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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. Interesting Lee Goldberg said that Montauk has a higher chance of all snow than JFK does because Montauk will get more influence from the coastal and will have NE winds while JFK wont get as much from the coastal and winds will be more easterly there.
  2. They might have been visible here too then if it wasn't for the light pollution =\ Do you think they could be visible tonight too? I mean if it wasn't cloudy lol.
  3. I'm not at the beach obviously, but I'm 2 miles north of there. Does it look good for here?
  4. Damn it! I heard there was a big solar storm! Were they visible in the Southern Poconos south of I-80 do you know?
  5. that will matter in term of surface temps though, snow will not stick to warm ground unless it comes down really hard
  6. well I'm 2 miles north of the beach so I'm safe lol
  7. I think most would settle for March 1992 lol.
  8. Thanks, I see it's arranged from south to north, do you know if they have one for the Jim Thorpe ' / Lake Harmony area? The closest I got was the Delaware Water Gap and Stroudsburg. Basically looking for the area near I-80 and just south of there near Mt Pocono.
  9. Is there some sort of a microscale seasonal snowfall map that could be looked at to see what the snowfall distribution is across the region?
  10. The GFS is only correct when it's warmer than the other models.
  11. what about the Friday into Saturday storm? I am seeing our local media outlets predicting snow now and temps in the 30s.
  12. lower than 37 its snow, 36 and lower it can snow
  13. wouldn't ENE be better than easterly? NE wind would be ideal.
  14. RGEM is well known and doesn't look like the others, but GEFS, GEPS and EPS all look very similar to me, especially GEPS and EPS. I am going to start calling it the CEPS from now on, for obvious reasons.
  15. March 1992 may be an analog after a paltry winter season.
  16. But why do their names look so similar? They should change the names so their acronyms dont look alike. GEPS should be changed to CEPS. and GEFS should be changed to AEFS.
  17. Yes, it was actually better a decade ago when you could use it at 48 hours with reasonable confidence. Remember how great it did with January 2016?
  18. wow we should just go by region then Canadian, European and American instead of all these ridiculous acronyms
  19. wait whats the difference between the GEPS and the EPS? we just need to settle on one set of names lol
  20. if the March 1992 analog works out we'll get a couple more around the middle of the month and right around the equinox
  21. Right I dont go by the artificial DJF boundary either but by the entire season. I do think 01-02 was a more historic winter than 72-73 though because it was warmer.
  22. Would this be more like 11/2018 or 2/2008? Both were good busts
  23. 97/98 finished wirh 5.5 though, the DJF is an artificial boundary created by humans, we should go with the overall season numbers It's why 01-02 was the historically bad winter here not 97-98
  24. That was when I wanted to dump liquid helium into the Atlantic I wonder how much it would take?
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