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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. Could you imagine if they ever tried to put NYC in the New England thread?! Forum WW3!
  2. wow interesting! You're going to chase the eclipse of course ;-) I'm looking around for the best place to see it in, thinking of going to Watertown....would you recommend that?
  3. Don do you have a probability breakdown for the various amounts for JFK, Allentown and Mt Pocono? Thanks in advance. There seems to be a major change between 10" and 12" for some reason....like NYC going from 80 percent to 43 percent. I wonder if JFK is similar to this.
  4. where were those lows during the Millenium storm- I think they passed just east of us over Suffolk County?
  5. question about the snowfall gradient is this based on the idea that long island will mix or change to rain or more because of the temps involved mean lower ratios and wetter snow? On this it looks like snowfall gets less at Scranton and points north and once east of Morristown?
  6. what is this, a news station? And here's a first look at the weather, the latest news is a weenie suicide watch is in effect from 4 PM Wednesday to 9 AM Thursday....
  7. I have hopes that even if it just goes slightly south of us we'll be fine, this is a cold storm not unlike the Millenium storm.
  8. an excellent list! Thanks Walt! I cant wait to see your two day lists for the above locations plus MPO, NYC and EWR. A couple of notes - the number of 20" snowfalls will increase since these are the ones most affected by two day totals. That will put both Feb 1961 and Feb 1969 over the 20 inch mark at both JFK and LGA. Jan 1996 and Feb 1983 will also go over the 20 inch mark (the latter at JFK at least.) Boxing Day 2010 should be close to 20 inches at both. I'm also curious to see what the full storm total was from Feb 1978 at MPO. And I didn't know that JFK got 9.6 inches in one day in 1/88, I'd be curious to see if they hit double digits for that storm total as that was an era with few or no double digit snowstorms.
  9. You read my mind, Walt, I was going to ask for two day storm totals which would include most of the bigger storms.
  10. also depends on the surrounding airmass if you get a strong high to the north then you still get the big winds. I'm thinking of historic noreasters that didn't drop well down in the pressure department and you have storms like Feb 1983 and PD2/2003 on that list. Our best snowstorms throw WAA over an arctic airmass and snow for 24 hours or more.
  11. Hey Walt, can you post a table like this for JFK and LGA also? Specifically for JFK, I remember that our heaviest snowfalls come when the rain/mix line is just south of us! Dec 2003 was like this. And wow Mt Pocono had 30" in one day from the famed Feb 1978 blizzard? Interesting that 1/23/87 is right up there too...1/23 seems to be a rather popular date for HECS although none of the historic east coast storms outside of 1978 are on the MPO list. Also, is the truly heavy snow going to happen after dark? I hate that, makes for less photo ops! It's why I loved J1/2016 long duration and heaviest snow during the day!
  12. wow 12/2015 really did break all sorts of warm records, never would have guessed there was a 30 incher on the way a month later or below zero on Valentines Day lol
  13. they still take tokens? I imagine at this point they'd take anything lol including monopoly money ;-)
  14. Chris what is causing this? I see we've had anomalously strong blocks show up in various parts of the world...maybe the Atlantic's turn has come up again? La Nina or not, it wont matter, as it is really the blocking or lack thereof that determines our winter outcomes (see 2010-11).
  15. the NWS should have done it themselves using their own criteria. Like they do it in Europe. But America is consistently behind Europe on many scientific endeavors (and politically too.)
  16. no you dont....this is the kind of storm that is going to have a sharp cut off and where it snows very close to the low center....you want to be as close to the low as you can to get the heaviest snows (just nw of the mix line which be right near the low center).
  17. it's more than just the track, cold air is getting wrapped into the storm also. Not all storms perform the same way even if they have a similar track. This seems to be a similar storm to the Millenium storm, where cold air got wrapped in all the way to the center and you could be 10 miles west of the low and still be all snow. As long as the low doesn't make it up to our latitude we'll be fine.
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