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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    That's what I saw when I read your outlook too, a normal winter in terms of snowfall and backloaded for snow in February.
  2. LibertyBell
    and the warm December in the east is no surprise, par for the course in el ninos.
  3. LibertyBell
    a good question is what would it take to get rid of that WPAC warm pool?
  4. LibertyBell
    That was in June and it was absolutely disgusting, we hit 500 the highest it can possibly ever be on the air quality index. The last couple of years we've had dry springs, which has been nice, lower humidity and less bugs. But the summers have been wet and very humid (after June.)
  5. LibertyBell
    He has a lot of anger for some reason.... reminds me of Stephen A with Cowboy fans? Maybe for the same reason? Maybe he had a girlfriend on the east coast who broke up with him? We can have a lot of fun with this....
  6. LibertyBell
    I think next year might be good too because of the la nina after el nino rule. Analogs like 95-96 and 10-11 come into play. I always thought he likes it when the east struggles because it favors where he lives.
  7. LibertyBell
    anything less than 3 inches is insignificant.
  8. LibertyBell
    Wednesday could hit 60, especially now that it's forecasted to be sunny!
  9. LibertyBell
    This is GREAT-- I always LOVE these charts!!
  10. LibertyBell
    I feel dejavu with his annual threads, since they seem to be the same every season.
  11. LibertyBell
    Yep and we can also add in 1982-83 and 2015-16 as big dog analogs for what can happen in late January or February with a juiced up STJ timed right with an arctic shot at the most favorable time of year for snowfall.
  12. LibertyBell
    what about for February?
  13. LibertyBell
    too close to the water, there was no way they were going to get 6+
  14. LibertyBell
    in 1994 NYC got to 0 on two separate arctic shots, I believe that's the first time that happened since the 1940s and of course it has not happened since. 3 total lows of 0 and below also the first time since the 1940s.
  15. LibertyBell
    It could be next year if not this year, la ninas after el ninos are really good too.
  16. LibertyBell
    Not only did it not end in December, it didn't even start in December lol
  17. LibertyBell
    it was a foot of snow as soon as you got to Brooklyn and Queens
  18. LibertyBell
    I see it's still snowing lightly at the Giants game as they beat up on the Eagles lol.
  19. LibertyBell
    34 inches?! where?
  20. LibertyBell
    Because of the very cold Januarys
  21. LibertyBell
    Have the hope that in spite of what the 80s were like 82-83 still happened and February was the best snowstorm we had between 1978 and 1996! In both 1982-83 and 2015-16 the south shore of Long Island had over 20 inch HECS! As a matter of fact JFK has had most of its 20"+ snowstorms during moderate and strong or very strong el ninos. (February 1983, 2003 PD2, January 2016). The other ones were in February 1961, February 1969, January 1996. So 6 total 20"+ snowstorms going back to 1960 at JFK and half of them were in moderate or strong or very strong el ninos. Every decade had at least 1 20"+ HECS at JFK (and the 60s had 2!) except the 70s (and many will tell you that the February 1978 HECS was grossly undermeasured at JFK at 14"-- when a nearby co-op in SW Nassau recorded 22" in that blizzard!)
  22. LibertyBell
    Don do you think it's likely that February will be the coldest month this winter season? January at +0.7 will be much colder than December was and the February mean is only slightly milder than January, so it wouldn't take much for February to be colder than January.
  23. LibertyBell
    I'm looking forward to the end of January through February period, I think that will be the best wintry period we've seen in 3 years (not saying much I know.) But imagine with temperatures just slightly colder than they were with this storm and with the same juiced up STJ, then 1982-83 and 2015-16 become good analogs for what can happen.
  24. LibertyBell
    How does this compare to the OV bomb in January 1978 (I know that was a weak el nino but it was a second year el nino.)
  25. LibertyBell
    October 2011 was a nice surprise here with 1.5" any accumulation in October is historic-- just like an accumulating May snowfall would be. Another one was November 2012 which dropped 8 inches here, much less on the north shore. LGA had white rain while we had tree branches falling on the roads from the weight of the heavy wet snow (compounding the devastation from Sandy.)
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