SENC

Wiff & miss.. Cold Rain

#MeToo..

Various Model Run(s) show My area(s) SENC, getting a dusting & pasteing.. looking back at Historical records.. Seems We get a "decent" pasteing every 3~4 years here, in Jan~Feb, so yeah,, were due.. Wilmington, NC Snowfall Database since 1870 (weather.gov)

No Snow for you..

06Z JAN 21 (+174 hour) GFS was.... Interesting..

Temp(s) are crashing here on the Coast as I type, In the last hour, from 55/54 too 44 & falling..

In My (Untrained eyes) looks the Deform band is starting to set-up just NW of Fayettenam..

NO, SLP/ULL off the coast (yet),, i'm here, (On the coast),, nothing happening yet..

Thats what I'm watching looking at.. Looks to be about 50 +/- miles SW of Florence, SC..

Looking @ Radar, ULL looks to be around between Columbia & Florence SC, (Not yet transitioned off the coast)

(Local NWS) for My Coastal area(s).. .SYNOPSIS... A storm system will impact the area with cold and blustery winds today, with increasing clouds and isolated showers, followed by widespread showers tonight. The showers may change over to, or mix with snow and sleet from I-95 eastward across interior SE NC, tonight into pre-dawn Saturday, before moving off the coast just prior to daybreak Saturday. No accumulation of snow or ice is expected. Drying with fair and cool weather can be expected over the weekend. A less intense system may bring rain to area Monday night and Tuesday. && .UPDATE... Dry slot lifting NNE, will bring infusion of cloud `re- fill`, after which by late afternoon, upper cold pool rotates across NE SC and SE NC, bringing widespread showers from west to east, and some of this apt to change over to -SHSN and IP in the evening as NW winds bring bolstered cold air advection. `Cold air chasing moisture` will see overlap, to bring brief frozen pcpn tonight, favored over interior SE NC. Accumulations of ice or snow not anticipated on roadways, as temps on the concrete surfaces are likely to melt quickly, anything arriving frozen. Will see what 12z data brings in terms of -SHSN/IP adjustments, that will shape messaging into the main issuances this aftn.

Can (I) assume the ULL is making the "transfer" ATM? To the Coast? We went from Sunny to VERY cloudy Skies, in the past hour.. Cloud deck has Lowered, & looks (Ominous) AND NWS is now calling for a "mix" here on the Coast, Later this afternoon/tonight..

looking at the various Mesoscale Models, & soundings, (for My area(s)),, I *MAY* see some token Flakes, MIX, or a plaster crush.. As the ULL transfers to the coast & deepens.. Wouldn't mind some "token flakes" too see..

EBS/NWS EXTREME ALERT (Take shelter NOW! ) Holly Ridge/Hampstead, NC, just went off for My area, Tor. Warning until 12:30

This was the coldest morning of the cold wave across the interior Southeastern states. Temperatures in Talladega reached 1 degree, 4 in Birmingham, 6 in Atlanta, 9 in Crestview (Florida), 11 in Pensacola, and 13 in Tallahassee. It was absolutely brutal in the North Carolina mountains with -18 degrees recorded in Banner Elk, -7 on Grandfather Mountain, and -5 in Blowing Rock.

1989 RDUX baby once more in My lifetime... I was 23~24 then? It was when My oldest Daughter was "conceived".. Christmas Coastal Snowstorm: December 22-24, 1989 (weather.gov) Temps in the Zeros for Days.. I'm watching that Baha Low.. Oh My showing Muh Age.. I still recall awesome snowstorms in the 70's..

Warm nose,, other wise Bring it!

i'm so sry, this is OT but I gotta share.. (15) WildTurkeys - YouTube

Going over on 441, freezing rain fog Early in the morning..

Visited Cades Cove, visited Clingsmans Dome, etc, beautified places, i envy you folks up in the High Mountains, (as much as ya'll envy the coast)..

missed this just by a couple days.. I knw I've not posted in Awhile, perfect temps in the 70's with (freezing) temps in the Low 20's.. dern it I cannot insert files.

Breezy & Humid down here on the Beaches, gusting to 25~30 Max..

Morning Folks.. Another beautiful Day on Tap for the Coast! 77/54 Currently 54F.. (Loving this Pattern Change)! Clear Skies, No wind(s) to speak of.. Well outta the North @ 2mph.. Your current Beach Conditions.. Water Temp is still at a toasty 84F Winds light WNW @ 4 mph.. Waves/swell, 1ft and the Ocean looks like a lake.. Honestly, This September, with the Pattern change, feels like, the "Fall" Weather when, I was Young & growing up in the 70's.. Starting school and there was a chill in the air in the mornings.. Unlike the past several, Sept. & Octobers, (like last year) We were still being "BAKED" under 90F+ temps and Dew/Humidity's near 90% .. This is certainly a VERY Welcome respite.. Lordy, I'm almost tempted to turn on the HEAT this Morning!

53/72 Currently 68 & breezy.. Carolina Blue Skies.. Winds out of the N @ 10mph On the Beach... NE Winds 15~20, gusting to 30MPH.. Waves: Lets go Surfing! Nice Swells this Morning 6 too 7 feet, Kinda Choppy, (Due to Wind), though VERY Surfable!

5 Days without Rain & tolerable temps? I'll gladly take it.. Even Muh Rice Paddy was "drowning"