mikem81
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Everything posted by mikem81
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
About 7.5 here in Western Nassau about a mile or 2 north of the southern state. Prob similar to your area.. Slightly more north of you but 15 miles east.- 1,011 replies
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Right. That will prob be number 1 all time for a while.....
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JFK and almost all of Long Island got 30 inches in Jan 2017 storm
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Thanks! Where can i see precip types?- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Anyone have the radar loop since 10pm yesterday? 12 hour loop? Curious if western LI ever rained? Feel asleep here at 1130 with pouring sleet- 1,011 replies
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Anyone have the radar loop since 10pm yesterday? 12 hour loop?
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I am in Garden City. We were all Snow thrugh 11pm when it started pouring sleet. Feel asleep after that. Wat happened overnight? Did we ever flip to rain?
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Low is still offshore and has been 25-50 miles east of most models all day. Wonder how this plays out now that it seems to be taking over and initial WAA precip is transitioning to the coastal....- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Was Not expecting a dry slot so quickly. Looks like NYC west all drying up... coastal starting to take over??- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
WOw, Radar just went dead- 1,011 replies
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I like that the Low placement is still along the coast and has still not gone inland. Hope this continues
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Didnt know they still existed. Those are great for storms that are well east if you still want to find a model that will show Snow. Guess they can be used for trends as they are a blend of the short term models that run with the Nam
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Thanks. Always hated this damn thing, but it works
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Right now Temp stuck at 31 here in Western nassau. DP up to 15 from 5 this morning. Cant get better pre snow spread than that this time of year
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We want the Low to basically stop south of Cape May and then occlude/weaken which would force everything east instead of north.
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I tease in a good way. Trust me, I am on Western Long Island and want all snow, but.....
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Its hard to take you seriously with the "super weenie" title. We all know what you want to happen. Need to look at actual observations at this point and see what is going on with HRRR I find it encouraging that it is keeping the LP right on the coast of the CH Bay at 0Z tonight as opposed to 25 miles inland, but we shall see......
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Posted a 10:1 snow map for a storm that has mid level temp issues is criminally negligent.
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I am also a Queens/Long Island guy. I know sleet all too well... In this setup you actually have the cold air bleeding in from the Northeast. Sleet might actually hit areas west of NYC before Long Island. Really all depends on the orientation of the upper level lows and exact track
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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17&parm=pmsl&underlay=1&source=1# Great site...
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Look at the surface conditions and the HRRR at this point....
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You can see that around 4 of the members are too close to the coast near NJ and the others are in perfect position (excluding the 4 that are sun-tanning in bermuda) You
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Its also a weak LP. we are talking about 1004 maybe gets to 999 when it hits NJ
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