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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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Yes, the higher variability and the extremes are because of CC. Higher precip storms too (intermingled with periods of less precip-- like our 0 rainfall in October and dry January.) Another thing to look at are cycles of wetter periods followed by drier periods.
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it seems like less snowy seasons come after periods of high snowfall 1955-56 to 1968-69 were snowy, 1969-70 to 1975-76 were not snowy, 1976-77 to 1978-79 were snowy, 1979-80 to 1991-92 were not snowy, 1992-93 to 1995-96 were snowy, 1996-97 to 1999-2000 were not snowy, 2000-01 to 2005-06 were snowy, 2006-07 to 2008-09 were not snowy, 2009-10 to 2017-18 were snowy, 2018-19 to 2024-25 not snowy. Obviously there were some mixed periods in there too, but predominantly these thing go in patterns snowy and not snowy.
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That's music for our ears, it could be like the early 2010s with the solar min and the better Pacific.
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sunrise 6:44 am and it's 7:40 now, temp just went up one degree here
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Weird it's an hour after sunrise and the temperature is still going down-- what happened to that warm late February sun?
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Wait are you predicting another snowy stretch starting in the 2030s, Ray?
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But Eurasia which has a much larger landmass is much warmer-- look at all that warm air over Europe and Siberia
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I saw one of the wings and the tail section came off-- they actually said that was a good thing as it prevented an explosion and a larger fire from happening.- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
From the way the news report I listened to sounded, the plane actually landed upside down?- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
wow this is very weird, they doubled the total.... I was wondering how the JFK seasonal total got up around 12"-- this is how. For the season they're up to 11.9 now?- 475 replies
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I just corresponded with him and when I mentioned marine heatwaves out in the West Pac east of Japan messing up the models he said he had no idea what I was talking about. He doesn't seem to know what a marine heatwave is and doesn't even seem to know that the northern stream has been unusually fast this year--and for a few years. He did mention AI and said AI models aren't good enough yet. Apparently he didn't know about the track record of the Euro AI this season.
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Was that our biggest storm that March or did we have another one that was bigger? I know we had an all snow event around March 20 to end the winter (just like we had one at the start of winter around December 20)-- our only two all snow events in 1993-94 and both were around 4-5 inches.
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Wild how great 1993 and 1994 were for them. I remember we also had quite a bit of snow in those two Marches. I noticed they did well in two of our HECS too, January 1996 and PD2. December 2020 was their last good storm (it was also good here.) I'm surprised they didn't do well in February 2021.
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He's a moron for saying computer models aren't wrong. I wish someone posted the actual tweet because I'd tell him so right on his page weather models aren't wrong? LOL why all this senseless worship for an inanimate object that very obviously is wrong? it's people like Mike Masco with his head buried in the sand who say *models aren't wrong* who are the barrier to actual progress in making models better. Maybe admit they are wrong and find a way to fix them instead?
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weather models aren't wrong? LOL why all this senseless worship for an inanimate object that very obviously is wrong? it's people like Mike Masco with his head buried in the sand who say *models aren't wrong* who are the barrier to actual progress in making models better. Maybe admit they are wrong and find a way to fix them instead?
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
wow 62 mph and pretty much all night and all day- 475 replies
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it's strange to see JFK so much warmer than everyone else lol it certainly didn't feel warm at all