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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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dont think wind will be confined to eastern LI, I was looking at map projections and we have 30 mph sustained winds all the way to western nassau and 2-4 ft of surge too and thats with the current NHC track not on the western leaning models which seem to be where the majority of the guidance is now.
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NAM/UK have been consistent, this is interesting
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wow this was the model leading with the west trend (even before the GFS) right?
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Is anyone staying up for the Euro? Probably not?
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hopefully its a real thing, do any other models have it? I dont see it in the NHC track
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So basically we could get the kind of rains Delaware got in Sandy? That would be like a foot of rain.
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I was thinking that too. Didn't we have a storm like this in Dec of 1994 or something like that? It was a hybrid tropical noreaster and hooked into JFK, do you remember it?
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that would be awesome lol. I'm looking for a UK/NAM combo platter
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If we do get a direct hit from a hurricane this season it would maintain a lot of its strength.
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JFK 3 degrees hotter than NYC on a sea breeze, interesting
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Day After Tomorrow vibes Just wait a couple of decades and such a storm may no longer just be a fantasy.
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might increase the boat traffic though
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I said it would be sub 900 mb! what do I win if it happens?!
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
There should be a way to attach a tiny camera to the bear and see what it sees, the journey must've been an odyssey. I doubt a human could survive such a grueling journey. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Don did you read the part about a polar bear making it up there for the first time ever? Thats one of the craziest things I've ever read, it must've been a multiyear trek! -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Is that Summit Camp? Thats the top of the ice cap on Greenland, I follow their hourly weather data (updated on weatherbug) they are the coldest location by extreme temp in the northern hemisphere. -
when is this current bout of extreme dew points supposed to end? It's been utterly miserable the last couple of days.
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What exactly is keeping this from going further west, a front coming in?
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I was going by the NHC official track which had it weakening at our latitude or just before.
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I wonder how much rain for us on that track. Also do you think the storm will be really destructive for the Cape even if it makes landfall only as a TS (65 mph) there? Weren't Bertha and Floyd both 65 mph TS when they made landfall on Long Island? Didn't see much destruction there.
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you're right of course but a caveat in this case is the much cooler waters east of here, if it makes landfall on the Cape it looks like it will only be a TS at LF
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so basically what I heard Dr Postel say is that if the storm is stronger it will be further west and if it's weaker it'll hit the cape. The choice according to the maps posted is either out to sea, a 65 mph TS hitting the Cape or (the extreme scenario) an 85 mph H hitting the tristate
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hmmm if this storms hits eastern NE it will likely only be a TS when it gets into the much colder waters up there. It's only chance of making a landfall as a hurricane is in the tristate area
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tossing runs that favor weenies is discrimination
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I saw a video of one but it was in eastern PA
