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NJwx85

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Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
    Only about 6 or 7 weeks left for prime snow season at the coast once you get passed the first third of January. Not that it cannot snow after Presidents Day but the odds start declining dramatically. After the first ten days of March it's pretty much over. Of course some of our recent March's have been excellent snow producers but that's an anomaly.
  2. NJwx85
    No snow through 384hrs on the 12z GFS during peak winter. It's the equivalency of not breaking 90 degrees during the first two weeks of July.
  3. NJwx85
    One thing to note, the 12z Euro does have about a 6-12 hour period of icing potential in the NE Poconos and up into the Monticello area. The 12z GFS for the same time period has the mix line up near Montreal so needless to say major differences.
  4. NJwx85
    We're trending towards somewhat of a non event. Due to changes at 500mb we find ourselves stuck between a pattern that would have favored a system closer to what we saw on Christmas and a storm that would have brought wintry precip. As of the 12z runs today, impact from winds looks to be minimal and a general and very pedestrian 1-2" of rain looks probably with localized heavier amounts in NE PA, NW NJ and areas West of I-87 in NY.
  5. NJwx85
    Merry Christmas everyone. Was close last night with two power flashes but woke up with power. Only some damage to my outdoor decorations here in Bardonia.
  6. NJwx85
  7. NJwx85
    Power just flashed here again.
  8. NJwx85
    Extensive damage here to my Christmas decorations.
  9. NJwx85
    Power just went out here for about 30 seconds and then came back.
  10. NJwx85
    Wind is roaring here
  11. NJwx85
    Radar in SE VA up into the Delmarva looks intense.
  12. NJwx85
    The radar near VA beach looks juiced. Latest HRRR still has 1-3” of rain.
  13. NJwx85
    Based on current radar trends looks like storm will track further West of modeled. Should bring in even milder air and heighten wind potential.
  14. NJwx85
    Can’t believe how consistently windy it is here already.
  15. NJwx85
    Quite gusty here already with spotty rain.
  16. NJwx85
    Nobody knows that but the soundings are strongly inverted NYC and SE. NW of the city the inversion isn’t as pronounced.
  17. NJwx85
    Strong inversion.
  18. NJwx85
    00z 3k NAM soundings still shows an inversion.
  19. NJwx85
    Wouldn’t the convection help bring the stronger winds down? The squall line looks super intense on the high res models.
  20. NJwx85
    Heavy sleet in Bardonia.
  21. NJwx85
    Radar is filling back in nicely over NNJ.
  22. NJwx85
    Snowing steadily here. About 8” OTG.
  23. NJwx85
    That dry slot that’s been on the models for days is rearing its ugly head.
  24. NJwx85
  25. NJwx85
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