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NJwx85

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Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
    Just been ripping here for the last 1-2 hours. Visibility is down to about 1/10th of a mile.
  2. NJwx85
    LOL at people complaining about getting over a foot of snow.
  3. NJwx85
    I assure you, parts of NJ up into SE NY will reach over 20". Some places in NW NJ are already approaching those numbers. The NY Metro doesn't end at the Hudson River.
  4. NJwx85
    The next 8-12 hours are going to be the height of the storm. System has begun to pivot as evidenced by the band of snow moving Southeastward back towards the Lakewood/Toms River area.
  5. NJwx85
    About 10" OTG here in Southern Rockland County. Visibility is down to about a quarter mile.
  6. NJwx85
    Looks like two bands rotating in from the SE. The first runs from SW CT down through Westchester, Rockland and points SW into NJ. Then an area of subsidence in between. The second band is about to enter LI and the rest of the coast off the ocean. Probably easily 1-2" per hour in the Western band and 2-4" per hour in the one coming off the ocean.
  7. NJwx85
    The new HRRR is trending away from the dry slot idea for the immediate coast.
  8. NJwx85
    I noticed that but I think it's more of a low level dry air intrusion given the close proximity of the MLC.
  9. NJwx85
    It's not over until Wednesday.
  10. NJwx85
    It also pushes the heaviest banding up into NE PA and SE NY by tonight.
  11. NJwx85
    From what a few mets on Twitter that I trust have said, the NAM has been too wet and the HRRR has been too dry so far.
  12. NJwx85
    It's just been light snow in Rockland so far. Looks to be kicking it up towards moderate over the last 30 minutes.
  13. NJwx85
    The HRRR retrogrades the surface low towards the coast and then stalls it around 22z tonight. This allows for the mixing line to work up into Rockland and Westchester.
  14. NJwx85
    12z 3k NAM additional:
  15. NJwx85
    I'm just going to leave this here:
  16. NJwx85
    The coastal will flip winds to out of the NE and the heavy precip will cool the column. Stop whining, there’s no crying in meterology.
  17. NJwx85
    Nothing here yet in Rockland County.
  18. NJwx85
    Still nothing here in Rockland County
  19. NJwx85
  20. NJwx85
    I stopped caring about local weather forecasters opinions 20 years ago when I figured out how to read models myself.
  21. NJwx85
    3k NAM 10:1 map shows 34” IMBY. Where do I sign?
  22. NJwx85
    Crush job on the 18z NAM.
  23. NJwx85
    Wrong
  24. NJwx85
    3-6”
  25. NJwx85
    I like 12-15” for NYC. 6-12” for LI and Central Jersey. 12-18” for LHV and 18-24” for Eastern PA and NW NJ.
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