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Paleocene

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Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Ah, the low at the classic Philadelphia benchmark. Thanks UKMET
  2. When can we start the nowcast/obs thread so I can stare out my window and say SLEET once before I get rain at 34 degrees for 6 hours tomorrow?
  3. I used the accumulated positive snow depth change. Your map includes sleet -- as snow. Good luck to Palmyra! My grandparents live there.
  4. Welp. Hope I see a bunch of sleet in Silver Spring before it changes to rain tomorrow afternoon. Good luck to the northern tier.
  5. 3k nam has the primary low traveling west of norfolk NE-ward across the bay into the southern eastern shore.
  6. Damn, central PA is gonna get nuked. I'll try to get my mom, who used a 2011 potato as a smartphone, to send some pics from Harrisburg around 800 ft ASL
  7. Same here. Don't want to disappoint a 7 y/o. Good luck! I'm prolly 2 miles west of you, a bit higher up.
  8. I know when I start switching my expectation from rooting to snow to rooting for sleet, things aren't looking good. I was hoping this would be like the feb '14 miller A(?) storm that gave me 5-7" ish inside the beltway (plus rain/sleet mix) while NW areas got 12"+.... but last 24 hours of trends have me thinking that's an unlikely scenario. But such is climo where I am :-D
  9. 12z today for 18z thurs 24 hour precip, versus 00z last night for same time. I see a different spatial distribution especially comparing north of M/D to south. I like being centered just outside DC in that 1.5 inch zone..prob is its looking increasingly liek a chunk of that will be rain/sleet :-(
  10. Man, I am loving that look on the 18z GFS. Please GFS gods, give us that heavy axis here right along the fall line. I'm in Silver Spring (just east of downtown near route 29) and I'm on top of a hill at 326'. My friends in Hyattsville or Brookland DC could see significantly less than me, a few hundo feet lower.
  11. I have a four pack of these crispy boys waiting in my pantry. Got them from the source at dogfish HQ in Milton in November. Will def crack one if it snows on weds eve.
  12. This looks really pretty to my meteorologically uneducated eyes. Pretty cool to see that 50/50 and the block. I remember past discussion of neutral or negative tilt being desirable for the area of low pressure in the southern US, this is relatively neutral right?
  13. This is good news indeed. I'll take my chances inside the beltway with that. 5 days out to get temps right...
  14. Great CAD signature at 120 hours on the euro.
  15. Here are the fresh GEFS ensemble lows. that is a hell of a cluster east of assateague
  16. Don't want to spam the thread with pics but holy smokes the CMC buries i-95 corridor
  17. GFS 12Z on 12/11, for 12z thurs 17th. Capturing the projected wednesday storm 12/16
  18. Freezing line at hour 126, at the surface, basically parallels I-95 south of baltimore. 850s line runs through charles, anne arundel, queen annes
  19. I still haven't had to turn on the furnace, seeing if I can hold out until Friday/Saturday. Indoor temp dropped to 65 once but has held relatively steady for the past month around 68-70. Don't think that will last if lows in the 40s/30s happen. Turned on the AC once when it was humid around Sept 20th, but it has been a very good window-controlled HVAC season this fall.
  20. I am noticing some color in maples and dogwoods in my inside-the-beltway neighborhood this week. Poplars are still deep green but they're going to start to tinge yellow in a few weeks. The changes seem a bit early this year, not that I mind! Here's a photo of a dogwood on the NW side of my house that's mostly under a canopy of poplars.
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