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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    When you look at records going all the back to the 1700s (using the Pennsylvania Weather Book), for Philadelphia and New York City, February tended to be the coldest month. Our coldest recorded temperature is in the middle of February and it's also our snowiest month usually.
  2. LibertyBell
    is it at least going to be sunny most of the time or are we going to see more of the muck?
  3. LibertyBell
    that second storm could also be very windy!
  4. LibertyBell
    It can always be later in February, even towards the end of February like it was in 2015.
  5. LibertyBell
    I envision some back end snow, nothing that will accumulate a lot, but we could have a nice post card scene with some light snows all day Sunday at or under 1"
  6. LibertyBell
    Would you say this was the modern day version of the Blizzard of 1888 but further east? We got a mix of rain and snow here which is weird with heavy snow to the east-- you'd expect the heavy snow to be to the west if it was not all snow here.
  7. LibertyBell
    Looks like he's bullish on northern parts of the city, like The Bronx, getting close to 6 inches while JFK area probably gets an inch.
  8. LibertyBell
    Would you say the week of 1/22-29 is going to be the coldest of the season, even moreso than any future cold that might come in February?
  9. LibertyBell
    I do that too lol, there's just too much information to ingest than just reading everything and then replying.
  10. LibertyBell
    Is super an official designation? I'm not aware of that if it is.
  11. LibertyBell
    Might be more like 2010 for the spring and summer based on the magnitude of the change.
  12. LibertyBell
    Chris, it was basically a glorified lake effect belt kind of storm. Outside of a very narrow area, no one got exceptionally high snowfall in that storm and it didn't make it anywhere near the top of the NESIS list.
  13. LibertyBell
    We also saw this time and again in the 80s and early 90s, storms which were progged to be 1-3" type deals for the city and long island ended up being more like T-1". For a storm to overperform there has to be colder air and it's more likely to happen later in the season when the ocean is colder. There is a reason why overperforming storms usually happen in the latter half of February as opposed to right now.
  14. LibertyBell
    January 2016 was better though it was a bonafide Cat 5 storm.
  15. LibertyBell
    It's quite possible the snowless streak will not be broken. We need 1.0" in one calendar day and it might be possible, or even likely, that does not happen.
  16. LibertyBell
    I didn't feel anything here in SW Nassau County. The August 2011 earthquake before Irene was much stronger and it was centered in the SE.
  17. LibertyBell
    I remember April 2003 and April 2018 quite clearly, in both cases we had snow all day in April, and the amounts were around 6" in each case.
  18. LibertyBell
    It's also worked in our favor as the winters from 02-03 onwards attest to as well as the big events like January 2016.....
  19. LibertyBell
    This is what happens when a person with bad eyesight (computer model) tries to thread a needle. First it misses to the right, and then it misses to the left...... if it ever does thread the needle it's purely because of dumb luck lol.
  20. LibertyBell
    I was confused because we've had snowstorms here with a trough somewhere in the west, but that's when the wavelengths are shorter.
  21. LibertyBell
    people have an urge for certainty when there is no certainty here. It could even come down to (shudder) nowcasting.
  22. LibertyBell
    That's probably another reason why these storms do better here in later February and March-- not just colder SST but also shorter wavelengths?
  23. LibertyBell
    I thought you want a trough on the west coast to get a snowstorm here? Does it come down to the exact location of the trough?
  24. LibertyBell
    It depends, an east wind will turn the island to rain in February too, this particular track isn't conducive to snow here, but then you have something like the Millenium storm which was all snow here in SW Nassau in late December, even Long Beach was all snow.
  25. LibertyBell
    what causes the AO and NAO to decouple? I've noticed we've seen this a lot in the last few winters.
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