NJwx85
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Everything posted by NJwx85
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We still have six weeks of prime season left.
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We recently went seven consecutive years without a US landfalling hurricane. How you can sit here and complain about this season is beyond absurd.
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You got a cat 4 landfall into SW Louisiana in August and you still think the season is meh. Sorry that Laura wasn't deadly enough for ya...
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Better get used to NYC getting more hurricane threats than Miami.
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I'm not convinced yet that the future Cape Verde hurricane is definitely going to be a recurve. for starters, it appears to be a significant threat to the islands in 7-10 days. The GFS then swings through a shallow trough around the 19th which supposedly weakens the ridge. Again, not sure I buy that, especially given the massive dome of high pressure moving through the Eastern US at the same time. Thereafter, it looks to be steered by the trough coming down from Canada, and who's to say that it doesn't get picked up rather than booted OTS? Sure, the odds favor OTS. But this year, almost every storm that has made it West of 60W has found a way to hit land.
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It’s been on the ensembles for weeks.
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Honestly, who gives a damn what the seasonal ACE ends up being if most of the activity stays out to sea. I think the majority would agree that a category 2 hurricane making landfall in the US is a lot more interesting from a hobbyist standpoint than a category 4 hurricane re curving way out to sea.
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While storm quality has lacked some, we’ve had very few fish storms. Almost everything that’s developed so far has hit land.
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It looks pretty healthy to me.
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The center was partially missed by the latest ASCAT pass, but from what we can see, it does appear to have a closed circulation on the Eastern side.
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12Z PARA GEFS still really likes the idea of a system on either side of Florida around mid month.
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Still early but at least for now, path looks similar to Felix.
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It's there on the ensembles.
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The signal is there for a late recurve, and it's a bit more concerning than usual. I feel like I've seen this before. Not sure if this is the GFS picking up on extra-tropical transition and a spreading out of the wind field? Or if this is just typical of pole-ward moving hurricanes gradually weakening under decreasing SST.
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Double trouble part deuce?
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Coming up on the 10th anniversary of my favorite March storm of all time.
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lol
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Tracking The 3”+ Heavy Rainfall Events Since 2010
NJwx85 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Had almost 5” of rain in Mahwah for the 11/2-11/3 storm. -
What Type Of Extreme Storm Will Make Headlines This October?
NJwx85 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
PA tornado outbreak? -
What Type Of Extreme Storm Will Make Headlines This October?
NJwx85 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
"Shaking felt thousands of miles away, devastation from Boston to DC as 8.0 magnitude Earthquake strikes along the Ramapo fault in NJ" -
Is @HurricaneJosh still over in that region? If so, might as well hope over to Taiwan for the next one.
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He hasn’t posted anything on Twitter or Facebook for roughly seven hours. He said he was about to lose all connectivity and he was still well outside the eyewall. Probably one of his most dangerous chases ever given the remote location and intensity.
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Tracking The 3”+ Heavy Rainfall Events Since 2010
NJwx85 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
DIX destroyed OKX this time around. -
It's really annoying that KDIX is down again.
