LibertyBell

ever think of vacationing in Bali?

trust me the invasive insects and black mold are far more deadly than the accidents and injuries from snow and ice.

dry anything definitely over flooding rains. People really need to rethink living near rivers anymore as they are now being forced out of their homes on a weekly basis.

That decade was excessively weird, so many el ninos in the 80s, you'd think they'd be snowier, but noooo.

I remember because 1986-87 was also an el nino but of a totally different character, it was snowier, even though the real heavy snows missed us just to the south, starting with the Vet Day 1986 snowstorm.

No the budding early has been happening for several years now and unfortunately it really damages flowering plants when they bud early and then the inevitable freeze comes-- and then they don't flower again when they're supposed to during the springtime. The issue with allergies that happen from mold because of excessive rainfall is horrible and can be deadly, I woke up in the middle of the night back in November when I couldn't breathe and it was the most terrifying feeling in the world. It's happened to others I know also, but it was the first time I personally experienced a constricted throat and man, that's nothing you ever want to feel in your life. We've had record rainfall for several months now, including our all time 24 hour rainfall at JFK at the end of September and it hasn't stopped raining since.

I'd very happy with dry of any kind, it's all this rain that really stinks and now people are being forced to leave their homes with the unprecedented levels of flooding we're having.

1987-88 is a weird exception to this rule. Was that a second year el nino?

funny not funny that you said the thing about ticks.... My sister has a pool at her house and a deer fell into it and drowned while she was away. Anyway in the month since that deer died, there has been a tick infestation at her property and she had to buy and use tick spray because in the month following that deer dying in her pool she found no less than 6 ticks on her. Finding 6 ticks would freak anyone out and she took to spraying her clothes with this chemical that causes a burning sensation on your skin. They were different kinds of ticks, a very small black tick and a larger tick that was probably a Lonestar tick. I've also been reading about both the brain eating amoeba and a skin eating bacteria spreading through the south.

for JFK though their seasonal snowfall is less than 25 right Don-- so being in the same general area, that could mean a quicker increase of extremely low snowfall totals?

when did we know in 2015-16 that this winter would not be a complete loss? was it just before the HECS happened or did we have an indication of a pattern change weeks before?

Nothing in December either?

Was that the most snow we ever got in a single storm after December and January were basically snowless? It would be interesting to see some stats on that!

It makes you wonder why people want to live near a river? Aren't there other problems associated with living near rivers too, more biting insects, etc?

I remember this applied to last winter too, we were either going to flip by January 20th or not at all

yup same as 01-02

Nothing good happened here in 72-73 lol

Do they ever think about damming up these rivers or is that a total no go? It's needed in NJ too

Thanks Walt! Wow, what a sharp drop off to the NW, this would make for an interesting snowfall map in Late January or February lol

Persistence reminds me of inertia

the center line gives more dramatic effects, near the edges you will still get totality but not as dramatic.

This is smart, the chances are under 50% that this will be visible in the northeast unless we have some kind of early April heatwave or big arctic shot.

and it's cloudy here again

Yes, 82/83 and 15/16 are more typical of what to expect in a very strong el nino, 97/98 was very extreme even by those standards (and it still snowed in March lol)

We did? I wish... there have been a couple of dry months here and there but unfortunately the rainfall numbers have been going up. https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/monthlyannualprecip.pdf Have a look here Scott. It gives the full climate record of rainfall at Central Park. 2012 is what I'd consider the last drier than normal year (under 40 inches)