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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. 18Z GFS out to sea for next week system - 12Z EURO agreed
  2. 12Z GEM same as GFS out to sea but notice next weeks system starting to develop out west
  3. it might be to our advantage if the week end system gets out of the way to the east and the vort in southeast Canada has time to move out of the way and allow HP to settle into southern Canada feeding in colder air prior to next week system
  4. 12Z GFS once again is a miss because of the vort lobe that cuts off in eastern Canada and moves south towards NE blocking this out to sea south of us - no sense in even tracking this for now until things change - lets see if most the other guidance agrees at 12Z
  5. yesterdays system was a prime example IMO of a system that needed to be nowcasted IMO - I was just using various radars -I didn't use any of the mesoscale models since people were complaining about them yesterday and I had plenty of notice in advance of what probably would happen in my area just using the radars........
  6. remained a disorganized mess and was basically a minor event here in central NJ............on to next weekends potential
  7. yeah BUT how are you going to get rid of that little vort near Maine that is suppressing next weekends coastal ?
  8. IMO the main problem with this system looking at radars is that it is just one disorganized mess right now yes there is precip in central PA but it is broken up and moving mainly northeast - as some have mentioned some of the models have not performed well with this system - how many times in the past have we been fooled by the models when a system is in progress ? Nowcasting time IMO just using radars - they will give us plenty of advanced notice of any trends developing........
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