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hlcater

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Everything posted by hlcater

  1. hlcater
    Euro is kind of an outlier even among the ensembles. The trend in Texas over the past few days has been to unanimously slow this thing down which should bode for a more NWly track but we’ll see.
  2. hlcater
    This is likely to be the best storm of the season here despite the 3-4 hr dry period. The defo zone quickly made up for that and with 1-2 hours of snow left, will likely finish with 6-7". About in line with the model consensus. Nice to break the trend of events falling short of expectations this winter.
  3. hlcater
    On pace to see 6”. Pleasantly surprised
  4. hlcater
    Think my call is gonna be 3". Been riding the low end of guidance this winter, with the best forcing looking to translate just south of MBY seeing no reason to do differently in this instance.
  5. hlcater
    At this point let's get a 6" storm or move on to spring. Sick of these 1" snows.
  6. hlcater
    Looking like another broom snow for those south of 20. lol.
  7. hlcater
    NAM is going wayyyyyyy north
  8. hlcater
    Omaha/Lincoln are in a very special place right now
  9. hlcater
    I’ll consider it a W if we can reach 3”.
  10. hlcater
    Really liking the R/S line setting up 10 miles NW of here.
  11. hlcater
    lol.
  12. hlcater
    Gonna be tough to get an average January seeing as it looks likely that we will struggle for substantial snow for the first week, if not more.
  13. hlcater
    Think we should manage 2-3” with this one.
  14. hlcater
    One of the more impressive ground blizzards I have experienced. Maybe even the most impressive. Only times I've experienced lower visibility had snow actively falling.
  15. hlcater
    Visibility down to 0.38 miles imby just outside of Cedar Rapids. It’s really blowing out there.
  16. hlcater
    2.2" from the first wave slightly outperforms guidance.
  17. hlcater
    Looking at the guidance tonight, receiving most of our snow from FGEN and not the primary low may end up being a blessing in disguise.
  18. hlcater
    GFS is a tick back west and a little wetter.
  19. hlcater
    Euro is a glorified frontal passage out here. Good lord.
  20. hlcater
    We still may see blizzard conditions with the arctic front, but anything truly noteworthy (like that is still talked about years later) for our area is probably off the table. What is interesting is that the low track actually ends up being quite favorable, it's just that on these runs tonight, the surface low is hardly existent as it transits IL.
  21. hlcater
    Trends pretty terrible for those west of the lakes tonight. Hard to get a good storm if your low doesn't deepen until E MI. First call 3-5" with some wind afterward. (I'll clarify by saying at this juncture I am confident in at least 3-5", not that we cant potentially get more)
  22. hlcater
    This is a bit of an overperformance. 1/2” down and perhaps 1-2 more to go.
  23. hlcater
    Regardless of eventual placement, the trend to wrap up slower likely prevents Iowa from cashing in on something truly special.
  24. hlcater
    Holy mother of god this run
  25. hlcater
    Could see much of the sub under blizzard warnings with this one. Recent snowfall (or ongoing snow?), combined with single digits above and below zero and 50-60mph winds is gonna create life threatening travel conditions region wide. All at the worst time of year.
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