Paleocene

That was a nice happy hour run. Posting my analysis here because I'm a newb and because its 180+ hours on an OP. I love the track off the coast so we in the lowlands avoid the screaming easterly/southerly winds. 700 and 850s look good, but surface is marginal for fall line and east. would love a stronger high up top. no idea wtf is going on at the 500mb level

It's amazing what one op gfs run with digital blue inside 240 hours can do for the mood around here. Imagine if it starts having run to run consistency lol

Did @psuhoffmansay 'antilog'? Should be a word if it isn't. Great word. Winter of the antilog 23-24 never forget 

9 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

Udder disaster shit the blinds winter with guaranteed cold rain coming up. 

Is it cold rain when it's 54 degrees?

Driving i-95 south through Maine this morning. 34 and rain. And least they fail up here too

10 minutes ago, kgottwald said:

When do you think DC-area stores will stop ordering snow shovels and rock salt? Next year?

 

What's the mildest-winter place where stores routinely carry those things?

I bought a new snow shovel in December 2020 and have yet to use it, lol

1 hour ago, Jebman said:

Yeah we are in the rain only phase. Except in places like the Southwest where it will get hotter and much much drier with time. Everyone is moving to Texas but that will change once the water runs out. Then they will be flocking to places like New Orleans and the central Gulf states where they get 50 plus inches a year without breaking a sweat.

In the meantime, hail mary topic is running, last ditch effort to shore up hopes. I am truly a deb now. That topic will unfortunately get Lucy'd as well. I have many other hobbies besides snow.

Winter is Coming? Yeah, the cold rain is coming - and lots of it for the East, naso much for Texas. We will be dry and sunny.

I'll be debbing and debbing and debbing from now on. Winter IS over, even before NYE.

All those people who have tripled the metropolitan populations of Dallas, Austin and Houston in the last 30 years will move to New Orleans where it at least will rain. But by then surface water temps in the gulf will average 107 degrees in the winter and category 6 ultracanes will demolish the very memory of our civilization in that region. At least up here in the mid atlantic our nighttime lows will still get down to 57 in January!

Panic panic

have faith weenies

Let's go eagles

And by that I mean please don't get demolished and look terrible 

This is off topic slightly but for all those who look at the LR op runs for hints of blue. I'm visiting relatives in downeast Maine for the holiday (where its also too warm to snow right now). A storm has been predicted for days to bring rain and wind up here Weds/Thurs, which is not good because some people still don't have power due to last week's windstorm. My in-laws had no power for four days last week (luckily they have a good generator).

Anyway, this was yesterday's 6z run valid early thursday morning, with the low crashing into the coast after coming up the gulf of maine:

and 24 hours later, valid same time: 

Point being, even inside 144 hours, the positions of lows can be off by 200 miles! This low may end up scooting east way off Cape Cod, and we'll get nothing. Which would be welcome up here.

That post where the random guy mentioned inhaling the second hand crystal meth was probably one of the best posts of all time on this board (excepting of couse @Jebman 's finest). Sorry @Weather Will

Someone pass will a j next time it's snowing

I'm in eastern Maine and there's no snow on the ground. This CANT BE GOOD

I speak for all of the uninformed people on here who barely know how the atmosphere works when I say: if I don't start seeing digital snow accumulations within 240 hours on the first model that loads on tropical tidbits soon, I'm going to PANIC

2 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

Until they are willing to adapt on offense this will continue.  There isn't too much they can do about the defense, they were weak up the middle in the back 7 to begin with then injuries made it worse.  But on offense they have refused to adapt to a change defenses have made.  Ever since AJ and Devonte went off earlier this season teams are playing a lot of 2 high safety and taking away whichever receiver goes deep and in some cases even double teaming them both!  And yet they continue to launch deep balls into that double coverage even when someone is wide open underneath.   They ended 3 drives last night doing that.  Once on 3rd down when they passed up a wide open Devonte for a first down and threw a bomb to a double covered AJ.  And twice late in the game when they threw and INT on a first down bomb for no reason.  

How much of that is on Hurts and how much is coaching I can't say.  Obviously its some of both.  But their philosophy needs to change, if they keep attempting deep balls when that is exactly what the defense is trying to take away the results will be the same.  

Agreed on the defense; it's similar problems to last year. They're just getting exposed more because the offense isn't as productive this year.

Agreed, the offense is where the big problems are IMO. It's basically the same personnel as they had last year with Steichen, but there is absolutely no rhythm to this offense. They get caught making ridiculous play choices and seem to always shift away from what is working (or never get anything working to begin with). Teams know that Hurts is going to look at AJ, Devonta, and maybe Goedert and that's it. If those three are covered he's only rarely going to throw it to someone else. I'd say Hurts wasn't himself last night, but he was running fast and got a lot of first downs. I'd pin it on playcalling and coaching. Hurts is playing hero ball, running around in the backfield looking for guys who aren't there.

I haven't given up hope and I think they can get it together to win a playoff game or two, but the last 3 weeks have been very frustrating to watch. Last night even more so because they clearly overmatched Seattle in multiple phases of the game, but couldn't pull it off.

Ugh, eagles

At least the temps are sort of appropriate 

Nerds

xmas 2023... get out the flip flops

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I'll be in Mexico from the 23rd to Jan 2.  I will literally have palm trees and 80s and drinking mojitos and margaritas.  That's when the blizzard will hit here at home.

That sounds delightful. Ironically, when I was last in Maine this time of year (visiting in-laws), we got that cold plastery 8 inches or whatever. January 2022.  It was dry and cold in ME.

going to maine for a week around christmas and its going to be 72 and palm trees. i'll be drinking mojitos with the lobsters

Light flakes in Silver Spring, 20910, at 1145am. Woohoo

25 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

i'm consistently amazed (for years) that you find these skellie images. have you tried using dall-e to generate them?

no blues on GFS runs in november??

i'm OUT

jk