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LibertyBell

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  1. LibertyBell
    I've been reading that the CFS came in with a forecast for a cold first half of March too, all connected to that major SSW projected for mid month.
  2. LibertyBell
    and this is why I'm gungho about next winter even if it is a la nina, la ninas after el ninos do very well around here and 1966-67 was a very good winter (it wasn't a la nina but it was close to being one, and we have several other la ninas after el ninos that did really well here.) I also believe the upcoming summer will be very hot and drier than normal, which also happens after big el ninos. I love that combo!
  3. LibertyBell
    There's a chance this SSW extends that into the first half of March.
  4. LibertyBell
    They can keep that there.
  5. LibertyBell
    This is why it's being reported that the 1.5C threshold has been breached.
  6. LibertyBell
    a weak or even moderate la nina next winter after the el nino of this winter would be very good for snowfall, neutral not so much
  7. LibertyBell
    and you can have a dry month but with more snowfall than normal. 10 inches of snowfall is typically about 1 inch of rain. So if you have a month where half the precip is rain and half is snow, and a total of 2" liquid equivalent, that's 10" of snow and 1" of rain and it's a snowy month that's also drier than normal.
  8. LibertyBell
    Rodents are cuter than algorithms ;-) and algorithms are addictive lol
  9. LibertyBell
    hundreds of years from now, if humanity still exists, we'll be an interstellar species. Progress is logarithmic. Have a look at this blueprint, we've already achieved some of these goals. https://energy.ec.europa.eu/topics/research-and-technology/fusion-energy-and-iter_en#the-road-to-fusion A study on the benefits of broader approach activities under the current agreement and the expected benefits of continued participation was published in May 2021. Major achievements include the design and construction of JT-60SA, the world’s largest tokamak. On 23 October 2023, JT-60SA began operation, achieving a tokamak plasma for the first time.
  10. LibertyBell
    It makes sense since they are somewhat inland. Do you have elevation data on them? I think they're in the piedmont, so not at sea level but not highly elevated either?
  11. LibertyBell
    I remember the Carolina snowstorm in January 2002, they got a big one while we were snowless. Then again there are several winters in there when they did well AND we did well too-- 1995-96 sticks out in that regard, as do later winters in the 00s.
  12. LibertyBell
    Look at all those big ones in the 80s for them lol-- also, January 2000 really sticks out, looks like that was their GOAT snowstorm? I remember the Carolina snowstorm in January 2002, they got a big one while we were snowless. Then again there are several winters in there when they did well AND we did well too-- 1995-96 sticks out in that regard, as do later winters in the 00s.
  13. LibertyBell
    Hey that would work.....
  14. LibertyBell
    Do you mean for any season or for a good season? I'd agree with Walt here, a widespread 6"+ storm for the megalopolis would be considered a major snowstorm this season.
  15. LibertyBell
    Until it happens we won't know it happened. The encouraging thing is, at least the models aren't kicking it down the road as of now.
  16. LibertyBell
    Right, but if one had to make a prediction, the safest one to make (whatever the storm track is, north or south), that elevated areas are most likely to do best.
  17. LibertyBell
    I think it's a safe bet, either way, that areas with elevation will do best. Coastal areas are not the place to be for snowfall lately.
  18. LibertyBell
    That 1996 arctic outbreak is extremely underrated, so many people remember the Jan 1996 blizzard and then the extreme January thaw and flooding we had after that, but the comeback to winter weather by early February was historic too.
  19. LibertyBell
    Yes, right now I'm thinking if the storm track is that far south, the mountains would most likely be favored. Elevation seems to do better no matter what the pattern, so that's a safe bet to make.
  20. LibertyBell
    Right and this isn't unprecedented, we've seen this happen before, several times.
  21. LibertyBell
    The same patterns seem to repeat over and over again. In 2004-05 we had a similar 10 day pattern of early February warmth and then we went back to snowy again later in the month. If the same pattern repeats, it would be congrats DelMarVa to southern NJ. Logically you'd think later in the season the storm track should move north, but March 2014 proved otherwise.
  22. LibertyBell
    Yep, China and India are both going in the wrong direction and the end result of that is high levels of air pollution, smoggy skies and severe migraines and breathing problems for millions of people especially near the big cities. Those are two countries I would not want to visit for a long time.
  23. LibertyBell
    or maybe for the southeast at this rate. If 1972-73 is indeed the analog to use, it could be very good for the Carolinas.
  24. LibertyBell
    wow, what a horrible day, the day that music died.... 1959: At 12:55 am Central Time, a plane took off from runway 17 at the Mason City, Iowa airport, carrying the lives of Buddy Holly, Ritchie Valens, and J. P. "The Big Bopper" Richardson. At the time of departure, the weather was reported as light snow, a ceiling of 3,000 feet with sky obscured, visibility 6 miles, and winds from 20 to 30 mph. At around 9:35 am, Hubert Jerry Dwyer spotted the wreckage less than 6 miles northwest of the airport. The three musicians and the pilot died from this crash.
  25. LibertyBell
    This is what happened in March 2014.
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