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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    There's a 14z run lol?
  2. LibertyBell
    well the first half of winter was an extreme el nino set up. California usually gets shut out in la ninas it shows ENSO doesn't really matter that much
  3. LibertyBell
    thats what we've been saying all winter did you see how tacoman has been shouting in glee because of how great it's been out west and how bad it's been here? I've been tempted to tell him no one outside of New Mexico cares about New Mexico weather.
  4. LibertyBell
    this is what happens when the rest of the season has sucked too
  5. LibertyBell
    why? we'd have a lot more snow out of this in a real winter month
  6. LibertyBell
    2000-01 was a very good winter with almost 3 feet of snow on the entire season. The March 2001 scenario was bound to repeat at some point lol, it's why I've been talking about it for a week.
  7. LibertyBell
    March 1997 had a bad outcome for us, while March 2015 was much better. Does the preceding winter have an impact on outcome-- I think it would.
  8. LibertyBell
    Actually looks similar to the map for April 1996
  9. LibertyBell
    The track was literally perfect for everyone to snow, if that storm had occurred in January or February it would have been a 2 foot plus HECS. It still was a HECS because of how cold it was and the extremely heavy snowfall.
  10. LibertyBell
    Yep, and I think there will be multiple gradients at play here, a north/south gradient and an east/west gradient and an urban/suburban gradient also lol
  11. LibertyBell
    How much of it is rain lol
  12. LibertyBell
    I'm not sure why anyone would be calling for rain, in April 1982 the NYC mets were already talking about the city being shut down in a foot of snow. I stayed up to see the first flakes at 3 am.
  13. LibertyBell
    I call it lake defect snow ;-)
  14. LibertyBell
    Alps are in a massive snow drought too. Likely climate change driven.
  15. LibertyBell
    I think it could work out for you where you get a foot of snow and down here and new york city it's like 1-2 inches lol
  16. LibertyBell
    Hopefully, but I feel like this is the norm in late season Miller B's Remember the Fools Day noreaster lol?
  17. LibertyBell
    It always pays to be very cautious around the lower borders of those snowfall totals, note how quickly it goes from 3 inches to 0 lol. It's much better to be under those purple shadings of course.
  18. LibertyBell
    Well that damage sounds horrible, but aside from that it sounds exciting. Just keep in mind you don't get that kind of thing in late season events down here. An inch or 2 max is probably the ceiling for this down here.
  19. LibertyBell
    Yes, I think that's why it happens in those places, the same reason why the big snowstorm last year hit those areas much harder than NYC, NYC is too tucked in for its own good.
  20. LibertyBell
    I mean 1) 18z run 2) it's probably a good thing with the mixing concerns you want a few suppressed runs.
  21. LibertyBell
    I would put the chances of a norlun hitting NYC or here at under 1% they always happen either south or north of here. In 40 plus years we've never had one here.
  22. LibertyBell
    Yes and also higher winds can result in lower ratios. This is just a handy way of using surface temps to try and predict snowfall amounts lol.
  23. LibertyBell
    With our luck that norlun is going to hit either Toms River or the Hamptons lol.
  24. LibertyBell
    I would think that more likely for the noreaster next week.
  25. LibertyBell
    February 28th? I got 1.5-2 inches in that too, I think that one was snow throughout the storm though.
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