LibertyBell

It's definitely better for Suffolk County. We get some snows too, usually smaller amounts, but even 4-6 inches would seem like a major snowstorm this season.

Ocean City is closer to the predominant track of east-west storms. For us to get snowstorms from that direction they must turn up the coast.

late February 2010 slightly colder would do it too

I have a ton of pictures of that storm and snow encrusted daisies in my backyard, a great end to an absolutely amazing snow season and we knew that was the end to the snow season too.

Yes that was one of my favorite storms of all time, full day time snow 8 inches here, I enjoyed that more than any of the March snows, which seem to underperform for some reason, a great end to a great season in 2003. April 2018 was my favorite storm that season after the January 2018 blizzard but for some reason JFK undermeasured that storm, we had 6 inches here too. I think JFK and NYC both measured 8 inches in that March 2018 storm so I just go by their numbers, that was mixed precip for awhile before it switched to snow.

Yes the only one I can remember that was different was the April 1997 Fools Day storm and that was sort a bust here with only 1-2 inches when 8-16 inches were predicted. There was more snow both south and north of us.

Even April.... after the end of February though it's a good idea to keep any expectations low.

you know as well as I do, there's a cap for urban areas when it comes to March, we haven't had a double digit storm in March in many decades. 3-6 inch storm sure and once a decade maybe even an 8 incher. Based on how the winter has gone, even that much may not be in the cards this time around.

If you want la nina analogs, March 1956 and March 1984 are two. I would lean more towards March 1984 since that had a dry and cold winter similar to this one and came after a strong el nino. I won't list March 2018 since we didn't have a SSW like that this year.

You missed March 1956 and March 1984 lol he might use them since they were la ninas

I'm trying to remember any other season in my lifetime that was anything like this and I can't remember a single one. Even cold and dry seasons like 1976-77 were a lot snowier than this season has been. It's hard to find a season with less than 20 inches of snow that was this cold in terms of the means. No extreme cold yes, but consistent temperatures between 10 and 45 has to be some sort of record.

you must have had more snow than we did, all our piles were gone after that big rainstorm on Sunday

I know you and others have said this isn't similar to 2013-14 and 2014-15 and of course it isn't in terms of snowfall, but what about that sustained EPO?

I can't remember the last time we had a March mean temperature in the 30s, even 39.9.... March 2015? If it's like the winter has been, it won't as cold as that month was, it's been only slightly below normal.

That was such a cold winter, we were below zero in January with three days of snowfall. That was when the plane crashed into the Potomac.

40s for the mean temperature, the month might be slightly below normal but that means a mean temperature around 40 or low 40s.

Right, the most it will do is alternate between 40s and sunshine and 40s and rain. Maybe upper 30s on the coldest days. This winter hasn't been extremely cold either, it's been around normal to slightly below. No single digits at all and a few teens here and there. Progressing that same pattern to March means a mean temperature in the 40s.

chilly in March is a lot different than chilly in January and February, we're talking 40s here, not 20s like we have right now.

it would be nice to see during the day :-)

I should have amended my post about the 48 hours, I meant that in regards to more precise details like snowfall amounts. For general details about where a storm will go, more like 96 hours.

That makes me sad though I actually like sharing snow, that's what made storms like February 1983, January 1996 and PD2 2003 so special.

96 to perhaps 120 hours for a general idea of where the storm will go, 48 hours for exact details like snowfall amounts in that region. This is based on my own experience with storms that hit here, 96-120 hours we have a general idea, and I'd emphasize the 96 hours over the 120 hours, and 48 hours to pin down exact details like snowfall amounts.

fungi are quite amazing and highly intelligent (and form networks along with trees in the forest called the wood wide web.)

The differences in snowfall averages makes me wonder if the real sign of CC are greater extremes. The snowfall drought we are in now is of a greater magnitude than we had in the 70s and 80s but so was the extreme of our snowier period between 2000 and 2018. So maybe our extremes are getting more extreme in both directions.

even if it does get a little cooler for the beginning of next month, it probably won't get lower than around 40 for highs, it's March by then.