I feel like usually in close range NAM is a little north and GFS is a little south, regardless. and the reality is somewhere in the middle (at least in the past few years of storm tracking)
this is completely anecdotal but it gives some idea of an upper and lower bound for me
Interesting gradient in NYC on the models - although in my experience from when I lived in NYC, that usually doesn't hold, and a changeover to rain around JFK is usually soon followed by a changeover to rain or at least sleet in Manhattan/Bronx
looks like a lot is dependent on whether a coastal can form... if it never forms the storm will be a front end dump for those N&W while if it forms there should be more substantial snowfall N&W. Starting air mass is too warm for those near 95 though