at 100 knots according to JTWC and looks pretty well-organized on satellite.
  15. gallopinggertie
    Looks like Yagi made landfall as a Cat. 4 equivalent on Hainan, and passed almost directly over Haikou, the largest city on the island. Hopefully they escaped major damage. Yagi is now heading for northern Vietnam.
  16. gallopinggertie
    Typhoon Yagi is poised to make landfall in southern China. JTWC has it around 135 mph before it crosses the Leizhou peninsula, then around 110 mph before landing in northern Vietnam.
  17. gallopinggertie
    The angle of approach combined with the slow speed doesn’t seem great. I saw there are some mandatory evacuations, and Toyota and Honda are closing their factories for the storm. Kumamoto is on a large bay, so hopefully storm surge isn’t an issue.
  18. gallopinggertie
    If so, this might be the closest hurricane to pass by Hawaii since Iniki?
  19. gallopinggertie
    Now the forecast is back up to a 125-mph landfall, further to the west in central Shikoku island. There’s a major city there, Kochi, with 2 million people in the urban area, hopefully they are not too prone to storm surge if it does hit there. *Edit: I misread, it’s forecast to hit Shikoku at 110-mph.
  20. gallopinggertie
    The first Google result that pops up for “Iselle” is the wiki article from the hurricane. The name itself seems to be very obscure indeed.
  21. gallopinggertie
    Hone is forecast to pass within about 50 miles of the Big Island as a 65 mph tropical storm. I think this is the closest brush Hawaii has had with a storm this strong since Iselle, which made landfall on the big island ten years ago.
  22. gallopinggertie
    Shanshan only forecast to be cat 2 at landfall now. Still shown as a typhoon over the Sea of Japan though which is quite rare.
  23. gallopinggertie
    I found a map showing SSTs are 28-30 C over that part of the Pacific. Seems plenty warm though I’m not sure about shear. https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/products/ocean/sst/contour/ Shanshan is forecast to still be a 70 mph tropical storm when it reaches Hokkaido, which is unusually strong for that far north. I wonder if it will be extratropical by then.
  24. gallopinggertie
    Typhoon Shanshan is looking pretty serious for Japan. It’s now forecast to make landfall as a strong Cat 3 or low-end 4 equivalent near Nagoya.
  25. gallopinggertie
    Looks like a typical situation for Hawaii, with one storm passing well to the south of the islands followed by another storm weakening greatly as it approaches from the east. It’s amazing how well-defended Hawaii is from hurricanes.
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