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hlcater

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Everything posted by hlcater

  1. hlcater
    HRRR brings another wave of precip across my area tomorrow morning, and while temps would definitely support snow, the complete lack of moisture in the DGZ suggests otherwise. Could get some more freezing rain or graupel rather than snow if it's right.
  2. hlcater
    Freezing rain has begun here. Looking at radar, we could see 0.10+ of accrual before switching to snow.
  3. hlcater
    FWIW, the WRF suite NSSL/ARW/NMMB is not as bullish on the first wave as the NAM/HRRR/RAP are.
  4. hlcater
    I’m still not sure what exactly to expect from this system. Some models(UK/GEM/ICON) show very little, while others(NAM/EC/GFS) show a solid hit. I’m still worried about being missed SE.
  5. hlcater
    Thinking with trends this morning of a more progressive, and therefore more southerly, second wave that it seems fairly likely that the best snow slides southeast of here. If I had to take a stab, Id bet area from Kirksville to Sterling and far SE WI get the best snow. It’s a narrow band in any case, so any additional change in track to the south and we may get shut out entirely.
  6. hlcater
    One thing that puts a hold on that for me is the positive NAO/AO. To me, that would lend more credence to the storm cutting more NW, like it currently is, opposed to sliding south.
  7. hlcater
    Do you happen to have the operational by chance?
  8. hlcater
    #1 analog is super Tuesday
  9. hlcater
    1337 tornadoes and the first high risk will be on 4/20.
  10. hlcater
    Time to get the lawn chairs out?
  11. hlcater
    Current snow depth: 0.0". What a lovely way to head into Christmas!
  12. hlcater
    Might squeeze some dixie severe out of that.
  13. hlcater
    Looks like yet another 2010s december for the trash bin. Yippee1
  14. hlcater
    where we can have split flow in April to maximize suffering.
  15. hlcater
    I'm holding it against you if the 00z GFS isn't correct verbatim. Either way, I am concerned the low develops too quickly and ends up getting suppressed in the southern high plains before it can really eject. ie the favorite solution that the Euro/UKie have been showing for a few days now.
  16. hlcater
    yes
  17. hlcater
    Snow squall moving across the state today has created a massive pileup in Des Moines. Yikes...
  18. hlcater
    The past 4-5 winters say hello
  19. hlcater
    What makes you think that? Especially seeing as it is likely we more or less lose the first 10-15 days of the month. Long range looks slightly better, but even still it doesn’t even look that great, just seasonable. Though even seasonable is something significant considering the run of poor Decembers we’re on.
  20. hlcater
    Wind threat looks pretty substantial(regionally speaking) and I’m hoping we can squeeze out a few 60mph gusts tomorrow. Even if we don’t get that, 50-55mph seems like a lock.
  21. hlcater
    Wow that’s amazing! Do you mind if I forward it to accuweather with no credit to you? Thanks in advance! Topically, I received 2.6” in Iowa City, with 4.1” measured in Hiawatha. I was hoping for a little more, but it’ll suffice for now.
  22. hlcater
    Wow! Is that tornado in your profile pic from Michigan!?!?!?!?!!??!
  23. hlcater
    Not a single flake in Iowa City so far, meanwhile CR has been in a nice band for several hours. I don't understand how I'm always on the wrong side of the cut off. If I'm in CR, it will dump in Iowa City, but if I'm in Iowa City it will dump in CR.
  24. hlcater
    Kinda neat to see LES off of a relatively small body of water.
  25. hlcater
    Looking like a solid 2-5” event out this way. Would expect to see advisories issued at some point.
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