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NJwx85

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Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
    Gotta love that dynamic cooling signal on the 18z GFS as it moves from NE PA, across NNJ and into the LHV.
  2. NJwx85
    Not sure I completely agree. The position of the 700mb low on the 12z vs 18z run valid 12z Thursday is nearly identical, and one mb deeper.
  3. NJwx85
    Winter Storm Warning here for 12-16 inches and gusts up to 45MPH.
  4. NJwx85
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  8. NJwx85
    A storm that deep would be a big game changer in terms of getting better dynamics into our area and stronger winds.
  9. NJwx85
    My preliminary forecast: Scranton - 18-24" Allentown - 18-24" Morristown - 14-20" Trenton - 3-6" Philadelphia - 2-4" Newburgh - 14-20" Nyack - 12-18" Islip - 10-14" Central Park - 6-10" LGA - 4-8" JFK - 4-8" Riverhead - C-2" Newark - 6-10"
  10. NJwx85
    The good news is that the 12z GFS doesn't have as pronounced of a dry slot as the NAM/RGEM. The biggest difference is that the 700mb low tracks over LI instead of the Poconos. The bad news is that it trended way North with the track of the 700mb low from the previous run.
  11. NJwx85
    Yes the shortwave is strong but you would think given the blocking that it should just force a quicker transfer to the coastal.
  12. NJwx85
    I still don't understand how you get 2 feet of snow in Albany with a 1038mb high parked over Quebec. Just doesn't make sense to me.
  13. NJwx85
    They call them clown maps for a reason.... A lot of that "snow" for the coast is sleet being incorrectly counted as snow with 10:1 ratios.
  14. NJwx85
    A lot of that in NNJ and LI is sleet.
  15. NJwx85
    Late developing coastal which is always a worry with miller B's. Gives Boston more snow than NYC.
  16. NJwx85
    This is probably the warmest panel on the RGEM.
  17. NJwx85
    The dry slot magnified.
  18. NJwx85
    The 12z RGEM is actually not as bad as people are making it out to be. Yes the sleet/snow line makes it to about the Bergen/Rockland line but then the coastal takes over and most places West of the city get good backend snows.
  19. NJwx85
    It must be so cool to actually issue watches/warnings and then come on here and watch people bitch/complain about not getting the warning they wanted
  20. NJwx85
    Nope, nor would I, however even if you couldn't get to a grocery store for a week people should be able to survive without the need for hoarding.
  21. NJwx85
    The NWS in Upton, NY has issued a WEENIE SUICIDE ALERT in affect immediately and until further notice. 12-18 snow weenies per hour will be cliff jumping over the next 24 hours. Please stay tuned to your local weather authority for the most updated information on this breaking story.
  22. NJwx85
    It's 2020 and you live in NYC. Even if you get 30" of snow the roads will be cleared within 24 hours.
  23. NJwx85
    3k NAM soundings show a really ugly dry layer around 700mb. While the North trend has been real, still think that you're not getting a storm that far inland with this amount of blocking. And the NAM/GFS should have been taken out behind the barn years ago...
  24. NJwx85
    12z NAM is more amped up through hr 25.
  25. NJwx85
    Good morning and good luck to everyone. While we're waiting for the 12z NAM to finish running, the 09z SREF mean has the heaviest axis of snow falling in Southern/Central PA up into SE NY and NW NJ with a swath of 12-18" in those areas. For most of NE NJ, NYC and the LHV the mean has 10-12" with lesser amounts as you travel South and East. I can only post the zoomed out low quality image.
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