LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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What caused the big change?
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Happy Thanksgiving !!!! I think people dislike the pattern so much they look to the models to "save" them.
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Exciting times ahead....I wonder how the winters usually go when we get an SSW this early? Happy Thanksgiving !!!!
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50s until it snows is good for heating bills too
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Can't have everything I guess.
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Why are the models so bad?
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A car ride between those places would be interesting. Would the windows fog up approaching FOK and then clear up again as you go east?
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I've seen that a SSW is forecast for later in December?
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Yup and Atlantic City somehow cashed in too.
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Those were two of my favorite winters-- 2014-15 reminded me of 1966-67! 2017-18 was displaced to later (March into April instead of February and March). It's hard to imagine it hit 80 for some areas in February that year.
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That explains our snowier March patterns very well....I wonder if this is a cyclic thing, because we had those snowy March patterns back in the 50s too, when March was our snowiest month. You know how the old saying goes.... "If March is your snowiest month it means you haven't had much snow in the winter."
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Looks like we will have highs in the 50s for over a week starting today, Don?
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Isn't this a normal winter pattern though? All winter patterns are gradient patterns, it just depends on where the frozen gradient sets up. This is the kind of pattern I'd expect in over 50% of our winters.
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Wow nice.... I think the one I was thinking of is called the Caspian Ridge, but Siberian Highs are nice too-- I believe the record for highest air pressure ever recorded on earth (32.00 inches) was actually set in Siberia? It's the coldest place in the Northern Hemisphere so it shouldn't surprise anyone.
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Isn't there a ridge in central Asia somewhere that correlates to blocking for us? I forget what it's called.
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Which do you think will prove to be right, Chris? I see our locals are going with the several rainy days solution.
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They truly are omnivores lol, they'll eat anything. I saw a video of them raiding the places where squirrels leave nuts.
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Interesting if we could trace all this back to the blocking we had in October lol
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Don, lows in the 20s throughout the area?
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Yes, that was some first week lol. It wasn't historically cold in October by any means but it felt like it with the way recent Octobers have been.
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Didn't we have this in December in 2020 too? Something that both December 2010 and December 2020 had in common is that both were la ninas after el ninos, so that may have been a big influence on the high snowfall totals in those 2 la nina winters. Seems like we need either that or a major SSW event like we saw midwinter in 2018 to get big snows in La Nina winters. I saw that an SSW like that might be possible later on in December?
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Based on the statistics you quoted, we'd better get snow in the first three weeks of December since the last 10 days have been pretty poor over the past decade.
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any tropical or subtropical connection with this, Chris?
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well major snow in November is rare anyway and for the second half of November the only thing I remember offhand is the historic Thanksgiving 1989 snowstorm that dumped double digits on Long Island. What a dry and powdery snow that was with temps in the twenties! It stuck to the roads right away too.
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I had to do a double take-- 85% chance of a warmer than normal November after how historically cold it was lol. I guess it doesn't take much to wipe out a historically cold departure the first half of the month? And wow those 80 inch plus totals, are those the finals totals from this event? Has to be at least a couple of state records in there-- at least for 24 hour totals?
