hlcater
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Everything posted by hlcater
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I dont know how this compares with the 00z but the 12z EPS mean is substantially further north than the operational. Especially with eastward extent.
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12z euro is stronger and perhaps a touch NW.
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There's still 108 hours left on this one. Plenty of time for things to change for better or worse.
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Reeling in the D4
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
hlcater replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Why did you start a threat at the behest of someone named “solidice”. Do you know what you’ve done? -
Also the low coming out is much more organized at the surface-700mb layer than the last system. Should yield a higher probability of heavier rates for someone.
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someone is butthurt because deep down he knows that the writing is on the wall for chicago and he just hates to see it
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One of my friends that was driving from STL to IC said snow in far NE MO near Ft. Madison
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I prefer 300 pages of whining, ICON runs and backyard predictions. Not sure what this 34 page/thread crap is all about
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SREF mean for KCID is surprisingly good and is up to 7.5". I took the liberty of removing a bunch of unrealistic clunks to get a more accurate reading, of course. Cant wait for this one.
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He’s not terrible anymore. Bordering on decent even
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He’s not a meteorologist and used to be abysmal. Ever since he crashed his “storm seeker” in Texas he’s been humbled and kinda cleaned up his act a bit even.
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As did 12/10/21. That storm looked poised to dump on the I90 corridor before it ran to MSP in the final 36 hours.
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Are you in Michigan for this one?
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@IllinoisWedges tonight IMG_6934.MP4
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The SREF plumes seem to almost always ride NW. Probably close to worthless at this range
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DVN removed pops entirely for Cedar Rapids. That seems… unwise. even if it is probably the right call
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tick north of the 12z
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Ah. I'll trust you on it since you've likely been playing closer attention than I. Thx.
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What else has come north besides the 18z GFS? The rest of guidance seems to look commensurate with their previous respective runs. Pretty tough to call one run of one model a trend.
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The derecho is our comeuppance for our cholera tier big storm climo and bad luck on top of that.
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Read the stat in the banter thread before you complain any more please and thank you.
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I think it’s been over since yesterday for max band potential (which is what I was implying). It may certainly snow however.
