Paleocene

4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

We need sref analysis. Anyone?

I thought I had unbookmarked this because of its consistent betrayals.

2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Very interesting column. The warm nose causing the initial sleet mixed out and colder air/evap cooling won the battle. Can't walk the line any closer between snow/no snow for the close burbs. 

I left my son with grandma at 830AM, telling them to get outside soon to play once it started sleeting, figuring we were losing the battle before an eventual changeover. That's what we do here at less than 250' or so, and we do it well. But nope - snow again.  Here's my unidentified location on campus:

Snow in College Park.  Was sleeting from 9-10AM at least. Now it's back to all snow.

3 minutes ago, yoda said:

I don't doubt UMD... but I don't see any TW up?

I had the same thought. Didn't get any tw alerts from any other source. 

Edit: thanks, high risk. It's currently lightly raining and I'm still in college park. Not sure why they do things this way.

UMCP is blaring the warning sirens. Got this email (I work on campus).

46 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said:

Yeah man. check out this drought

I was not debating the lack of recent precipitation, or the current drought status. I was debating your statement "this should not be such a dry time normally," which was about the next 384 hours on the GFS.  

When I go out to 384 on the GFS (18z) it shows most of the region in the 2+ inch range... which over the next 16 days, would be slightly above average based on the average amounts I posted above.

20 hours ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said:

GFS very dry through the run... surprising. This should not be such a dry time normally. 

Grabbed this off wikipedia for 1981-2010 averages at DCA.  Looks like February is in fact the driest month of the year, on average.  You sure about your statement?

triggered