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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    they all seem to be now...
  2. LibertyBell
    Now they just need to fix that 95.5 from near Cape May lol Oh wait, that's 7.9 and 5.5 right next to each other....there's extra spacing between the 7 and 9 which confused me.
  3. LibertyBell
    It would definitely be a memorable event, and all day snowstorm on a Saturday is ideal.
  4. LibertyBell
    Is that why 1989-90 was such a weird winter, with a historically cold December but very suppressed so not much snow for us and then it became historically warm in January and February, with monthly averages near 40 degrees after December's average was only 25 degrees? How often has December been the coldest month of the entire winter? And in that case it was by 15 degrees!
  5. LibertyBell
    41 kts isn't far from 50 mph
  6. LibertyBell
    Did you see that report of 22.5 inches from SW Delaware?
  7. LibertyBell
    even the 1 inch or so from yesterday's storm isn't going anywhere so it will be snow on top of snow.
  8. LibertyBell
    Thanks this will really help, in the last minute there was a really strong wind gust here!
  9. LibertyBell
    100% correct and with regards to medicine, it doesn't help that our regulatory agencies are captured. (Drug company ads make me want to vomit.)
  10. LibertyBell
    Walt, there's a report of 22.5 inches of snow in SW Delaware ?! Walt, do you have a snowfall map for the area in the Poconos between Allentown and Mt Pocono? Thanks! I see a report of 1.0 inch here in SW Nassau.
  11. LibertyBell
    What I like about the late 80s and early 90s is we had a solar maximum in 1991 I think it was and 1990 and 1991 were, at the time, two of NYC's warmest years on record (22 out of 24 months above normal.) We have a solar maximum right now, I wonder how that has influenced this winter and the last 2 paltry winters we've had. I love the solar maximum for being able to see the Northern Lights for the first time in my life, but it's not that great for snowfall. Furthermore, there may be a lag effect meaning the next two winters may not be that good either.
  12. LibertyBell
    Interesting thing is a few days before the 20th we're predicted to have some of our coldest weather of the month with highs only in the 20s.
  13. LibertyBell
    February 1991 had that weird storm that no one predicted and gave us 9 inches of snow over 36 hours lol.
  14. LibertyBell
    The interesting thing I find about this period is that the very warm 2 year period 1990-1991 is usually blamed on a solar maximum (22 out of 24 months above normal at NYC.) We are now in the midst of a solar maximum, I wonder how much this is linked to the weather we have now. I saw Ray mentioned it in his long range forecast and said there is also a lag effect so the next two winters may also lack in the snowfall department.
  15. LibertyBell
    an excellent idea! I'd like to run some busts from the 80s and 90s into this and there is also the very famous January 1978 positive bust!
  16. LibertyBell
    This congestion pricing thing really sucks. I don't drive into the city more than once a month, but my sympathies are with anyone who has to go through this daily. Not only that, but the MTA also hiked tolls and fares. Maybe they want NYC to become a ghost town....
  17. LibertyBell
    the late 80s to early 90s though could be a good match for what we have now. 1988-89, 1989-90, 1990-91, 1991-92 four winters that didn't have much snow although there was a positive bust in there when we got like 9 inches of snow in a 36 hour February snowstorm lol.
  18. LibertyBell
    Both of those were historic. I was in the Poconos for the May 2020 event and there was 2-4 inches of snow there and it snowed all night Saturday night and almost all day Sunday with wind chills near 0 and lows in the teens and highs in the 20s. And then Monday we had thunderstorms with hail there! Brought back memories of May 1977! October 2011 had thundersnow and 20 inches of a very wet snow in the Poconos!
  19. LibertyBell
    I understand. High fluff may actually work in this case because of the extended cold period we've been in. The other scenario I often see 1-3 inches being forecast is during a mix or changeover scenario. There seems to be an imprecise nature to timing when mixing or changing over will occur and/or they are forecasting for a county in which one part of the county will change over before a different part will. Other forecasts along those lines that I find really annoying are 4-8 and 6-12.
  20. LibertyBell
    and yet 1-3 is the most common forecast we get around here. Ranges don't work like that though. A forecast of 1-3 is really a forecast for 2" with a margin of error of +/- 1". The moisture content difference between 1" and 3" is only 0.2"
  21. LibertyBell
    Too bad we didn't get an October snowfall lol, October 1979 saw a surprise October snowfall all the way down to DC.
  22. LibertyBell
    JFK might beat those numbers, my house just shook with our latest wind gust, Walt!
  23. LibertyBell
    Wow, JFK hit -2 at three different points that morning, including as late as 9 AM! That 10 degree *high* from 7 PM to 10 PM would have really annoyed me lol, the real high was less than that, during the day. Do you know of the last time JFK officially had a low below zero and a high below 10? What was the lowest wind chill that morning with winds of 30 mph gusting to 40 mph and was that the lowest wind chill ever recorded at JFK? Thanks!
  24. LibertyBell
    That 1985 arctic outbreak was even more extreme than the one in 1994. Didn't NYC have this long streak without any 6" events during the 80s? It barely ended with a 6.2" event in the early 90s in March I think? But it was a mix storm and JFK's streak without 6" events continued... Chris do you know offhand what the longest streaks without a 6" storm were at both NYC and JFK?
  25. LibertyBell
    Just talking about January specifically.
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