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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    fwiw snowstorm anatomy is fascinating, it's interesting to see which area gets what as each event has its own unique personality. Jan 2015 was a slight bust, but compared to say March 2001 it was absolutely delightful lol
  2. LibertyBell
    yep overrunning is usually where we make our snow around here lol, some of the biggest ones were mostly overrunning moisture attacking arctic air like Feb 83 and PD2 and probably a few others I'm forgetting.
  3. LibertyBell
    thats awful and I saw that it could reach 60 mph- that puts it in the Boxing Daty 2010 range, Walt!
  4. LibertyBell
    this also nicely illustrates the geographic differences between Montauk, Westhampton, and JFK
  5. LibertyBell
    a few storms where you did really well and the city and western nassau did not would be Dec 2009, Feb 2013, Jan 2015. And also the middle storm in Jan 2011. We must quality that we're talking about relative wellness here lol.....10" is what we got in those (except Dec 2009 which was 15") but you all got 20-25 in those storms!
  6. LibertyBell
    that makes sense, although if you look at the latest runs of the Euro/NAM/GFS/paraGFS they all have over a foot of snow at JFK.
  7. LibertyBell
    exactly what I was thinking. I'd extend that line from Toms River up to about the Hamptons and then a more gradual change from there on west and north.
  8. LibertyBell
    yup and somehow Monmouth County still beats all of us haha
  9. LibertyBell
    so you like the disco put out by Upton?
  10. LibertyBell
    that storm was the GOAT for greatest coverage of 30"+ inch over the largest population I've ever seen from any storm.
  11. LibertyBell
    didnt get it in Boxing Day 2010? We saw it here in Jan 2016.
  12. LibertyBell
    the issue I have is treating long island like a conglomerate, eastern LI is 100 miles east of here lol, a big difference when it comes to a storm like this. It may still mix this far west but it wont matter in terms of accumulations. I also included a list of 3 storms where JFK mixed some and still beat NYC in accumulations. I should also include the Millenium storm which didn't mix here but did just to our east on a further west track than this so that would make it 4 storms.
  13. LibertyBell
    I saw the text description and the model maps, Walt, I think there should be a greater separation made between the eastern half of Suffolk County vs western Nassau County (whether south or north) in terms of the forecasts being put out just based on the maps. I like the map you posted here, with 13-15 from SW Nassau to NYC, and lower totals (possibly half of that) on the twin forks. They're about 100 miles east of here so that would make a huge difference of course.
  14. LibertyBell
    it's okay Don posted it!
  15. LibertyBell
    no maps?
  16. LibertyBell
    I can give you a list of storms where JFK beat NYC even though JFK had some mixing and NYC did not.....Feb 1961 and Feb 1994 (second storm) are two examples, and March 1993 is also on that list.
  17. LibertyBell
    right thats happened quite often where over a foot can fall even so, so it just becomes academic. also the coast needs to be defined better, big difference between say montauk and lynbrook.
  18. LibertyBell
    NAM doesn't list any totals for NYC or LI- that's weird
  19. LibertyBell
    paraGFS and NAM have been doing better than the Euro for awhile now
  20. LibertyBell
    you seem to think it's going to mix at the coast, Walt, however to me it looks like besides the twin forks and south of Toms River, this isn't going to mix, seems like OKX is leaning the same way?
  21. LibertyBell
    Thanks, Don, can you give me an estimate for JFK- I'm inferring you'd say 12-18? and please one for MPO if you would?
  22. LibertyBell
    very nice! dont forget to post the GFS when it comes out
  23. LibertyBell
    lol I never watch them, I used to watch their traffic and weather channel (61), but I also stopped watching that when they started putting nonsense programming on there.
  24. LibertyBell
    Boston is also going to be mostly rain, it's for this reason I live on the extreme western end of Long Island, we dont usually change over on this kind of track (a good example is the Millenium Storm, which actually tracked west of where this one is supposed to go.)
  25. LibertyBell
    Possibly, but I was just talking about this region to Morristown where we had 30+. I posted the discussion since the description given seemed a bit vague to me.
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