Jump to content

NJwx85

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    19,256

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
    It has the city hanging on the edge of sleet, freezing rain, rain and snow.
  2. NJwx85
    Snow should start between Noon and 1PM from West to East.
  3. NJwx85
    Expecting 2-4" here which could end up as my largest snowfall since the pre Christmas storm.
  4. NJwx85
    Just 12 short weeks to go until April 1st!
  5. NJwx85
    Hopefully we can squeeze out some 60's over the next few weeks
  6. NJwx85
    Sleet here
  7. NJwx85
    Moderate snow in Bardonia, about a half inch OTG already.
  8. NJwx85
    One storm doesn't take away from dozens of recent storms where it was way too warm.
  9. NJwx85
    Congrats DC and Philly.
  10. NJwx85
    The GFS usually has a warm bias.
  11. NJwx85
    The 12z GFS trended a degree or two colder and also held onto the colder air at the surface longer than the prior run. Ice threat across the interior is increasing.
  12. NJwx85
    I'm interested to see what the NAM shows over the next few runs. The GFS has consistently been the coldest at the surface. The 00z EURO limited icing to the far interior sections of Ulster and Sullivan Counties.
  13. NJwx85
    You have to account for runoff and temperatures are just below freezing so it's not as bad as it would be if it was raining with temps in the 20's.
  14. NJwx85
    Probably a glaze North of I-80 in NJ, 0.10-0.20" once you get North of the NYS Thruway in Rockland, perhaps as much as 0.25", maybe slightly more once you get close to I-84. The Port Jervis area up into Ulster County could see more than >0.25".
  15. NJwx85
    Watch for a 6-12 hr period of significant ice threat N&W of I-287. Highest impact area for our sub forum is Orange county.
  16. NJwx85
    I actually looked it up and historically speaking the coldest day of the year in NYC on average is January 29th. Surprised me quite a bit. Not surprisingly February is the snowiest month at Central Park.
  17. NJwx85
    Only about 6 or 7 weeks left for prime snow season at the coast once you get passed the first third of January. Not that it cannot snow after Presidents Day but the odds start declining dramatically. After the first ten days of March it's pretty much over. Of course some of our recent March's have been excellent snow producers but that's an anomaly.
  18. NJwx85
    No snow through 384hrs on the 12z GFS during peak winter. It's the equivalency of not breaking 90 degrees during the first two weeks of July.
  19. NJwx85
    One thing to note, the 12z Euro does have about a 6-12 hour period of icing potential in the NE Poconos and up into the Monticello area. The 12z GFS for the same time period has the mix line up near Montreal so needless to say major differences.
  20. NJwx85
    We're trending towards somewhat of a non event. Due to changes at 500mb we find ourselves stuck between a pattern that would have favored a system closer to what we saw on Christmas and a storm that would have brought wintry precip. As of the 12z runs today, impact from winds looks to be minimal and a general and very pedestrian 1-2" of rain looks probably with localized heavier amounts in NE PA, NW NJ and areas West of I-87 in NY.
  21. NJwx85
    Merry Christmas everyone. Was close last night with two power flashes but woke up with power. Only some damage to my outdoor decorations here in Bardonia.
  22. NJwx85
  23. NJwx85
    Power just flashed here again.
  24. NJwx85
    Extensive damage here to my Christmas decorations.
  25. NJwx85
    Power just went out here for about 30 seconds and then came back.
×
×
  • Create New...